Accrington vs Crawley Prediction & Tips | League Two

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Accrington

Home

Full Time

3 - 2

HT: 1 - 1

Saturday 5 September

Crawley

Away

AccringtonTimelineCrawley

1st Half

Caton C.

sports_soccer

Orsi-Dadomo D.

sports_soccer

20'

Borland A.Out: Love D.

sync_alt

25'

Matthews D.

30'

Rawson F.

42'

Farquharson P.

45+3'

2nd Half

Whalley S.

53'

Caton C.

sports_soccer

55'

Morgan D.Out: Odimayo A.

sync_alt

58'

Pereira D.Out: Ebiowei M.

sync_alt

58'

Gordon K.Out: Watson L.

sync_alt

59'

Krasniqi K.

61'

Matthews D.Assist: Woods J.

sports_soccer

63'

Aderoju O.Out: Orsi-Dadomo D.

sync_alt

66'

Di Biase G.Out: Krasniqi K.

sync_alt

72'

Tutonda D.

73'

Grant C.Out: Whalley S.

sync_alt

74'

Aderoju O. (Gordon K.)

sports_soccer

79'

Stockton C.Out: Caton C.

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82'

Henderson A.Out: Walton T.

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83'

Top stats

1.84Expected goals (xG)1.09

37%Ball possession63%

10Total shots15

4Shots on target5

3Big chances4

1Corner kicks4

61% (154/251)Passes82% (369/450)

4Yellow cards2

Shots

1.84Expected goals (xG)1.09

2.84xG on target (xGOT)1.61

10Total shots15

4Shots on target5

5Shots off target7

1Blocked shots3

8Shots inside the box9

2Shots outside the box6

0Hit the woodwork1

1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances4

1Corner kicks4

27Touches in opposition box26

0Accurate through passes1

2Offsides0

8Free kicks21

Passes

61% (154/251)Passes82% (369/450)

30% (22/73)Long passes33% (18/55)

44% (48/109)Passes in final third66% (92/140)

22% (4/18)Crosses14% (3/21)

1.10Expected assists (xA)0.85

15Throw ins25

Defense

21Fouls8

64% (14/22)Tackles75% (9/12)

55Duels won57

38Clearances32

11Interceptions7

0Errors leading to shot1

0Errors leading to goal2

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves1

1.61xGOT faced2.84

-0.39Goals prevented-0.16

11Goal kicks7

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

11.98

X3.48

23.41

Recommended Bet

cancel

Away Win

Odds: 3.10Stake: Low (5/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #23 vs Away #17

Season: Home 0.40 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.50 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

36%

30%

35%

Accrington

Draw

Crawley

payments

Value Comparison

Outcome	Market Odds	True Odds (AI)	Fair Odds	Value
Over 2.5 Goals	1.77	1.73	—	+2.5%
Accrington Stanley Win	1.93	2.80	2.18	-30.9%
Draw	3.45	3.39	3.90	+1.8%
Crawley Town Win	3.10	2.88	3.50	+7.6%
BTTS - Yes	1.62	1.77	—	-8.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Accrington Stanley produced an impressive response after going 2-0 down to Grimsby in midweek, salvaging a point thanks to goals from Josh Woods and Tyler Walton. John Doolan's men are still winless in all competitions this season, with two draws and three defeats to their name.

Crawley couldn't take full advantage of Lee Evans' second-half red card on Tuesday as the Red Devils shared the spoils with Northampton at Sixfields. Colin Kazim-Richards' side have recoreded just one win in their first five outings heading into gameweek five.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Accrington

Starting 11

-Louie Moulden

GK6.31

-Joe Anderson

DC6.55

-Farrend Rawson

DC7.14

-Devon Matthews

DC6.92

-David Tutonda

ML6.20

-Alex Henderson

MC6.22

-Liam Coyle

MC6.52

-Donald Love

MR6.95

-Josh Woods

AMC6.90

-Charlie Caton

FW6.74

-Tyler Walton

FW7.02

Crawley

Starting 11

-Jackson Izquierdo

GK6.18

-Ade Adeyemo

DL6.82

-Priestley Farquharson

DC6.92

-Charlie Barker

DC6.96

-Kellan Gordon

DR5.44

-Malcolm Ebiowei

ML5.13

-Jude Arthurs

MC6.55

-Klaudio Krasniqi

MC6.37

-Osman Kamara

MR6.47

-Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju

FW6.54

-Louie Watson

FW6.76

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches

AccringtonvsCrawley

1.50Goals / Match0.75

2.25Conceded / Match1.25

0Clean Sheets0

5.75Shots on Target / Match3.00

49.0%Possession %56.5%

63.6%Pass Accuracy %80.6%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

6Goals Scored3

9Goals Conceded5

14Big Chances8

8Big Chances Missed5

1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

67Total Shots53

23Shots on Target12

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.0%Avg Possession56.5%

1,364Total Passes1,651

63.6%Pass Accuracy80.6%

shieldDefending

54Tackles56

45Interceptions27

15Saves10

45.3%Duels Won51.8%

gavelDiscipline

59Fouls35

10Yellow Cards10

0Red Cards2

10Offsides4

analyticsOther

16Corners13

17Successful Dribbles39

6.71Avg Rating7.00

Statistical Comparison

AccringtonMetricCrawley

Goals

Assists

6.5

Average Ratings

6.4

26.3

Average Age

24.5

184.6

Average Height (cm)

181.7

1.2

Shots pg

1.2

45%

Aerial Duel Success

47%

0.4

Dribbles pg

1.2

Tackles pg

1.2

history Recent Form

Accrington

0.4 GPG

Crawley

1.0 GPG

group Head to Head

PL25 Apr 2026

3-3

PL22 Nov 2025

1-1

PL24 Feb 2024

0-1

PL11 Nov 2023

3-1

PL5 Nov 2022

1-4

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

64%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

73%

8 / 11 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

64%

7 / 11 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

45%

5 / 11 matches

Both Teams to Score

64%

7 / 11 matches

Accrington CS

27%

Clean Sheets

Crawley CS

18%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Apr 2026

Accrington Stanley

3 - 3

Crawley Town

22 Nov 2025

Crawley Town

1 - 1

Accrington Stanley

24 Feb 2024

Accrington Stanley

0 - 1

Crawley Town

11 Nov 2023

Crawley Town

3 - 1

Accrington Stanley

5 Nov 2022

Crawley Town

1 - 4

Accrington Stanley

27 Jan 2018

Crawley Town

2 - 1

Accrington Stanley

23 Dec 2017

Accrington Stanley

2 - 3

Crawley Town

17 Apr 2017

Accrington Stanley

1 - 0

Crawley Town

22 Oct 2016

Crawley Town

0 - 0

Accrington Stanley

13 Feb 2016

Accrington Stanley

4 - 1

Crawley Town

26 Sept 2015

Crawley Town

0 - 3

Accrington Stanley

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

0.40

Form (Overall)

1.00

Crawley is +150% better in terms of Points Per Game

Accrington Stanley

2 - 2

Grimsby Town

Walsall

3 - 2

Accrington Stanley

Exeter City

2 - 0

Accrington Stanley

2 - 2

Colchester United

Northampton Town

1 - 1

Crawley Town

0 - 2

Bristol Rovers

Rochdale

1 - 2

Crawley Town

0 - 1

Crewe Alexandra

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Accrington vs Crawley Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app

Accrington

Crawley

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Value Comparison

Match Preview

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Accrington

Starting 11

Crawley

Starting 11

compareTeam Comparison

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

Statistical Comparison

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

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