Ajax vs Groningen Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie - Conference League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Ajax

Ajax

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Thursday 21 May
Groningen

Groningen

Away
AjaxTimelineGroningen
1st Half
Klaassen D.Assist: Godts M.
sports_soccer
24'
Willumsson B.Out: van Bergen T.
sync_alt
32'
Peersman M.
40'
2nd Half
Mokio J.
sports_soccer
57'
Janse D.
61'
Regeer Y.Out: Steur S.
sync_alt
62'
Godts M.
64'
Metu R.Out: Hernes T.
sync_alt
67'
Prins W.Out: Peersman M.
sync_alt
67'
Seuntjens M.Out: van der Werff D.
sync_alt
67'
Dolberg K.Out: Weghorst W.
sync_alt
71'
Carrizo M.Out: Berghuis S.
sync_alt
71'
Mendes R.Out: Land T.
sync_alt
77'
Tomiyasu T.Out: Klaassen D.
sync_alt
84'
Willumsson B.
90+1'
Seuntjens M.
90+2'

Top stats

1.83Expected goals (xG)0.16
62%Ball possession38%
12Total shots5
5Shots on target1
4Big chances0
4Corner kicks0
82% (448/546)Passes74% (257/345)
1Yellow cards4

Shots

1.83Expected goals (xG)0.16
0.68xG on target (xGOT)0.23
12Total shots5
5Shots on target1
4Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box2
4Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

4Big chances0
4Corner kicks0
22Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes0
4Offsides2
17Free kicks13

Passes

82% (448/546)Passes74% (257/345)
44% (29/66)Long passes36% (16/44)
65% (60/93)Passes in final third56% (67/120)
27% (3/11)Crosses17% (1/6)
1.42Expected assists (xA)0.39
19Throw ins14

Defense

13Fouls17
53% (9/17)Tackles60% (12/20)
56Duels won50
22Clearances14
9Interceptions14
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3
0.23xGOT faced0.68
0.23Goals prevented-1.32
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.85
X3.98
23.97

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
61
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.41 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 1.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.88 GPG vs Away 1.29 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.59 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
22%
41%
Ajax
Draw
Groningen

Match Preview

Ajax begin their bid to salvage European qualification when they host FC Groningen in the semi-finals of the Eredivisie’s UEFA Conference League play-offs.

For Ajax, merely participating in these play-offs represents a disappointment after spending much of the season chasing Champions League football. Failing to win any of their last three matches ultimately condemned Óscar García’s side to fifth place, extending the pressure surrounding a turbulent campaign in Amsterdam.

Groningen, by contrast, arrive with little external expectation but considerable momentum after winning three of their final five league matches, including a decisive victory over NEC on the penultimate weekend. Dick Lukkien’s side have already shown this season they can trouble Ajax, producing an impressive 3-1 win at Euroborg in March after losing the reverse fixture in Amsterdam earlier in the campaign.

Historically, however, the balance remains overwhelmingly in Ajax’s favour. Groningen have won only 18 of 126 meetings between the clubs, while Ajax have consistently dominated this fixture in Amsterdam across recent decades.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Ajax

Starting 11
-Maarten Paes
GK
-Lucas Rosa
DL
-Youri Baas
DC
-Ko Itakura
DC
-Anton Gaaei
DR
-Davy Klaassen
MC
-Jorthy Mokio
MC
-Sean Steur
MC
-Mika Godts
FWL
-Wout Weghorst
FW
-Steven Berghuis
FWR

Groningen

Starting 11
-Etienne Vaessen
GK
-Marvin Peersman
DL
-Dies Janse
DC
-Thijmen Blokzijl
DC
-Marco Rente
DR
-Tygo Land
DMC
-Tika de Jonge
DMC
-Jorg Schreuders
AML
-Younes Taha
AMC
-David van der Werff
AMR
-Thom van Bergen
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 21 / 34 matches
AjaxvsGroningen

radarTeam Profile

Ajax
Groningen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
37Attack58
shield
50Defense48
swap_horiz
24Possession47
gps_fixed
50Efficiency57
auto_fix_high
0Creativity46
gavel
81Discipline56

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

52Goals Scored49
17Goals Conceded45
12Clean Sheets10
4Penalty Goals4

history Recent Form

AjaxAjax
1.6 GPG
D
L
D
W
W
GroningenGroningen
1.4 GPG
W
W
L
L
D

group Head to Head

PL7 Mar 2026
Groningen
3-1
Ajax
PL2 Dec 2025
Ajax
2-0
Groningen
PL14 May 2025
Groningen
2-2
Ajax
PL6 Oct 2024
Ajax
3-1
Groningen
PL16 May 2023
Groningen
2-3
Ajax
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
90%
26 / 29 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
15 / 29 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
8 / 29 matches
Both Teams to Score
48%
14 / 29 matches
Ajax CS
41%
Clean Sheets
Groningen CS
10%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

7 Mar 2026
Groningen
3 - 1
Ajax
2 Dec 2025
Ajax
2 - 0
Groningen
14 May 2025
Groningen
2 - 2
Ajax
6 Oct 2024
Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen
16 May 2023
Groningen
2 - 3
Ajax
14 Aug 2022
Ajax
6 - 1
Groningen
2 Apr 2022
Groningen
1 - 3
Ajax
25 Sept 2021
Ajax
3 - 0
Groningen
7 Mar 2021
Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen
4 Oct 2020
Groningen
1 - 0
Ajax
26 Jan 2020
Groningen
2 - 1
Ajax
28 Sept 2019
Ajax
2 - 0
Groningen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Ajax
1.65
Form (Overall)
Groningen
1.41

Ajax is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game

Heerenveen
0 - 0
Ajax
Ajax
1 - 2
Utrecht
Ajax
2 - 2
PSV
NAC Breda
0 - 2
Ajax
Heracles
0 - 3
Ajax
Heracles
1 - 2
Groningen
Groningen
2 - 1
NEC
Groningen
2 - 3
Excelsior
Feyenoord
3 - 1
Groningen
Groningen
0 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles

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