Ajax vs Utrecht Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie - Conference League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Ajax

Ajax

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Pens: 4 - 3
Sunday 24 May
Utrecht

Utrecht

Away
AjaxTimelineUtrecht
2nd Half
Steur S.Out: Mokio J.
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54'
Haller S.Out: Stepanov A.
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60'
Viergever N.Out: Eerdhuijzen M.
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61'
Blake A.Out: Karlsson J.
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70'
El Arguioui R.Out: Horemans S.
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73'
Weghorst W.Out: Dolberg K.
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78'
Carrizo M.Out: Berghuis S.
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79'
Itakura K.Out: Regeer Y.
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85'
El Arguioui R.
90+5'
Extra Time
Tomiyasu T.Out: Baas Y.
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95'
Klaassen D. (Tomiyasu T.)
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96'
Alarcon A.Out: Cathline Y.
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98'
Zechiel G.
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106'
Weghorst W.
107'
Klaassen D.
120'
Penalties
Haller S. (Penalty missed)
close
1'
Klaassen D.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
1'
El Arguioui R.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
2'
Weghorst W.(Penalty)
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2'
Zechiel G.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
3'
Godts M.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
3'
Blake A.(Penalty)
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4'
Gaaei A.(Penalty)
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4'
El Karouani S. (Penalty missed)
close
5'

Top stats

1.46Expected goals (xG)0.96
63%Ball possession37%
24Total shots12
8Shots on target4
2Big chances1
8Corner kicks4
86% (616/714)Passes77% (321/417)
2Yellow cards1

Shots

1.46Expected goals (xG)0.96
1.40xG on target (xGOT)0.57
24Total shots12
8Shots on target4
9Shots off target7
7Blocked shots1
14Shots inside the box9
10Shots outside the box3
3Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
8Corner kicks4
37Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides1
17Free kicks16

Passes

86% (616/714)Passes77% (321/417)
59% (39/66)Long passes41% (34/82)
77% (182/235)Passes in final third52% (46/89)
21% (7/33)Crosses33% (5/15)
1.42Expected assists (xA)0.99
21Throw ins14

Defense

16Fouls17
74% (17/23)Tackles50% (10/20)
69Duels won65
16Clearances38
9Interceptions11
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves7
0.57xGOT faced1.40
-0.43Goals prevented0.40
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.89
X3.98
23.81

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Model Consensus: 2-1 (Home)
Statistical Edge: Away leads in 1 categories
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Creativity (+48), Attack (+20)

donut_small Win Probabilities

3%
1%
96%
Ajax
Draw
Utrecht

Match Preview

Ajax and FC Utrecht meet on Sunday with the final UEFA Conference League qualifying place at stake and significant pressure hanging over both clubs after turbulent campaigns.

For Ajax, this fixture has become as much about damage limitation as opportunity. The Amsterdam side finished fifth in the Eredivisie and now find themselves one match away from avoiding a historic failure. The last season in which Ajax missed out on European qualification through league position was 1964/65, underscoring the scale of what is at stake here.

Óscar García’s side reached the final after a controlled 2-0 victory over FC Groningen, but the atmosphere around the club remains uneasy. Even the venue reflects the strange nature of Ajax’s season, with the final taking place at Volendam’s Kras Stadion due to concerts at the Johan Cruijff ArenA.

Utrecht, meanwhile, arrive with momentum and considerably less pressure. Ron Jans’ side edged past Heerenveen in a chaotic 3-2 semi-final and now sits one victory away from European football in the veteran manager’s final match before retirement. Utrecht also have psychological encouragement from the regular season, having taken four points from Ajax across their two league meetings.

The contrast in styles should make for an intriguing contest. Ajax will dominate possession and attempt to control territory through their midfield rotations and wide combinations, while Utrecht are likely to remain compact before attacking aggressively in transition through the pace of Yoann Cathline and the creativity of Souffian El Karouani.

Ajax still possess the greater individual quality, particularly in attacking areas, but their defensive instability throughout the season leaves the door open for Utrecht to make this uncomfortable. The emotional weight attached to the occasion may also influence the rhythm of the match, especially if Ajax struggle to establish control early on.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Ajax

Starting 11
-Maarten Paes
GK
-Lucas Rosa
DL
-Youri Baas
DC
-Aaron Bouwman
DC
-Anton Gaaei
DR
-Davy Klaassen
MC
-Jorthy Mokio
MC
-Sean Steur
MC
-Mika Godts
FWL
-Wout Weghorst
FW
-Steven Berghuis
FWR

Utrecht

Starting 11
-Vasilios Barkas
GK
-Souffian El Karouani
DL
-Mike Eerdhuijzen
DC
-Mike van der Hoorn
DC
-Niklas Vesterlund
DR
-Gjivai Zechiël
DMC
-Can Bozdogan
DMC
-Jesper Karlsson
AML
-Dani de Wit
AMC
-Yoann Cathline
AMR
-Sébastien Haller
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 22 / 34 matches
AjaxvsUtrecht
2.50Goals / Match1.62
0.82Conceded / Match1.24
12Clean Sheets9

radarTeam Profile

Ajax
Utrecht
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
38Attack58
shield
50Defense55
swap_horiz
24Possession43
gps_fixed
50Efficiency65
auto_fix_high
0Creativity48
gavel
81Discipline60

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

55Goals Scored55
18Goals Conceded42
12Clean Sheets9
4Penalty Goals1

Statistical Comparison

AjaxMetricUtrecht
2
Goals
3
24.9
Average Age
26.8
183.5
Average Height (cm)
182.6

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