Alverca vs Braga Prediction & Tips | Liga Portugal | FootballTips.app
Alverca
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Braga
AwayAlvercaTimelineBraga
1st Half
Chiquinho(Penalty)
sports_soccer
25'
Bajrami A.
40'
Ian Luccas
45+3'
2nd Half
Martinez G.Out: Travassos
sync_alt
46'
Sergio BarciaOut: Bajrami A.
sync_alt
46'
Navarro F.Out: Rodrigues D.
sync_alt
46'
Victor P. (Tiknaz D. E.)
sports_soccer
50'
Gui D.Out: Rayan Lucas
sync_alt
53'
Camara D.Out: Semedo V.
sync_alt
53'
Victor P. ()
sports_soccer
57'
Marques T.Out: Dorgeles M.
sync_alt
64'
Victor P.
66'
Vidigal A.Out: Figueiredo
sync_alt
71'
Kassary Z.Out: Ian Luccas
sync_alt
71'
Nuozzi C.Out: Gomez S.
sync_alt
83'
Milosevic J.Out: Tiknaz D. E.
sync_alt
83'
Martinez G.
87'
Lagerbielke G.
90+1'
Top stats
1.08Expected goals (xG)2.26
32%Ball possession68%
6Total shots16
2Shots on target6
2Big chances4
2Corner kicks2
72% (223/309)Passes89% (617/691)
1Yellow cards4
Shots
1.08Expected goals (xG)2.26
0.80xG on target (xGOT)2.52
6Total shots16
2Shots on target6
2Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
3Shots inside the box8
3Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork1
Attack
2Big chances4
2Corner kicks2
12Touches in opposition box21
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides3
15Free kicks11
Passes
72% (223/309)Passes89% (617/691)
39% (23/59)Long passes47% (21/45)
56% (37/66)Passes in final third82% (187/227)
24% (4/17)Crosses40% (2/5)
0.59Expected assists (xA)1.05
22Throw ins26
Defense
11Fouls15
67% (12/18)Tackles91% (10/11)
44Duels won47
15Clearances27
9Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
4Goalkeeper saves1
2.52xGOT faced0.80
0.52Goals prevented-0.20
8Goal kicks4
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
14.57
X3.56
21.77
Recommended Bet
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Home Win
Odds: 4.57Stake: Medium (6/10)
59
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.5 vs Away 6.9
Model Consensus: 0-2 (Away)
Statistical Edge: Home leads in 2 categories
donut_small Win Probabilities
35%
Alverca Win
22%
Draw
43%
Braga Win
Alverca
Draw
Braga
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 4.57 | 2.86 | 4.87 | +60.1% |
| Draw | 3.56 | 4.46 | 3.79 | -20.1% |
| Away Win | 1.77 | 2.35 | 1.88 | -24.7% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Vivaldo Semedo looked to have set Alverca on course for three points against Santa Clara last weekend, only for Brenner to equalise with three minutes left on the clock. Sergio Ferreira's side are winless in their opening four Liga Portugal matches this season.
Sporting Braga played just their second Liga Portugal fixture in four gameweeks on Monday night, beating Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 thanks to Diogo Rodrigues' late strike. The visitors are still unbeaten in all competitions, including the Conference League qualifiers.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Alverca
Starting 11
-Mateus
GK
-Isaac James
DC6.60
-Yaya Bojang
DC6.32
-Steven Baseya
DC6.82
-Francisco Chissumba
DML6.25
-Rayan Lucas
MC6.39
-Ian Luccas
MC6.38
-Diogo Spencer
DMR7.03
-Figueiredo
AMC6.73
-Marco Essimi
AMC6.22
-Vivaldo Semedo
FW6.47
Braga
Starting 11
-Bernardo Fontes
GK6.27
-Vítor Carvalho
DC7.89
-Sergio Barcia
DC6.81
-Gustaf Lagerbielke
DC6.72
-Diogo Travassos
DML6.64
-João Moutinho
MC6.56
-Demir Ege Tiknaz
MC7.40
-Víctor Gómez
DMR6.80
-Diego Rodrigues
FWL7.29
-Pau Víctor
FW6.27
-Gabriel Silva
FWR7.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 4 / 2 matchesAlvercavsBraga
1.00Goals / Match1.50
2.00Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets1
3.25Shots on Target / Match4.00
45.8%Possession %59.0%
80.3%Pass Accuracy %83.2%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
4Goals Scored3
8Goals Conceded2
0Clean Sheets1
8Big Chances6
4Big Chances Missed4
gps_fixedShooting
44Total Shots22
13Shots on Target8
swap_horizPassing & Possession
45.8%Avg Possession59.0%
1,442Total Passes1,104
80.3%Pass Accuracy83.2%
shieldDefending
70Tackles30
25Interceptions26
13Saves3
51.1%Duels Won55.1%
gavelDiscipline
51Fouls31
10Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
5Offsides8
analyticsOther
25Corners4
31Successful Dribbles9
1Errors Leading to Goal0
6.87Avg Rating7.16
Statistical Comparison
AlvercaMetricBraga
4
Goals
3
4
Assists
3
6.4
Average Ratings
6.6
22.5
Average Age
25.6
184.4
Average Height (cm)
182.9
1.1
Shots pg
1
49%
Aerial Duel Success
63%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.4
Tackles pg
1.8
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