Albion vs Progreso Prediction & Tips | Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura | FootballTips.app
Albion
HomeFull Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Monday 7 September
Progreso
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.08
X3.09
23.57
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Away Win
Odds: 3.20Stake: Low (4/10)
40
Opp. Value
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.31 PPG vs Away 0.73 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.10 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.77 GPG vs Away 0.62 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.54 conc vs Away 1.38 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
42%
26%
32%
Albion
Draw
Progreso
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.20 | 1.72 | — | +27.9% |
| Albion Win | 2.05 | 2.36 | 2.27 | -13.2% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.92 | 3.60 | -17.0% |
| Progreso Win | 3.20 | 3.11 | 3.55 | +2.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.90 | 1.80 | — | +5.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Albion
Starting 11
30Briam Eduardo Acosta Arellano
RW4.66
32Tobías Nahuel Figueroa
CF5.00
8Ignacio Nicolás Neira Borba
CAM4.85
15Pablo Alcoba Daguirre
CDM4.39
20Román Gutiérrez Corletto
CM4.24
27Santiago Nicolás Costa Harreguy (Injured)
CM6.71
2Francisco Mario Couture Arraga (Injured)
CB6.63
-Bautista Castillo
29Federico Puente Arap
LB5.54
-Brandon Ezequiel Llana Riaño
-Pedro Ramallo
Substitutes
15Mateo Alcoba
LW6.56
22Agustín Bernardo Vera Flores
LW6.09
41Mateo Baltasar Barcia Fernández
RW5.98
5Francisco Ginella Dabezies
CM6.59
-Franco Abreu
13Pablo Martín Lacoste Icardi
CB5.71
27José Ignacio Álvarez Medero
LB6.27
1Sebastián Jaume Méndez
GK6.42
Progreso
Starting 11
8Maximiliano Juambeltz Fernández
CF4.26
25Jonathan David Dos Santos Duré
CF6.47
22Nahuel Acosta Da Silva
RW4.92
33Santino Bruschi Diaz
RW5.38
4Lorenzo Couture Arraga
CM6.47
18Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva
CAM4.81
30Agustín Daniel
CAM4.30
2Sebastián Cardozo Coitinho (Injured)
CB3.84
3Federico García Martínez
6.19
-Lautaro Nahuel Fernández Cedrés
Substitutes
14Lucas Viana Gauna
6.48
-Diego Rodríguez
CDM
61Marco Antonio Saravia Antinori (Injured)
CB4.48
-Cristian Yesid Holguín Lora
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 3 / 26 matchesAlbionvsProgreso
2.67Goals / Match0.73
1.67Conceded / Match1.46
1Clean Sheets3
71.3%Possession %43.5%
88.4%Pass Accuracy %70.9%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
8Goals Scored19
5Goals Conceded38
1Clean Sheets3
0Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
56Total Shots256
swap_horizPassing & Possession
71.3%Avg Possession43.5%
1,816Total Passes7,867
88.4%Pass Accuracy70.9%
shieldDefending
20Interceptions1,116
4Saves97
48.6%Duels Won49.5%
gavelDiscipline
37Fouls336
8Yellow Cards77
0Red Cards6
10Offsides55
analyticsOther
19Corners106
21Successful Dribbles260
history Recent Form
AlbionL
L
L
L
D
ProgresoW
L
L
L
L
group Head to Head
PL3 Sept 2026
2-1
PL7 Jun 2026
1-2
PL7 Mar 2026
2-2
PL29 Nov 2023
3-2
PL22 Jul 2023
3-0
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
5 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
4 / 6 matches
Albion CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Progreso CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 Sept 2026
Albion
2 - 1
Progreso
7 Jun 2026
Progreso
1 - 2
Albion
7 Mar 2026
Progreso
2 - 2
Albion
29 Nov 2023
Progreso
3 - 2
Albion
22 Jul 2023
Albion
3 - 0
Progreso
22 Apr 2023
Progreso
1 - 0
Albion
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.31
Form (Overall)
0.73
Albion is +79% better in terms of Points Per Game
Racing
1 - 0
Albion
Albion
2 - 3
Boston River
Cerro
2 - 1
Albion
Liverpool FC Montevideo
1 - 0
Albion
Albion
2 - 2
Danubio
Progreso
1 - 0
Danubio
Nacional
1 - 0
Progreso
Progreso
0 - 2
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Español
1 - 0
Progreso
Nacional
2 - 1
Progreso
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