Accrington vs Newport Prediction & Tips | League Two | FootballTips.app
Accrington
HomeFull Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 19 September
Newport
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.03
X3.36
23.39
Recommended Bet
cancel
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.84Stake: High (8/10)
84
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #21 vs Away #20
Season: Home 0.83 PPG vs Away 0.83 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 0.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
44%
26%
30%
Accrington
Draw
Newport
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.84 | 1.66 | 1.97 | +10.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.90 | 2.51 | 2.03 | -24.2% |
| Accrington Stanley Win | 2.07 | 2.26 | 2.17 | -8.5% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.89 | 3.68 | -10.0% |
| Newport County Win | 3.55 | 3.32 | 3.73 | +6.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.70 | 1.74 | 1.83 | -2.3% |
| BTTS - No | 2.06 | 2.35 | 2.21 | -12.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Accrington Stanley took a surprise early lead against new league leaders Barnet last weekend before Charlie Lakin's second-half brace condemned the Lancashire side to a 2-1 away defeat. John Doolan's men have won just one of their first six league games this season.
Newport County turned in an improved performance in gameweek six, claiming a point at home against an unbeaten Fleetwood Town side. The Welsh club are winless in League Two since beating Rochdale on the opening weekend.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Accrington
Starting 11
-Louie Moulden
GK6.28
-David Tutonda
DL6.54
-Joe Anderson
DC6.74
-Farrend Rawson
DC6.95
-Connor O'Brien
DR6.51
-Liam Coyle
DMC6.63
-Aidan Borland
DMC6.48
-Shaun Whalley
AML6.48
-Alex Henderson
AMC6.16
-Tyler Walton
AMR6.79
-Charlie Caton
FW7.08
Newport
Starting 11
-Jordan Wright
GK6.64
-Matty Jacob
DL7.45
-Kyle Cameron
DC6.78
-Lee Jenkins
DC7.08
-Cameron Norman
DR6.70
-Ciarán Brennan
DMC7.04
-Matt Dibley-Dias
DMC6.45
-Shaquille Gwengwe
AML6.81
-Harrison Biggins
AMC7.34
-Yahya Bamba
AMR6.61
-Christian Doidge
FW7.12
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 6 matchesAccringtonvsNewport
1.67Goals / Match1.67
2.17Conceded / Match1.83
0Clean Sheets1
4.83Shots on Target / Match3.17
45.2%Possession %38.5%
61.9%Pass Accuracy %57.6%
radarTeam Profile
Accrington
Newport
sports_soccer
59Attack36
shield
33Defense42
swap_horiz
19Possession11
gps_fixed
71Efficiency87
auto_fix_high
45Creativity42
gavel
11Discipline55
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
10Goals Scored10
13Goals Conceded11
0Clean Sheets1
19Big Chances11
9Big Chances Missed5
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
86Total Shots53
29Shots on Target19
swap_horizPassing & Possession
45.2%Avg Possession38.5%
1,870Total Passes1,479
61.9%Pass Accuracy57.6%
shieldDefending
99Tackles117
58Interceptions49
21Saves17
47.1%Duels Won50.8%
gavelDiscipline
99Fouls74
19Yellow Cards10
1Red Cards0
14Offsides14
analyticsOther
21Corners23
29Successful Dribbles25
0Errors Leading to Goal2
6.79Avg Rating6.96
Statistical Comparison
AccringtonMetricNewport
10
Goals
10
5
Assists
7
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
26
Average Age
27.3
182.3
Average Height (cm)
185
1.1
Shots pg
0.8
48%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.3
Tackles pg
1.5
history Recent Form
AccringtonW
D
D
D
L
NewportL
L
L
D
W
group Head to Head
PL27 Jan 2026
1-4
PL11 Oct 2025
0-1
PL11 Mar 2025
5-0
PL24 Aug 2024
3-1
PL9 Apr 2024
1-3
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
10 / 12 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
8 / 12 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
6 / 12 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
7 / 12 matches
Accrington CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Newport CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
27 Jan 2026
Newport County
1 - 4
Accrington Stanley
11 Oct 2025
Accrington Stanley
0 - 1
Newport County
11 Mar 2025
Accrington Stanley
5 - 0
Newport County
24 Aug 2024
Newport County
3 - 1
Accrington Stanley
9 Apr 2024
Newport County
1 - 3
Accrington Stanley
5 Aug 2023
Accrington Stanley
3 - 0
Newport County
24 Apr 2018
Newport County
2 - 1
Accrington Stanley
18 Nov 2017
Accrington Stanley
1 - 1
Newport County
22 Apr 2017
Newport County
1 - 0
Accrington Stanley
29 Oct 2016
Accrington Stanley
1 - 3
Newport County
28 Mar 2016
Newport County
0 - 2
Accrington Stanley
14 Nov 2015
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Newport County
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.67
Form (Overall)
0.00
Accrington is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game
Accrington Stanley
3 - 2
Crawley Town
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Grimsby Town
Accrington Stanley
2 - 2
Colchester United
Accrington Stanley
3 - 3
Crawley Town
Accrington Stanley
1 - 2
Fleetwood Town
Northampton Town
1 - 0
Newport County
Salford City
2 - 1
Newport County
Bristol Rovers
5 - 3
Newport County
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Newport County
Barrow
1 - 2
Newport County
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