Albania vs San Marino Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League C | FootballTips.app
Albania
HomeFull Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 6 October
San Marino
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
11.03
X23.40
250.00
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
52
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.10 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 0.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.20 conc vs Away 3.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
68%
17%
15%
Albania
Draw
San Marino
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.15 | 1.76 | 1.24 | -34.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 4.80 | 2.32 | 5.17 | +107.1% |
| Albania Win | 1.02 | 1.47 | 1.08 | -30.8% |
| Draw | 17.50 | 5.84 | 18.47 | +199.8% |
| San Marino Win | 56.00 | 20.00 | 59.10 | +180.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 3.14 | 3.11 | 3.43 | +1.0% |
| BTTS - No | 1.29 | 1.87 | 1.41 | -31.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Albania
Starting 11
7Rey Manaj
CF7.34
21Arbër Hoxha
LW6.78
8Kristjan Asllani
CDM7.59
10Ernest Muçi
CAM7.25
20Ylber Ramadani
CDM6.73
3Mario Mitaj
LB6.89
4Elseid Hysaj
RB7.16
6Berat Djimsiti
CB7.05
18Ardian Ismajli
CB6.98
22Stavros Pilios
LB6.68
1Etrit Berisha
GK5.78
Substitutes
11Myrto Uzuni
LW7.06
14Cristian Shpendi
CF6.56
17Taulant Seferi Sulejmanov
CF6.28
19Mirlind Daku
CF6.58
-Feta Fetai
CDM
9Anis Mehmeti
CAM6.76
16Juljan Shehu
CDM4.62
-Klisman Cake
CB
-Naser Aliji
CB
15Marash Kumbulla
CB6.56
12Alen Sherri
GK6.58
-Mario Dajsinani
GK
San Marino
Starting 11
9Nicola Nanni
CF6.33
11Nicholas Giacopetti
CF6.42
8Lorenzo Capicchioni
CM6.58
10Samuele Zannoni
CM6.25
17Alessandro Golinucci
CM5.96
21Lorenzo Lazzari
CM6.54
2Giacomo Benvenuti
RB6.17
3Simone Giocondi
RB6.22
5Michele Cevoli
CB6.32
15Marco Pasolini
CB5.81
1Edoardo Colombo
GK6.04
Substitutes
-Nicholas Protti
-Fausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz
19Samuel Pancotti
RW6.43
16Christian Meloni
6.21
18Balda Enea Della
6.21
22Marcello Mularoni
CM5.99
4Filippo Fabbri
CB5.98
6Dante Carlos Rossi
CB6.31
12Alessandro Tosi
LB5.86
-Giulio Maria Bugli
-Lyes Hoël
-Mirco De Angelis
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Albania host San Marino in UEFA Nations League League C Group 1 at Elbasan Arena on 6 October 2026 GMT.
Albania were beaten 2-1 by Finland in their latest tournament match, while San Marino suffered a 4-0 defeat to Belarus.
The earlier group meeting was controlled by Albania, who won 3-0 away to San Marino.
Albania have won 6 of their last 12 matches and also took victory in their only home league match.
San Marino’s form remains difficult, with 11 defeats from their last 11 matches and a loss in their only UEFA Nations League away fixture.
Prediction: Albania to win 1-0.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 9 / 8 matchesAlbaniavsSan Marino
0.89Goals / Match0.25
0.78Conceded / Match4.88
5Clean Sheets0
3.00Shots on Target / Match1.00
52.7%Possession %28.9%
87.6%Pass Accuracy %70.8%
radarTeam Profile
Albania
San Marino
sports_soccer
16Attack0
shield
60Defense30
swap_horiz
67Possession6
gps_fixed
54Efficiency33
auto_fix_high
20Creativity4
gavel
75Discipline26
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
8Goals Scored2
7Goals Conceded39
5Clean Sheets0
14Big Chances5
9Big Chances Missed3
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
85Total Shots35
27Shots on Target8
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.7%Avg Possession28.9%
4,714Total Passes1,893
87.6%Pass Accuracy70.8%
shieldDefending
106Tackles139
62Interceptions64
21Saves43
50.5%Duels Won45.7%
gavelDiscipline
80Fouls115
11Yellow Cards19
0Red Cards1
5Offsides5
analyticsOther
30Corners15
64Successful Dribbles35
1Errors Leading to Goal4
6.95Avg Rating6.31
League Standings Context
For Albania
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
For San Marino
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
37.0/ 91.6
Dangerous Attacks
14.9/ 39.4
33.0%
Shots on Target
24.0%
10.3
Total Shots
4.1
52.0%
Possession
30.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.2
Goals Scored / Match
0.2
0.8
Goals Conceded / Match
4.8
Head-to-Head Summary
3
Albania Wins
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
San Marino Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 3
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Albania | San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67%8/12 | 83%10/12 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 33%4/12 | 75%9/12 |
| Both Teams to Score | 25%3/12 | 17%2/12 |
* Based on last 12 matches
Past Matches
Home Games: Albania
Albania
2 - 0
Albania
0 - 2
Away Games: San Marino
Belarus
4 - 0
Romania
7 - 1
history Recent Form
AlbaniaSan Marinogroup Head to Head
PL29 Sept 2026
0-3
PL8 Sept 2021
5-0
PL31 Mar 2021
0-2
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 3 matches
Albania CS
100%
Clean Sheets
San Marino CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
29 Sept 2026
San Marino
0 - 3
Albania
8 Sept 2021
Albania
5 - 0
San Marino
31 Mar 2021
San Marino
0 - 2
Albania
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.20
Form (Overall)
0.10
Albania is +1100% better in terms of Points Per Game
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