Ajax vs Sittard Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Ajax

Ajax

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 3 - 1
Saturday 14 February
Sittard

Sittard

Away
AjaxTimelineSittard
1st Half
Wijndal O.Out: Zinchenko O.
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6'
Mokio J. (Dolberg K.)
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7'
Bounida R. (Godts M.)
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14'
Godts M. (Mokio J.)
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24'
Sutalo J.
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45'
2nd Half
Adewoye S.Out: Ihattaren M.
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46'
Fitz-Jim K.Out: Klaassen D.
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64'
Gloukh O.Out: Steur S.
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65'
Peterson K.Out: Marquez I.
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70'
Gladon P.Out: Sierhuis K.
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80'
Oukili Y.Out: Brittijn P.
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80'
Weghorst W.Out: Dolberg K.
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80'
Bouwman A.Out: Mokio J.
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80'
Godts M. (Weghorst W.)
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81'
Dahlhaus J.Out: Duijvestijn L.
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85'

Top stats

1.17Expected goals (xG)0.84
56%Ball possession44%
20Total shots8
8Shots on target1
2Big chances1
4Corner kicks0
91% (519/573)Passes85% (391/458)

Shots

1.17Expected goals (xG)0.84
3.00xG on target (xGOT)0.22
20Total shots8
8Shots on target1
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
15Shots inside the box5
5Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
4Corner kicks0
40Touches in opposition box15
2Accurate through passes1
1Offsides2
10Free kicks11

Passes

91% (519/573)Passes85% (391/458)
48% (14/29)Long passes43% (20/46)
83% (116/140)Passes in final third70% (62/89)
29% (4/14)Crosses36% (4/11)
1.77Expected assists (xA)1.16
15Throw ins8

Defense

11Fouls10
38% (6/16)Tackles73% (19/26)
47Duels won51
13Clearances18
10Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4
0.22xGOT faced3.00
0.22Goals prevented-1.00
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AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.35
X5.34
28.56

Recommended Bet

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Home Win
Stake: Low (3/10)
29
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.8 vs Away 6.7
Model Consensus: 1-1 (Draw)
More Goals: Home 40 vs 33

donut_small Win Probabilities

55%
33%
12%
Ajax
Draw
Sittard

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Ajax

Starting 11
-Vítezslav Jaros
GK6.72
-Owen Wijndal
DL6.74
-Youri Baas
DC7.03
-Josip Sutalo
DC6.55
-Anton Gaaei
DR6.58
-Davy Klaassen
MC6.61
-Youri Regeer
MC6.90
-Sean Steur
MC6.66
-Mika Godts
FWL7.59
-Kasper Dolberg
FW6.66
-Rayane Bounida
FWR6.78

Sittard

Starting 11
-Luuk Koopmans
GK7.02
-Justin Hubner
DL6.59
-Neraysho Kasanwirjo
DC6.44
-Iván Márquez
DC6.77
-Ivo Pinto
DR6.56
-Philip Brittijn
DMC6.72
-Édouard Michut
DMC6.55
-Kristoffer Peterson
AML6.53
-Lance Duijvestijn
AMC7.15
-Mohamed Ihattaren
AMR7.01
-Kaj Sierhuis
FW6.89
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Ajax will take on Fortuna Sittard in an Eredivisie clash at Johan Cruijff ArenA on February 14, 2026 GMT.

Ajax, known for their strong home form, has secured 3 wins in their recent 6 matches at the Johan Cruijff ArenA, while Fortuna Sittard has struggled on the road, suffering 3 losses in their last 6 away matches in the Eredivisie.

In their historical meetings in the Eredivisie, Ajax has dominated with an impressive 83 percent win rate against Fortuna Sittard.

The goal stats suggest an attacking encounter as Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of Ajax's last 6 matches against Fortuna Sittard and in 3 of Fortuna Sittard's recent 3 away games.

Expectations are high for an entertaining match with both teams likely to showcase their attacking prowess.

Prediction: Ajax to win 3-1.

A familiar imbalance frames Saturday night in Amsterdam. Ajax host a Fortuna Sittard side operating comfortably above relegation trouble but far from the European conversation, while the home side continue their pursuit of a top-three finish in an increasingly stratified Eredivisie table.

Ajax arrive fourth on 39 points, steady rather than spectacular, having lost just three times all season but drawing too frequently to sustain a genuine title push. Their most recent outing, a 1–1 draw away at AZ Alkmaar, typified that pattern: territorial control, long spells of possession, but an inability to fully impose themselves. At home, however, the picture is more convincing. Ajax boast the league’s best defensive record at the Johan Cruijff ArenA, conceding just nine goals in eleven matches.

Fortuna Sittard sit ninth on 26 points, a position built on attacking output rather than defensive solidity. They have scored in 12 of their last 13 league matches, yet arrive in Amsterdam without a clean sheet in eleven. A 2–2 home draw with Sparta Rotterdam last time out summed up their season: competitive, open, but structurally fragile.

The recent history between the sides is emphatic. Ajax are unbeaten in their last nine home league meetings with Fortuna, averaging over three goals per game across the most recent head-to-head encounters. For the visitors, the challenge is less about ambition and more about survival within the contest itself.

Statistical Comparison

AjaxMetricSittard
40
Goals
33
34
Assists
25
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
23.5
Average Age
26.9
181.5
Average Height (cm)
184
1
Shots pg
0.9
51%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Ajax

PosTeamPWDLPts
3Nijmegen22125541
4Ajax22109339
5Sparta Rotterdam22113836

For Sittard

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Utrecht2276927
11Fortuna Sittard22751026
12Excelsior22751026

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.8/ 98.2
Dangerous Attacks
38.8/ 91.0
41.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
13.7
Total Shots
13.0
57.0%
Possession
46.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.8
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Ajax Wins
67%
2
Draws
33%
0
Sittard Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketAjaxSittard
Over 1.5 Goals
100%32/32
59%19/32
Over 2.5 Goals
66%21/32
47%15/32
Both Teams to Score
66%21/32
53%17/32
* Based on last 32 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Ajax

Nl1
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Ajax
Nl1
Excelsior
2 - 2
Ajax
UCL
Ajax
1 - 2
Olympiacos FC
Nl1
Ajax
2 - 0
Volendam
UCL
Villarreal
1 - 2
Ajax
Nl1
Ajax
2 - 2
Go Ahead Eagles

Home Games: Ajax

UCL
Ajax
1 - 2
Olympiacos FC
Nl1
Ajax
2 - 0
Volendam
Nl1
Ajax
2 - 2
Go Ahead Eagles
Nl1
Ajax
2 - 0
Feyenoord
Nl1
Ajax
2 - 0
Groningen
UCL
Ajax
0 - 2
SL Benfica

Last 6: Sittard

Nl1
Fortuna Sittard
2 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
Nl1
Heracles
2 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
Groningen
1 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 2
PSV Eindhoven
Nl1
Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
Fortuna Sittard
4 - 3
AZ Alkmaar

Away Games: Sittard

Nl1
Heracles
2 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
Groningen
1 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
PEC Zwolle
1 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
Nl1
PSV Eindhoven
5 - 2
Fortuna Sittard

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