Ajax vs Nijmegen Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

In Eredivisie action on February 21, 2026, Ajax will go head-to-head against Nijmegen at Johan Cruijff ArenA.

The 3rd-placed Ajax will take on the 4th-placed Nijmegen, with Ajax boasting 42 points and Nijmegen closely trailing with 41 points in the league standings.

Ajax has secured victories in 50% of their last 6 Eredivisie matches, while Nijmegen has displayed strength on the road with 4 wins in their recent 6 away league fixtures.

The historical head-to-head record favors Ajax, with the team winning 27 out of their past 42 matches against Nijmegen.

With both teams closely matched in points and form, the encounter is expected to be a closely contested affair.

Our algorithm predicts a 2-1 victory for Ajax in this Eredivisie battle.

The Johan Cruijff ArenA hosts one of the weekend’s most compelling fixtures, with fourth-placed Ajax meeting third-placed NEC in a clash that could reshape the top-four picture. Ajax arrive fresh from a commanding 4-1 home win over Fortuna Sittard, while NEC were held to a 1-1 draw away at Sparta Rotterdam.

Fred Grim’s Ajax are building rhythm at the right time. Across their last six league matches they have collected three wins, two draws and one defeat, tightening up defensively while rediscovering fluency in the final third. At home they have been especially assertive, averaging over 20 shots per game across their last three at the ArenA and maintaining possession figures north of 60%. They are ranked second in the Eredivisie home table and have scored 10 goals across their last five matches overall.

NEC travel north with numbers that demand respect. Only PSV have scored more league goals than their 58 after 23 matches, and they average 2.5 goals per game. They are ranked third in the away table and have avoided defeat in eight of their last 11 away fixtures. Across their last five matches they too have scored 10 times, reinforcing the likelihood of an open contest.

Recent head-to-head meetings have been competitive. In the last five encounters Ajax have won twice, NEC once, with two draws, including a 2-2 stalemate in December. Historically the balance overwhelmingly favours Ajax, but current form suggests this will be far from routine.

With both sides prolific and positioned inside the top four, the expectation is for a high-tempo match shaped by attacking width and central creativity rather than caution.