Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Home
Full Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Away
AberdeenTimelineKilmarnock
1st Half
Cadden Ch.
36'
Tshibola A.
38'
Lowery T.
43'
2nd Half
Olusanya T.Out: Nisbet K.
sync_alt
46'
Mouloua A.Out: Ntelo M.
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46'
Knoester M.Out: Yogane T.
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46'
McCann N.
52'
Mouloua A.
52'
Knoester M.
62'
McKenzie R.Out: Daniels D.
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62'
Marshall F.Out: Smith L.
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62'
Molloy G.Out: Guinness-Walker N.
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74'
Mayo L.
75'
John-Jules T.Out: Ring E.
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76'
Tshibola A.
82'
O'Hara M.Out: Kiltie G.
sync_alt
84'
Armstrong S.
88'

Top stats

0.85Expected goals (xG)0.93
55%Ball possession45%
10Total shots11
2Shots on target4
1Big chances1
6Corner kicks7
84% (381/454)Passes78% (297/381)
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

Shots

0.85Expected goals (xG)0.93
0.29xG on target (xGOT)0.56
10Total shots11
2Shots on target4
5Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box8
4Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
6Corner kicks7
21Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides0
13Free kicks13

Passes

84% (381/454)Passes78% (297/381)
39% (16/41)Long passes41% (20/49)
72% (83/115)Passes in final third67% (97/144)
17% (5/29)Crosses30% (6/20)
0.92Expected assists (xA)0.85
28Throw ins24

Defense

13Fouls13
73% (11/15)Tackles89% (16/18)
42Duels won47
26Clearances36
14Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves2
0.56xGOT faced0.29
0.56Goals prevented0.29
2Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.71
X3.96
24.42

Recommended Bet

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Away Win
Odds: 4.50Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.50 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.75 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.60 conc vs Away 1.50 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

50%
24%
27%
Aberdeen
Draw
Kilmarnock
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.661.91-13.0%
Aberdeen Win1.732.01-14.0%
Draw3.904.24-8.0%
Kilmarnock Win4.503.75+20.1%
BTTS - Yes1.572.02-22.4%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Both Aberdeen and Kilmarnock are looking to put disappointing defeats in their midweek matches firmly behind them, with both teams occupying places in the Scottish Premiership bottom three.

Aberdeen haven't beaten Celtic in their past 29 Scottish Premiership meetings, so their loss at Parkhead wasn't too surprising given the Dons haven't defeated the Hoops in a league match since May 2018. Without a league win on the road since December 2025, their only victory of the 2026/27 campaign so far came at Pittodrie against Hearts and they sit just three points ahead of basement boys Killie in 10th.

Kilmarnock sit bottom of the Scottish Premiership pile following four defeats to St Johnstone, Celtic, Dundee United and now St Mirren after their midweek match. Having failed to score in back-to-back league games at Rugby Park, Killie will hope that a change of venue will result in a change of fortune - despite losing their last four league visits to Pittodrie since a sole goal success in December 2023.

Saturday's meeting could be considered a six-pointer, even at this early stage of the season, but Aberdeen will fancy extending the gap over Kilmarnock given their recent record at Pittodrie against Killie.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aberdeen

Starting 11
-Marius Müller
GK7.01
-Nesta Guinness-Walker
DL6.90
-Dan Happe
DC6.67
-Lewis Mayo
DC6.94
-Chris Cadden
DR6.30
-Afeez Aremu
DMC5.94
-Connor Ronan
DMC6.17
-Tony Yogane
AML6.30
-Mitchy Ntelo
AMC6.38
-Toyosi Olusanya
AMR6.22
-Kevin Nisbet
FW6.35

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Max Stryjek
GK6.03
-Johnly Yfeko
DC6.04
-Cathal McCarthy
DC6.74
-George Stanger
DC6.45
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DML6.16
-Tom Lowery
MC6.50
-Greg Kiltie
MC6.74
-Mark O'Hara
MC6.21
-Erik Ring
DMR6.40
-Joe Hugill
FW6.30
-Tyreece John-Jules
FW6.22
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
AberdeenvsKilmarnock
0.50Goals / Match1.00
1.75Conceded / Match3.50
0Clean Sheets0
2.25Shots on Target / Match4.00
45.5%Possession %45.0%
76.1%Pass Accuracy %79.8%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

2Goals Scored4
7Goals Conceded14
6Big Chances6
4Big Chances Missed4
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

38Total Shots42
9Shots on Target16

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.5%Avg Possession45.0%
1,427Total Passes1,705
76.1%Pass Accuracy79.8%

shieldDefending

69Tackles65
32Interceptions35
20Saves17
50.5%Duels Won49.0%

gavelDiscipline

51Fouls48
13Yellow Cards8
11Offsides3

analyticsOther

19Corners18
24Successful Dribbles30
2Errors Leading to Goal2
6.99Avg Rating6.62

Statistical Comparison

AberdeenMetricKilmarnock
2
Goals
3
1
Assists
2
6.4
Average Ratings
6.2
27
Average Age
25.6
182.7
Average Height (cm)
183.6
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
46%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.8
Dribbles pg
1
1.3
Tackles pg
1.7

history Recent Form

AberdeenAberdeen
2.1 GPG
L
L
L
W
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1.4 GPG
L
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL25 Apr 2026
Aberdeen
1-0
Kilmarnock
PL31 Jan 2026
Kilmarnock
3-0
Aberdeen
PL14 Dec 2025
Aberdeen
2-1
Kilmarnock
PL29 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
0-1
Aberdeen
PL22 Feb 2025
Aberdeen
1-0
Kilmarnock
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
72%
33 / 46 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
21 / 46 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11 / 46 matches
Both Teams to Score
39%
18 / 46 matches
Aberdeen CS
46%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock CS
22%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Apr 2026
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
31 Jan 2026
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
14 Dec 2025
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
29 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Aberdeen
22 Feb 2025
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
26 Dec 2024
Kilmarnock
4 - 0
Aberdeen
25 Aug 2024
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
9 Mar 2024
Aberdeen
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
24 Feb 2024
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Aberdeen
6 Dec 2023
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
29 Oct 2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Aberdeen
8 Apr 2023
Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Aberdeen
2.10
Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
1.40

Aberdeen is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game

Celtic
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Rangers
Dundee
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
2 - 1
Hearts
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
St. Mirren
Kilmarnock
0 - 4
Dundee United
Kilmarnock
1 - 5
Celtic
St. Johnstone
4 - 3
Kilmarnock

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