AC Milan vs Cagliari Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

AC Milan

AC Milan

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 24 May
Cagliari

Cagliari

Away
AC MilanTimelineCagliari
1st Half
Pedro J.
2'
Saelemaekers A. (Gimenez S.)
sports_soccer
2'
Borrelli G.
sports_soccer
20'
2nd Half
Pulisic C.Out: Gimenez S.
sync_alt
46'
Pavlovic S.
56'
Rodriguez J. ()
sports_soccer
57'
Maignan M.
58'
Athekame Z.Out: Tomori F.
sync_alt
61'
Fullkrug N.Out: Nkunku C.
sync_alt
61'
Modric L.Out: Jashari A.
sync_alt
62'
Dossena A.Out: Rodriguez J.
sync_alt
62'
Palestra M.Out: Pedro J.
sync_alt
63'
Leao R.Out: Fofana Y.
sync_alt
68'
Mendy P.Out: Borrelli G.
sync_alt
74'
Sulemana I.Out: Deiola A.
sync_alt
74'
Felici M.Out: Esposito Se.
sync_alt
90+5'
Sulemana I.
90+6'

Top stats

1.75Expected goals (xG)2.78
48%Ball possession52%
16Total shots25
3Shots on target10
3Big chances4
5Corner kicks5
87% (395/455)Passes88% (430/487)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

1.75Expected goals (xG)2.78
1.14xG on target (xGOT)4.64
16Total shots25
3Shots on target10
11Shots off target8
2Blocked shots7
13Shots inside the box16
3Shots outside the box9
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances4
5Corner kicks5
36Touches in opposition box23
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides0
9Free kicks8

Passes

87% (395/455)Passes88% (430/487)
65% (31/48)Long passes51% (19/37)
73% (104/142)Passes in final third78% (73/93)
52% (12/23)Crosses16% (3/19)
1.44Expected assists (xA)0.60
17Throw ins12

Defense

8Fouls9
53% (8/15)Tackles62% (8/13)
49Duels won33
22Clearances25
4Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

9Goalkeeper saves2
4.64xGOT faced1.14
2.64Goals prevented0.14
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.27
X5.83
211.40

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
60
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #16
Season: Home 1.89 PPG vs Away 1.08 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.33 GPG vs Away 0.89 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

82%
9%
8%
AC Milan
Draw
Cagliari

Match Preview

AC Milan know they have to beat Cagliari at home this weekend or face missing out on a Champions League place. They come into the match in third place and just two points above Como in fifth and Juventus in sixth.

Cagliari secured safety last weekend so they have little to play for going into the final round of fixtures.

AC Milan's 2-1 win over Genoa last weekend ended three games without a win.

Cagliari's 2-1 win over Torino last weekend ended two games without a win.

Milan have lost just one of the last forty two Serie A head to head matches - winning thirty one and drawing ten.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

AC Milan

Starting 11
-Mike Maignan
GK6.87
-Koni De Winter
DC6.59
-Fikayo Tomori
DC6.68
-Strahinja Pavlovic
DC6.89
-Davide Bartesaghi
DML6.72
-Youssouf Fofana
MC6.59
-Adrien Rabiot
MC7.07
-Ardon Jashari
MC6.41
-Alexis Saelemaekers
DMR6.96
-Christian Pulisic
FW6.83
-Rafael Leão
FW6.80

Cagliari

Starting 11
-Elia Caprile
GK6.73
-Alberto Dossena
DC6.59
-Gabriele Zappa
DC6.33
-Juan Rodríguez
DC6.55
-Adam Obert
DML6.69
-Michel Adopo
MC6.45
-Michael Folorunsho
MC6.39
-Gianluca Gaetano
MC6.53
-Marco Palestra
DMR6.79
-Sebastiano Esposito
FW6.87
-Paul Mendy
FW6.35
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 37 matches
AC MilanvsCagliari

radarTeam Profile

AC Milan
Cagliari
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
47Attack25
shield
57Defense47
swap_horiz
62Possession43
gps_fixed
61Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
40Creativity27
gavel
57Discipline38

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

52Goals Scored38
33Goals Conceded52
15Clean Sheets8
97Big Chances64
63Big Chances Missed36
7Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

487Total Shots390
163Shots on Target122

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.9%Avg Possession45.4%
17,927Total Passes14,492
87.4%Pass Accuracy81.1%

shieldDefending

536Tackles596
238Interceptions316
103Saves120
51.8%Duels Won49.9%

gavelDiscipline

376Fouls515
60Yellow Cards77
3Red Cards2
68Offsides61

analyticsOther

157Corners139
235Successful Dribbles230
1Errors Leading to Goal6
6.92Avg Rating6.75

Statistical Comparison

AC MilanMetricCagliari
52
Goals
38
36
Assists
30
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
26
Average Age
23.8
186.6
Average Height (cm)
187.6
0.9
Shots pg
0.7
51%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

AC MilanAC Milan
1.9 GPG
W
L
L
D
W
CagliariCagliari
1.1 GPG
W
L
D
W
L

group Head to Head

PL2 Jan 2026
Cagliari
0-1
AC Milan
PL11 Jan 2025
AC Milan
1-1
Cagliari
PL9 Nov 2024
Cagliari
3-3
AC Milan
PL11 May 2024
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
PL2 Jan 2024
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
78%
25 / 32 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17 / 32 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
10 / 32 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
18 / 32 matches
AC Milan CS
44%
Clean Sheets
Cagliari CS
6%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

2 Jan 2026
Cagliari
0 - 1
AC Milan
11 Jan 2025
AC Milan
1 - 1
Cagliari
9 Nov 2024
Cagliari
3 - 3
AC Milan
11 May 2024
AC Milan
5 - 1
Cagliari
2 Jan 2024
AC Milan
4 - 1
Cagliari
27 Sept 2023
Cagliari
1 - 3
AC Milan
19 Mar 2022
Cagliari
0 - 1
AC Milan
29 Aug 2021
AC Milan
4 - 1
Cagliari
16 May 2021
AC Milan
0 - 0
Cagliari
18 Jan 2021
Cagliari
0 - 2
AC Milan
1 Aug 2020
AC Milan
3 - 0
Cagliari
11 Jan 2020
Cagliari
0 - 2
AC Milan

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
AC Milan
1.89
Form (Overall)
Cagliari
1.08

AC Milan is +75% better in terms of Points Per Game

Genoa
1 - 2
AC Milan
AC Milan
2 - 3
Atalanta
Sassuolo
2 - 0
AC Milan
AC Milan
0 - 0
Juventus
Hellas Verona
0 - 1
AC Milan
Cagliari
2 - 1
Torino
Cagliari
0 - 2
Udinese
Bologna
0 - 0
Cagliari
Cagliari
3 - 2
Atalanta
Inter Milan
3 - 0
Cagliari

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