America MG vs Nautico Prediction & Tips | Serie B | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.48
X3.11
22.78
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #11
Season: Home 0.54 PPG vs Away 1.42 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.75 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.83 GPG vs Away 1.38 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
35%
24%
41%
America MG
Draw
Nautico
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.97 | 1.93 | 2.08 | +2.2% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.82 | 2.08 | 1.92 | -12.4% |
| América Mineiro Win | 2.70 | 2.87 | 2.84 | -5.8% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 4.18 | 3.37 | -23.4% |
| Náutico Win | 2.70 | 2.43 | 2.84 | +11.2% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.00 | 2.02 | 2.16 | -1.1% |
| BTTS - No | 1.72 | 1.98 | 1.86 | -13.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
América Mineiro meet Nautico in a Serie B clash at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães on 2026-09-10 GMT.
América Mineiro are looking to rebound after losing 83 percent of their last six games, while Nautico have settled for a draw in three of their previous six outings.
Head to head, América Mineiro have three victories from their last six encounters against Nautico.
Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of América Mineiro’s last six home matches, as well as in 83 percent of Nautico’s last six games overall.
Nautico to win by 0-1
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 26 matchesAmerica MGvsNautico
0.73Goals / Match1.19
1.73Conceded / Match1.08
4Clean Sheets8
4.62Shots on Target / Match4.77
54.3%Possession %58.2%
84.8%Pass Accuracy %81.8%
radarTeam Profile
America MG
Nautico
sports_soccer
24Attack46
shield
30Defense52
swap_horiz
57Possession58
gps_fixed
39Efficiency41
auto_fix_high
34Creativity48
gavel
40Discipline16
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
19Goals Scored31
45Goals Conceded28
4Clean Sheets8
43Big Chances54
31Big Chances Missed35
1Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
353Total Shots434
120Shots on Target124
swap_horizPassing & Possession
54.3%Avg Possession58.2%
11,283Total Passes10,839
84.8%Pass Accuracy81.8%
shieldDefending
328Tackles372
194Interceptions193
91Saves85
49.9%Duels Won49.7%
gavelDiscipline
363Fouls422
53Yellow Cards72
1Red Cards4
41Offsides50
analyticsOther
145Corners165
153Successful Dribbles181
8Errors Leading to Goal2
6.71Avg Rating6.82
League Standings Context
For America MG
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Londrina | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 22 |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 14 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 10 |
For Nautico
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sport Recife | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38 |
| 10 | Nautico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
47.4/ 95.3
Dangerous Attacks
58.5/ 102.3
35.0%
Shots on Target
32.0%
13.4
Total Shots
15.9
54.0%
Possession
59.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
0.9
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0
Head-to-Head Summary
3
America MG Wins
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Nautico Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | America MG | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77%34/44 | 55%24/44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50%22/44 | 36%16/44 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57%25/44 | 32%14/44 |
* Based on last 44 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: America MG
Br2
América Mineiro
2 - 0
Ponte Preta
Br2
América Mineiro
1 - 3
Athletic Club MG
Br2
América Mineiro
1 - 0
Goiás
Br2
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Ceará SC
Br2
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Londrina
Br2
América Mineiro
0 - 1
Criciúma
Home Games: America MG
Br2
América Mineiro
2 - 0
Ponte Preta
Br2
América Mineiro
1 - 3
Athletic Club MG
Br2
América Mineiro
1 - 0
Goiás
Br2
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Ceará SC
Br2
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Londrina
Br2
América Mineiro
0 - 1
Criciúma
Last 6: Nautico
Br2
São Bernardo SP
1 - 1
Nautico
Br2
Ponte Preta
1 - 1
Nautico
Br2
Criciúma
0 - 0
Nautico
Br2
CRB AL
2 - 1
Nautico
Br2
Avai FC
2 - 0
Nautico
Br2
Vila Nova FC
4 - 3
Nautico
Away Games: Nautico
Br2
São Bernardo SP
1 - 1
Nautico
Br2
Ponte Preta
1 - 1
Nautico
Br2
Criciúma
0 - 0
Nautico
Br2
CRB AL
2 - 1
Nautico
Br2
Avai FC
2 - 0
Nautico
Br2
Vila Nova FC
4 - 3
Nautico
history Recent Form
America MGW
L
W
D
D
NauticoD
D
D
L
L
group Head to Head
PL10 May 2026
4-0
PL12 Jan 2021
0-0
PL9 Oct 2020
2-0
PL12 Aug 2017
1-0
PL13 May 2017
0-0
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
6 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
5 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
4 / 9 matches
America MG CS
44%
Clean Sheets
Nautico CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
10 May 2026
Náutico
4 - 0
América Mineiro
12 Jan 2021
Náutico
0 - 0
América Mineiro
9 Oct 2020
América Mineiro
2 - 0
Náutico
12 Aug 2017
América Mineiro
1 - 0
Náutico
13 May 2017
Náutico
0 - 0
América Mineiro
12 Sept 2015
América Mineiro
2 - 1
Náutico
5 Jun 2015
Náutico
2 - 1
América Mineiro
7 Oct 2014
Náutico
1 - 4
América Mineiro
31 May 2014
América Mineiro
1 - 3
Náutico
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.75
Form (Overall)
1.08
Nautico is +44% better in terms of Points Per Game
América Mineiro
2 - 0
Ponte Preta
América Mineiro
1 - 3
Athletic Club
América Mineiro
1 - 0
Goiás
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Ceará
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Londrina
São Bernardo
1 - 1
Náutico
Ponte Preta
1 - 1
Náutico
Criciúma
0 - 0
Náutico
CRB
2 - 1
Náutico
Avaí
2 - 0
Náutico
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