Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app
Alaves
HomeFull Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Tuesday 15 September
Valencia
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.91
X3.32
24.62
Recommended Bet
cancel
Home Win
Odds: 1.89Stake: High (9/10)
93
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #20
Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 0.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 0.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
70%
15%
15%
Alaves
Draw
Valencia
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.25 | 1.86 | 2.39 | +21.1% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.62 | 2.16 | 1.72 | -25.2% |
| Deportivo Alavés Win | 1.89 | 1.43 | 1.96 | +32.3% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 6.60 | 3.37 | -50.7% |
| Valencia CF Win | 5.00 | 6.75 | 5.18 | -25.9% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.95 | 1.77 | 2.10 | +9.9% |
| BTTS - No | 1.78 | 2.29 | 1.91 | -22.3% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Deportivo Alavés rank second at home in La Liga this season after picking up three wins from three games. They've lost just once this campaign, and that came last time out.
Valencia are preparing for a new era after manager Carlos Corberan was sacked. They sit bottom of the table having picked up just one point from their opening five games.
The last time these two sides met was back in March, when Valencia picked up a 3-2 victory. At home against Valencia, Alaves are unbeaten since 2017.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Alaves
Starting 11
-Antonio Sivera
GK6.87
-Jonny Otto
DC6.93
-Ville Koski
DC6.85
-Nahuel Tenaglia
DC7.12
-Abde Rebbach
DML6.85
-Antonio Blanco
MC6.86
-Carles Aleñá
MC6.36
-Pablo Ibáñez
MC6.83
-Ángel Pérez
DMR7.27
-Lucas Boyé
FW7.54
-Toni Martínez
FW6.68
Valencia
Starting 11
-Stole Dimitrievski
GK6.31
-Jesús Vázquez
DL6.26
-Justin de Haas
DC6.06
-Iker Córdoba
DC6.20
-Arnau Martínez
DR5.81
-Javi Guerra
DMC6.21
-Filip Ugrinic
DMC6.36
-Ryunosuke Sato
AML5.90
-Harvey Elliott
AMC5.98
-David Otorbi
AMR6.25
-Hugo Duro
FW6.14
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 5 matchesAlavesvsValencia
2.20Goals / Match0.20
1.00Conceded / Match2.00
2Clean Sheets1
5.60Shots on Target / Match2.20
44.2%Possession %44.6%
79.6%Pass Accuracy %82.5%
radarTeam Profile
Alaves
Valencia
sports_soccer
74Attack1
shield
75Defense34
swap_horiz
46Possession45
gps_fixed
88Efficiency25
auto_fix_high
81Creativity12
gavel
31Discipline64
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
11Goals Scored1
5Goals Conceded10
2Clean Sheets1
16Big Chances5
9Big Chances Missed4
gps_fixedShooting
70Total Shots42
28Shots on Target11
swap_horizPassing & Possession
44.2%Avg Possession44.6%
1,616Total Passes2,121
79.6%Pass Accuracy82.5%
shieldDefending
95Tackles82
53Interceptions34
15Saves16
49.7%Duels Won48.8%
gavelDiscipline
75Fouls51
13Yellow Cards8
20Offsides10
analyticsOther
27Corners19
45Successful Dribbles29
7.57Avg Rating6.72
Statistical Comparison
AlavesMetricValencia
11
Goals
1
8
Assists
0
6.7
Average Ratings
6.2
28
Average Age
23.6
180.4
Average Height (cm)
182.3
1.1
Shots pg
0.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.7
Tackles pg
1.1
history Recent Form
AlavesL
W
W
D
W
ValenciaL
L
L
L
D
group Head to Head
PL8 Mar 2026
3-2
PL20 Oct 2025
0-0
PL14 May 2025
1-0
PL22 Dec 2024
2-2
PL24 Jul 2024
0-1
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
17 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
14 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
68%
15 / 22 matches
Alaves CS
23%
Clean Sheets
Valencia CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
8 Mar 2026
Valencia CF
3 - 2
Deportivo Alavés
20 Oct 2025
Deportivo Alavés
0 - 0
Valencia CF
14 May 2025
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Valencia CF
22 Dec 2024
Valencia CF
2 - 2
Deportivo Alavés
24 Jul 2024
Valencia CF
0 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
5 May 2024
Valencia CF
0 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
2 Sept 2023
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Valencia CF
29 Jul 2023
Valencia CF
2 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
13 Feb 2022
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 1
Valencia CF
27 Aug 2021
Valencia CF
3 - 0
Deportivo Alavés
24 Apr 2021
Valencia CF
1 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
22 Nov 2020
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 2
Valencia CF
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.90
Form (Overall)
0.80
Alaves is +137% better in terms of Points Per Game
Racing Santander
2 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés
5 - 2
CA Osasuna
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés
3 - 0
Getafe CF
Sevilla FC
1 - 0
Valencia CF
Valencia CF
0 - 5
FC Barcelona
Deportivo La Coruña
3 - 1
Valencia CF
Valencia CF
0 - 1
Real Betis
Valencia CF
0 - 0
Celta de Vigo
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities