Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Alaves

Alaves

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 23 May
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Away
AlavesTimelineRayo Vallecano
1st Half
Martinez T.
sports_soccer
13'
Protesoni C.Out: Parada V.
sync_alt
33'
Camello S.Out: Martin C.
sync_alt
38'
2nd Half
de Frutos J.Out: Garcia A.
sync_alt
46'
Camello S.
54'
Ciss P.Out: Mumin A.
sync_alt
61'
AlemaoOut: Valentin O.
sync_alt
61'
Ciss P.
64'
Perez A.
69'
Camello S. (Ciss P.)
sports_soccer
73'
Suarez D.Out: Ibanez P.
sync_alt
74'
Rebbach A.
79'
Diabate I.Out: Boye L.
sync_alt
84'
Guevara A.Out: Guridi J.
sync_alt
84'
Tenaglia N.
88'
Ratiu A.Out: Balliu I.
sync_alt
88'
Nteka R.Assist: Camello S.
sports_soccer
90'
Pacha
90+4'

Top stats

1.73Expected goals (xG)1.39
49%Ball possession51%
19Total shots15
11Shots on target7
1Big chances4
10Corner kicks5
80% (279/348)Passes82% (311/378)
3Yellow cards3

Shots

1.73Expected goals (xG)1.39
2.73xG on target (xGOT)1.95
19Total shots15
11Shots on target7
0Shots off target6
8Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box8
8Shots outside the box7
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances4
10Corner kicks5
26Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes0
3Offsides3
14Free kicks13

Passes

80% (279/348)Passes82% (311/378)
53% (33/62)Long passes46% (26/57)
73% (93/128)Passes in final third63% (58/92)
24% (5/21)Crosses17% (2/12)
1.11Expected assists (xA)0.61
23Throw ins15

Defense

13Fouls14
79% (11/14)Tackles74% (14/19)
42Duels won49
12Clearances22
3Interceptions8
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves10
1.95xGOT faced2.73
-0.05Goals prevented1.73
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.57
X3.41
22.91

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (6/10)
60
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.16 PPG vs Away 1.27 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.15 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.33 GPG vs Away 0.83 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%
39%
29%
Alaves
Draw
Rayo Vallecano

Match Preview

Deportivo Alaves will guarantee their survival in La Liga by securing just a point this weekend. They could even climb into the top half while they are unbeaten in their last three.

Rayo Vallecano are pushing to qualify for Europe, and a point could seal it as long as Getafe lose. They're on a strong run of form heading into this game, unbeaten in the last six.

The last time the two sides met, Alaves pulled off a 2-0 victory in the Copa del Rey back in January. In the previous league game, Rayo Vallecano secured a 1-0 win.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Alaves

Starting 11
-Antonio Sivera
GK6.48
-Victor Parada
DC6.35
-Ville Koski
DC6.62
-Nahuel Tenaglia
DC6.77
-Abde Rebbach
DML6.54
-Denis Suárez
MC6.40
-Antonio Blanco
MC6.82
-Jon Guridi
MC6.28
-Ángel Pérez
DMR6.73
-Toni Martínez
FW7.08
-Ibrahim Diabate
FW6.47

Rayo Vallecano

Starting 11
-Augusto Batalla
GK6.62
-Jozhua Vertrouwd
DC6.25
-Nobel Mendy
DC6.68
-Florian Lejeune
DC7.06
-Pep Chavarría
DML6.57
-Pedro Díaz
MC6.34
-Gerard Gumbau
MC6.43
-Iván Balliu
DMR6.27
-Fran Pérez
AMC6.26
-Randy Nteka
AMC6.26
-Sergio Camello
FW6.37
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 37 matches
AlavesvsRayo Vallecano

radarTeam Profile

Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
33Attack41
shield
41Defense59
swap_horiz
49Possession57
gps_fixed
56Efficiency49
auto_fix_high
31Creativity38
gavel
23Discipline16

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

43Goals Scored39
54Goals Conceded43
5Clean Sheets12
75Big Chances97
46Big Chances Missed66
7Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

444Total Shots516
142Shots on Target177

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.1%Avg Possession53.5%
15,019Total Passes15,480
80.4%Pass Accuracy82.2%

shieldDefending

678Tackles666
292Interceptions307
92Saves102
48.1%Duels Won48.4%

gavelDiscipline

554Fouls497
88Yellow Cards97
5Red Cards9
71Offsides76

analyticsOther

182Corners211
279Successful Dribbles278
4Errors Leading to Goal2
6.71Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

AlavesMetricRayo Vallecano
40
Goals
39
26
Assists
27
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
27.2
Average Age
27.5
181.5
Average Height (cm)
182.2
0.8
Shots pg
0.9
50%
Aerial Duel Success
45%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.1
Tackles pg
0.9

history Recent Form

AlavesAlaves
1.2 GPG
W
W
D
L
W
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1.3 GPG
W
D
D
W
D

group Head to Head

PL14 Jan 2026
Deportivo Alavés
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
PL26 Oct 2025
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
PL29 Mar 2025
Deportivo Alavés
0-2
Rayo Vallecano
PL26 Oct 2024
Rayo Vallecano
1-0
Deportivo Alavés
PL10 Mar 2024
Deportivo Alavés
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5 / 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
1 / 10 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
1 / 10 matches
Both Teams to Score
10%
1 / 10 matches
Alaves CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano CS
60%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Jan 2026
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
26 Oct 2025
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
29 Mar 2025
Deportivo Alavés
0 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
26 Oct 2024
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
10 Mar 2024
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept 2023
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
16 Apr 2022
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
18 Dec 2021
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
28 Jan 2019
Deportivo Alavés
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
22 Sept 2018
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 5
Deportivo Alavés

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Alaves
1.16
Form (Overall)
Rayo Vallecano
1.27

Rayo Vallecano is +9% better in terms of Points Per Game

Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
FC Barcelona
Elche CF
1 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 4
Athletic Club Bilbao
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 1
RCD Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 0
Villarreal
Valencia CF
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Girona FC
Getafe CF
0 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 3
Real Sociedad

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