Alverca vs Arouca Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app

Alverca

Alverca

Home
Half Time
0:1
Saturday 24 October
Arouca

Arouca

Away

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AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
12.12
X3.39
23.35

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
49
Best near-miss

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
SofaScore scoring form: Home 1.63 GPG vs Away 1.38 GPG
SofaScore goals: Home 1.63 GPG vs Away 1.38 GPG
SofaScore defense: Home 1.50 conc vs Away 0.88 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

38%
29%
32%
Alverca
Draw
Arouca
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.851.98-6.8%
Home Win2.122.60-18.6%
Draw3.393.40-0.3%
Away Win3.353.11+7.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Alverca

Starting 11
-Mateus
GK
-Sergi Gómez
DC6.51
-Steven Baseya
DC6.82
-Isaac James
DC6.76
-Francisco Chissumba
DML6.59
-Davy Gui
MC6.47
-Rayan Lucas
MC6.37
-Diogo Spencer
DMR7.68
-Figueiredo
AMC7.10
-Chiquinho
AMC7.36
-Dawda Camara
FW7.06

Arouca

Starting 11
-Ignacio de Arruabarrena
GK7.09
-Orest Lebedenko
DL6.70
-José Fontán
DC7.14
-Javi Sánchez
DC6.97
-Tiago Esgaio
DR6.74
-Espen van Ee
DMC6.59
-Taichi Fukui
DMC6.97
-Naïs Djouahra
AML7.08
-Pedro Santos
AMC6.29
-Brian Mansilla
AMR6.20
-Barbero
FW6.87
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Alverca dominated after taking the lead in the 14th minute against Famalicão, winning 4-1 at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão in a game that ended Carlos Carvalhal's tenure. The hosts are chasing a fourth straight league win on Saturday and have climbed into the top half of the table.

Arouca came out on the right side of a seven-goal thriller in the Taça de Portugal last weekend, beating Belenenses 4-3 on the road. The visitors sit fifth in the standings and have lost just one of their last six games in all competitions.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 matches
AlvercavsArouca
1.63Goals / Match1.38
1.50Conceded / Match0.88
1Clean Sheets4
4.13Shots on Target / Match3.75
42.6%Possession %49.0%
79.4%Pass Accuracy %84.6%

radarTeam Profile

Alverca
Arouca
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
52Attack37
shield
46Defense78
swap_horiz
45Possession48
gps_fixed
78Efficiency74
auto_fix_high
71Creativity46
gavel
25Discipline34

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

13Goals Scored11
12Goals Conceded7
1Clean Sheets4
22Big Chances18
11Big Chances Missed11
2Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

96Total Shots84
33Shots on Target30

swap_horizPassing & Possession

42.6%Avg Possession49.0%
2,761Total Passes3,542
79.4%Pass Accuracy84.6%

shieldDefending

157Tackles123
71Interceptions82
24Saves29
48.3%Duels Won45.5%

gavelDiscipline

118Fouls83
19Yellow Cards23
1Red Cards1
10Offsides11

analyticsOther

38Corners25
71Successful Dribbles36
2Errors Leading to Goal0
7.19Avg Rating7.24

Statistical Comparison

AlvercaMetricArouca
13
Goals
10
10
Assists
8
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
23.5
Average Age
26.5
182.9
Average Height (cm)
179.4
0.9
Shots pg
0.7
43%
Aerial Duel Success
41%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.9
Tackles pg
1.2

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Alverca vs Arouca Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app