Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Relegation Group | FootballTips.app

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 25 April
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
AberdeenTimelineKilmarnock
1st Half
Afeez A.Assist: Armstrong S.
sports_soccer
1'
Thompson D.Out: Brandon J.
sync_alt
5'
2nd Half
Shinnie G.Out: Frame M.
sync_alt
58'
Geiger D.Out: Cameron L.
sync_alt
59'
Stanger G.
64'
Lowery T.
67'
McKenzie R.Out: Schjonning-Larsen M.
sync_alt
68'
Palaversa A.Out: Afeez A.
sync_alt
72'
Knoester M.Out: Armstrong S.
sync_alt
72'
Magennis K.Out: Kiltie G.
sync_alt
77'
Anderson B.Out: Clescenco N.
sync_alt
77'
Deas R.
78'
Bwomono E.Out: Milne J.
sync_alt
81'
Watson D.Out: Lowery T.
sync_alt
84'
Lyons B.Out: Curtis F.
sync_alt
84'
Keskinen T.Out: Olusanya T.
sync_alt
87'
Morrison L.
90'
Magennis K.
90+1'

Top stats

0.47Expected goals (xG)0.54
41%Ball possession59%
10Total shots11
4Shots on target3
2Big chances0
6Corner kicks5
68% (206/302)Passes75% (321/428)
1Yellow cards4

Shots

0.47Expected goals (xG)0.54
0.84xG on target (xGOT)0.18
10Total shots11
4Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box7
4Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork2

Attack

2Big chances0
6Corner kicks5
28Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
16Free kicks16

Passes

68% (206/302)Passes75% (321/428)
26% (13/50)Long passes40% (30/75)
58% (76/130)Passes in final third59% (71/120)
30% (6/20)Crosses17% (5/30)
0.75Expected assists (xA)0.86
24Throw ins30

Defense

16Fouls16
73% (11/15)Tackles50% (6/12)
44Duels won51
33Clearances33
8Interceptions5
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
0.18xGOT faced0.84
0.18Goals prevented-0.16
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.00
X3.56
23.53

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
93
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.56 GPG vs Away 0.94 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.31 conc vs Away 2.38 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

61%
21%
19%
Aberdeen
Draw
Kilmarnock

Match Preview

Aberdeen and Kilmarnock meet at Pittodrie this weekend, with the Scottish Premiership split getting underway as the eighth-placed Dons sit five points clear of Killie in the relegation playoff place.

The Dons ensured that Hibernian didn't win successive league visits to Pittodrie for the first time since September 2004, as they returned to winning ways the weekend before last to boost their Scottish Premiership survival hopes. Aberdeen aren't quite out of the woods just yet, but they would certainly gain some more breathing space if they could beat Kilmarnock for the third time this season.

Kilmarnock's games have seen more goals than any other Scottish Premiership team's matches this season (102 - 37 for and 65 against), so a four-goal thriller in their last match against Dundee maybe shouldn't have been seen as a surprise. Killie demolished the Dons in their last meeting at Rugby Park, having last seen 100+ goals in their matches at the split after 33 games in the top-flight back in 2005/06 (115).

Aberdeen could take a giant step towards securing their safety, should they beat Kilmarnock for a third meeting out of four in the Scottish Premiership this season on Saturday afternoon.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aberdeen

Starting 11
-Dimitar Mitov
GK
-Gavin Molloy
DC
-Liam Morrison
DC
-Jack Milne
DC
-Emmanuel Gyamfi
ML
-Stuart Armstrong
MC
-Afeez Aremu
MC
-Alexander Jensen
MR
-Lyall Cameron
AMC
-Kevin Nisbet
FW
-Toyosi Olusanya
FW

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Kelle Roos
GK
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DL
-Robbie Deas
DC
-George Stanger
DC
-Jamie Brandon
DR
-Greg Kiltie
ML
-Aaron Tshibola
MC
-Tom Lowery
MC
-Findlay Curtis
MR
-Joe Hugill
FW
-Bruce Anderson
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 matches
AberdeenvsKilmarnock

radarTeam Profile

Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
25Attack28
shield
46Defense38
swap_horiz
45Possession22
gps_fixed
49Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
19Creativity17
gavel
21Discipline30

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

33Goals Scored37
48Goals Conceded65
8Clean Sheets7
60Big Chances62
39Big Chances Missed39
4Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

379Total Shots368
115Shots on Target123

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.0%Avg Possession41.5%
12,963Total Passes11,064
77.7%Pass Accuracy73.1%

shieldDefending

517Tackles513
269Interceptions265
109Saves119
47.6%Duels Won48.3%

gavelDiscipline

476Fouls438
84Yellow Cards74
5Red Cards5
61Offsides63

analyticsOther

157Corners144
251Successful Dribbles168
8Errors Leading to Goal4
6.70Avg Rating6.73

history Recent Form

AberdeenAberdeen
1.0 GPG
W
L
L
D
L
KilmarnockKilmarnock
0.8 GPG
D
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL31 Jan 2026
Kilmarnock
3-0
Aberdeen
PL14 Dec 2025
Aberdeen
2-1
Kilmarnock
PL29 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
0-1
Aberdeen
PL22 Feb 2025
Aberdeen
1-0
Kilmarnock
PL26 Dec 2024
Kilmarnock
4-0
Aberdeen
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
33 / 45 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
21 / 45 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11 / 45 matches
Both Teams to Score
40%
18 / 45 matches
Aberdeen CS
44%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock CS
22%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

31 Jan 2026
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
14 Dec 2025
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
29 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Aberdeen
22 Feb 2025
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
26 Dec 2024
Kilmarnock
4 - 0
Aberdeen
25 Aug 2024
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
9 Mar 2024
Aberdeen
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
24 Feb 2024
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Aberdeen
6 Dec 2023
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
29 Oct 2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Aberdeen
8 Apr 2023
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
28 Dec 2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Aberdeen
1.00
Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
0.85

Aberdeen is +18% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Hibernian
St. Mirren
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Rangers
4 - 1
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1 - 1
Falkirk
Aberdeen
1 - 2
Celtic
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee
Hibernian
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hearts
Falkirk
5 - 1
Kilmarnock

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