Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Tips | A-League | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.78
X4.14
23.83
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.58 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.75 PPG vs Away 0.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.63 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
78%
11%
11%
Adelaide United
Draw
Wellington Phoenix
Match Preview
Adelaide United will host Wellington Phoenix in an A-League fixture at Coopers Stadium on March 6, 2026.
Adelaide United sits 4th in the league standings with 30 points, while Wellington Phoenix is currently at the 12th spot with 20 points.
Adelaide United has won 50% of their last 6 A-League matches, showcasing their strong form, whereas Wellington Phoenix has struggled on the road, losing 3 out of their last 6 away games.
With Adelaide United aiming to maintain their position in the standings and Wellington Phoenix seeking to improve their form, this match presents an opportunity for both teams to secure crucial points.
Model Prediction: Adelaide United to win with a probability of 55%.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Adelaide United
Starting 11
19Yaya Dukuly
6.94
4Panagiotis Kikianis
7.01
7Ryan Kitto
LB6.83
9Luka Jovanovic
6.94
10Juan Muñiz Gallego
6.44
12Jonny Yull
6.55
14Jay Barnett
CDM5.89
44Ryan White
6.46
3Bart Vriends
CB6.79
22Joshua Smits
GK7.05
Substitutes
17Ben Folami
6.79
35Brody Brody Burkitt
6.52
36Panashe Madanha
5.26
23Luke Duzel
6.73
52Sotiri Phillis
3.96
65Joey Garuccio
2.54
Wellington Phoenix
Starting 11
11Carlo Armiento
ST6.98
20Ramy Najjarine
CAM6.72
4Manjrekar James
6.63
8Paulo Retre
5.54
14Alex Arthur Rufer
CM7.05
25Kazuki Nagasawa
CAM7.00
28Bill Tuiloma
CB6.56
3Corban Piper
6.54
15Isaac Hughes
6.74
1Josh Oluwayemi
6.75
Substitutes
10Nikola Mileusnic
LW4.66
16Sander Erik Kartum
5.47
24Tze-Xuan Loke
2.80
29Luke Brooke-Smith
4.89
18Lukas Kelly-Heald
5.71
30Alby Kelly-Heald
2.55
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 19 matchesAdelaide UnitedvsWellington Phoenix
radarTeam Profile
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
sports_soccer
52Attack45
shield
46Defense31
swap_horiz
59Possession47
gps_fixed
81Efficiency75
auto_fix_high
57Creativity38
gavel
60Discipline62
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
33Goals Scored28
28Goals Conceded39
3Clean Sheets2
39Big Chances47
23Big Chances Missed28
0Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
241Total Shots236
95Shots on Target95
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.3%Avg Possession50.9%
8,521Total Passes7,689
82.0%Pass Accuracy78.0%
shieldDefending
342Tackles327
142Interceptions158
80Saves55
49.1%Duels Won49.8%
gavelDiscipline
184Fouls176
27Yellow Cards26
2Red Cards2
32Offsides32
analyticsOther
97Corners90
159Successful Dribbles137
5Errors Leading to Goal8
6.82Avg Rating6.70
League Standings Context
For Adelaide United
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 |
For Wellington Phoenix
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
39.4/ 87.3
Dangerous Attacks
39.2/ 94.9
39.0%
Shots on Target
40.0%
12.7
Total Shots
12.4
52.0%
Possession
51.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.7
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
2.0
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Adelaide United Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Wellington Phoenix Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Adelaide United | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 89%17/19 | 89%17/19 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 74%14/19 | 79%15/19 |
| Both Teams to Score | 74%14/19 | 74%14/19 |
* Based on last 19 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Adelaide United
Au1
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Perth Glory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
0 - 4
CC Mariners
Au1
Adelaide United
3 - 2
WS Wanderers
Home Games: Adelaide United
Au1
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Perth Glory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
0 - 4
CC Mariners
Au1
Adelaide United
3 - 2
WS Wanderers
Last 6: Wellington Phoenix
Au1
WS Wanderers
2 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Sydney FC
0 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Brisbane Roar
0 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Auckland
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Away Games: Wellington Phoenix
Au1
WS Wanderers
2 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Sydney FC
0 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Brisbane Roar
0 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Auckland
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
history Recent Form
Adelaide UnitedD
W
W
L
D
Wellington PhoenixL
L
D
L
D
group Head to Head
PL11 Jan 2026
2-2
PL29 Nov 2025
2-1
PL18 Apr 2025
3-2
PL11 Jan 2025
1-2
PL3 Mar 2024
3-2
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
39 / 47 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
28 / 47 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
18 / 47 matches
Both Teams to Score
66%
31 / 47 matches
Adelaide United CS
28%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
11 Jan 2026
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Adelaide United
29 Nov 2025
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 1
Adelaide United
18 Apr 2025
Adelaide United
3 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
11 Jan 2025
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 2
Adelaide United
3 Mar 2024
Wellington Phoenix
3 - 2
Adelaide United
4 Jan 2024
Adelaide United
2 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
5 May 2023
Adelaide United
2 - 0
Wellington Phoenix
17 Mar 2023
Adelaide United
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
17 Dec 2022
Wellington Phoenix
3 - 1
Adelaide United
9 Oct 2022
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 1
Adelaide United
12 Feb 2022
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 1
Adelaide United
1 Jan 2022
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Wellington Phoenix
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.58
Form (Overall)
1.05
Adelaide United is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 1
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Perth Glory FC
Sydney FC
1 - 2
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets FC
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0 - 1
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
0 - 5
Auckland
Western Sydney Wanderers
2 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory FC
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City FC
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.78
X4.14
23.83
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
87
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.58 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.75 PPG vs Away 0.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.63 GPG
Match Preview
Adelaide United will host Wellington Phoenix in an A-League fixture at Coopers Stadium on March 6, 2026.
Adelaide United sits 4th in the league standings with 30 points, while Wellington Phoenix is currently at the 12th spot with 20 points.
Adelaide United has won 50% of their last 6 A-League matches, showcasing their strong form, whereas Wellington Phoenix has struggled on the road, losing 3 out of their last 6 away games.
With Adelaide United aiming to maintain their position in the standings and Wellington Phoenix seeking to improve their form, this match presents an opportunity for both teams to secure crucial points.
Model Prediction: Adelaide United to win with a probability of 55%.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 19 matchesAdelaide UnitedvsWellington Phoenix
radarTeam Profile
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
sports_soccer
52Attack45
shield
46Defense31
swap_horiz
59Possession47
gps_fixed
81Efficiency75
auto_fix_high
57Creativity38
gavel
60Discipline62
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
33Goals Scored28
28Goals Conceded39
3Clean Sheets2
39Big Chances47
23Big Chances Missed28
0Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
241Total Shots236
95Shots on Target95
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.3%Avg Possession50.9%
8,521Total Passes7,689
82.0%Pass Accuracy78.0%
shieldDefending
342Tackles327
142Interceptions158
80Saves55
49.1%Duels Won49.8%
gavelDiscipline
184Fouls176
27Yellow Cards26
2Red Cards2
32Offsides32
analyticsOther
97Corners90
159Successful Dribbles137
5Errors Leading to Goal8
6.82Avg Rating6.70
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
39.4/ 87.3
Dangerous Attacks
39.2/ 94.9
39.0%
Shots on Target
40.0%
12.7
Total Shots
12.4
52.0%
Possession
51.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
2
Adelaide United Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Wellington Phoenix Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Past Matches
Last 6: Adelaide United
Au1
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Perth Glory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
0 - 4
CC Mariners
Au1
Adelaide United
3 - 2
WS Wanderers
Home Games: Adelaide United
Au1
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Perth Glory
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets
Au1
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur FC
Au1
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
Au1
Adelaide United
0 - 4
CC Mariners
Au1
Adelaide United
3 - 2
WS Wanderers
Last 6: Wellington Phoenix
Au1
WS Wanderers
2 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Sydney FC
0 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Brisbane Roar
0 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Auckland
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Away Games: Wellington Phoenix
Au1
WS Wanderers
2 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Newcastle Jets
4 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Sydney FC
0 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Brisbane Roar
0 - 3
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Melbourne Victory
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
Au1
Auckland
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
group Head to Head
PL11 Jan 2026
2-2
PL29 Nov 2025
2-1
PL18 Apr 2025
3-2
PL11 Jan 2025
1-2
PL3 Mar 2024
3-2
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Both Team Score
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.58
Form (Overall)
1.05
Adelaide United is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game
Melbourne Victory FC
1 - 1
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Perth Glory FC
Sydney FC
1 - 2
Adelaide United
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Newcastle Jets FC
Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix
0 - 1
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
0 - 5
Auckland
Western Sydney Wanderers
2 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory FC
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Melbourne City FC
donut_small Win Probabilities
78%
11%
11%
Adelaide United
Draw
Wellington Phoenix
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Adelaide United
Starting 11
19Yaya Dukuly
6.94
4Panagiotis Kikianis
7.01
7Ryan Kitto
LB6.83
9Luka Jovanovic
6.94
10Juan Muñiz Gallego
6.44
12Jonny Yull
6.55
14Jay Barnett
CDM5.89
44Ryan White
6.46
3Bart Vriends
CB6.79
22Joshua Smits
GK7.05
Substitutes
17Ben Folami
6.79
35Brody Brody Burkitt
6.52
36Panashe Madanha
5.26
23Luke Duzel
6.73
52Sotiri Phillis
3.96
65Joey Garuccio
2.54
Wellington Phoenix
Starting 11
11Carlo Armiento
ST6.98
20Ramy Najjarine
CAM6.72
4Manjrekar James
6.63
8Paulo Retre
5.54
14Alex Arthur Rufer
CM7.05
25Kazuki Nagasawa
CAM7.00
28Bill Tuiloma
CB6.56
3Corban Piper
6.54
15Isaac Hughes
6.74
1Josh Oluwayemi
6.75
Substitutes
10Nikola Mileusnic
LW4.66
16Sander Erik Kartum
5.47
24Tze-Xuan Loke
2.80
29Luke Brooke-Smith
4.89
18Lukas Kelly-Heald
5.71
30Alby Kelly-Heald
2.55
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
League Standings Context
For Adelaide United
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 |
For Wellington Phoenix
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
Team Performance (Avg)
1.7
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
2.0
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Adelaide United | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 89%17/19 | 89%17/19 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 74%14/19 | 79%15/19 |
| Both Teams to Score | 74%14/19 | 74%14/19 |
* Based on last 19 matches
history Recent Form
Adelaide UnitedD
W
W
L
D
Wellington PhoenixL
L
D
L
D
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
39 / 47 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
28 / 47 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
18 / 47 matches
Both Teams to Score
66%
31 / 47 matches
Adelaide United CS
28%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix CS
13%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
11 Jan 2026
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 2
Adelaide United
29 Nov 2025
Wellington Phoenix
2 - 1
Adelaide United
18 Apr 2025
Adelaide United
3 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
11 Jan 2025
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 2
Adelaide United
3 Mar 2024
Wellington Phoenix
3 - 2
Adelaide United
4 Jan 2024
Adelaide United
2 - 2
Wellington Phoenix
5 May 2023
Adelaide United
2 - 0
Wellington Phoenix
17 Mar 2023
Adelaide United
5 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
17 Dec 2022
Wellington Phoenix
3 - 1
Adelaide United
9 Oct 2022
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 1
Adelaide United
12 Feb 2022
Wellington Phoenix
1 - 1
Adelaide United
1 Jan 2022
Adelaide United
4 - 0
Wellington Phoenix
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