AC Milan vs Parma Prediction & Tips | Serie A

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AC Milan

Home

Full Time

0 - 1

HT: 0 - 0

Sunday 22 February

Parma

Away

AC MilanTimelineParma

1st Half

Jashari A.Out: Loftus-Cheek R.

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11'

Saelemaekers A.

32'

2nd Half

Troilo M.

48'

Leao R.

52'

Sorensen O.Out: Ordonez C.

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59'

Nicolussi Caviglia H.Out: Bernabe A.

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59'

Pavlovic S.Out: Estupinan P.

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62'

Fullkrug N.Out: Pulisic C.

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62'

Ondrejka J.Out: Strefezza G.

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76'

Troilo M.Assist: Valeri E.

sports_soccer

80'

Nkunku C.Out: Jashari A.

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85'

Athekame Z.Out: Tomori F.

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85'

Estevez N.Out: Pellegrino M.

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90+3'

Top stats

1.33Expected goals (xG)0.45

66%Ball possession34%

25Total shots9

6Shots on target3

2Big chances1

5Corner kicks2

92% (579/627)Passes81% (257/319)

2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.33Expected goals (xG)0.45

0.49xG on target (xGOT)0.82

25Total shots9

6Shots on target3

10Shots off target3

9Blocked shots3

17Shots inside the box5

8Shots outside the box4

1Hit the woodwork0

0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances1

5Corner kicks2

61Touches in opposition box12

4Accurate through passes0

1Offsides1

10Free kicks13

Passes

92% (579/627)Passes81% (257/319)

69% (20/29)Long passes34% (19/56)

89% (261/292)Passes in final third66% (40/61)

32% (13/41)Crosses21% (3/14)

1.95Expected assists (xA)0.31

16Throw ins11

Defense

13Fouls10

44% (4/9)Tackles40% (6/15)

39Duels won44

12Clearances32

12Interceptions9

0Errors leading to shot1

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves5

0.82xGOT faced0.49

-0.18Goals prevented0.49

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.33

X5.15

29.65

Recommended Bet

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Home Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #13

Season: Home 2.16 PPG vs Away 1.16 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.75 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 0.67 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

95%

AC Milan

Draw

Parma

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

AC Milan

Starting 11

-Mike Maignan

GK6.95

-Koni De Winter

DC6.60

-Fikayo Tomori

DC6.78

-Strahinja Pavlovic

DC6.85

-Davide Bartesaghi

DML6.81

-Ardon Jashari

MC6.55

-Samuele Ricci

MC6.51

-Luka Modric

MC7.09

-Zachary Athekame

DMR6.29

-Christopher Nkunku

FW6.61

-Rafael Leão

FW6.91

Parma

Starting 11

-Edoardo Corvi

GK6.54

-Enrico Delprato

DC6.53

-Lautaro Valenti

DC6.79

-Alessandro Circati

DC6.79

-Emanuele Valeri

DML6.59

-Mandela Keita

MC6.64

-Oliver Sørensen

MC6.27

-Adrián Bernabé

MC6.70

-Sascha Britschgi

DMR6.38

-Gabriel Strefezza

FW6.48

-Mateo Pellegrino

FW6.71

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Milan will take on Parma in a Serie A clash at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on February 22, 2026, GMT.

The 2nd-placed Milan, with 54 points, will face the 12th-positioned Parma, who has accumulated 29 points.

Milan boasts a 60% win rate in Serie A, while Parma has secured victories in 50% of their last 6 away matches.

In their head-to-head encounters over the seasons, Milan has dominated with 23 wins in the last 37 matches against Parma.

Milan to win 2-1

AC Milan will be hoping to continue their fine form as they welcome Parma who currently sit in mid table.

AC Milan 1-1 draw with Como last weekend made it ten games without a defeat - winning six and drawing four.

Parma's 2-1 win over Verona last weekend was their second successive victory to end four games without a win.

These teams drew 2-2 last time out, Milan have won eight of their last ten home games with Parma.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 matches

AC MilanvsParma

1.64Goals / Match0.72

0.76Conceded / Match1.24

11Clean Sheets8

4.64Shots on Target / Match2.92

51.8%Possession %44.7%

87.5%Pass Accuracy %79.8%

radarTeam Profile

AC Milan

Parma

sports_soccer

55Attack19

shield

61Defense49

swap_horiz

61Possession35

gps_fixed

71Efficiency31

auto_fix_high

44Creativity11

gavel

59Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

41Goals Scored18

19Goals Conceded31

11Clean Sheets8

73Big Chances44

46Big Chances Missed32

5Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

325Total Shots290

116Shots on Target73

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.8%Avg Possession44.7%

12,167Total Passes9,019

87.5%Pass Accuracy79.8%

shieldDefending

373Tackles354

154Interceptions186

71Saves74

52.9%Duels Won49.9%

gavelDiscipline

241Fouls267

40Yellow Cards45

2Red Cards4

50Offsides30

analyticsOther

113Corners101

150Successful Dribbles120

1Errors Leading to Goal4

6.97Avg Rating6.75

Statistical Comparison

AC MilanMetricParma

Goals

Assists

6.7

Average Ratings

6.4

26.1

Average Age

24.3

184.7

Average Height (cm)

182.3

0.9

Shots pg

0.8

52%

Aerial Duel Success

50%

0.3

Dribbles pg

0.4

1.1

Tackles pg

1.2

League Standings Context

For AC Milan

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
1	Inter	26	21	1	4	64
2	Milan	25	15	9	1	54
3	Napoli	25	15	5	5	50

For Parma

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
12	Cagliari	26	7	8	11	29
13	Parma	25	7	8	10	29
14	Torino	25	7	6	12	27

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.0/ 101.5

Dangerous Attacks

37.1/ 82.4

35.0%

Shots on Target

27.0%

13.6

Total Shots

11.1

53.0%

Possession

44.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6

Goals Scored / Match

0.8

0.7

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

AC Milan Wins

50%

Draws

33%

Parma Wins

17%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	AC Milan	Parma
Over 1.5 Goals	71%20/28	64%18/28
Over 2.5 Goals	46%13/28	39%11/28
Both Teams to Score	50%14/28	43%12/28

* Based on last 28 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: AC Milan

Home Games: AC Milan

Last 6: Parma

Away Games: Parma

history Recent Form

AC Milan

2.2 GPG

Parma

1.2 GPG

group Head to Head

PL8 Nov 2025

2-2

PL26 Jan 2025

3-2

PL24 Aug 2024

2-1

PL10 Apr 2021

1-3

PL13 Dec 2020

2-2

67%

Over 2.5 Goals

71%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

86%

18 / 21 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

67%

14 / 21 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

52%

11 / 21 matches

Both Teams to Score

71%

15 / 21 matches

AC Milan CS

24%

Clean Sheets

Parma CS

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Nov 2025

Parma

2 - 2

AC Milan

26 Jan 2025

AC Milan

3 - 2

Parma

24 Aug 2024

Parma

2 - 1

AC Milan

10 Apr 2021

Parma

1 - 3

AC Milan

13 Dec 2020

AC Milan

2 - 2

Parma

15 Jul 2020

AC Milan

3 - 1

Parma

1 Dec 2019

Parma

0 - 1

AC Milan

20 Apr 2019

Parma

1 - 1

AC Milan

2 Dec 2018

AC Milan

2 - 1

Parma

1 Feb 2015

AC Milan

3 - 1

Parma

14 Sept 2014

Parma

4 - 5

AC Milan

16 Mar 2014

AC Milan

2 - 4

Parma

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.16

Form (Overall)

1.16

AC Milan is +86% better in terms of Points Per Game

AC Milan

1 - 1

Como

Pisa

1 - 2

AC Milan

Bologna

0 - 3

AC Milan

Roma

1 - 1

AC Milan

1 - 0

Lecce

Parma

2 - 1

Hellas Verona

Bologna

0 - 1

Parma

1 - 4

Juventus

Atalanta

4 - 0

Parma

0 - 0

Genoa

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AC Milan vs Parma Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

AC Milan

Parma

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

AC Milan

Starting 11

Parma

Starting 11

Match Preview

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

Statistical Comparison

League Standings Context

For AC Milan

For Parma

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: AC Milan

Home Games: AC Milan

Last 6: Parma

Away Games: Parma

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

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