America MG vs Sao Bernardo Prediction & Tips | Serie B | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.28
X3.13
23.06
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
59
Best near-miss
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #19 vs Away #14
Season: Home 0.63 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.92 GPG vs Away 1.69 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
33%
23%
43%
America MG
Draw
Sao Bernardo
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.93 | 1.88 | 2.10 | +2.5% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | 2.13 | 1.91 | -17.9% |
| América Mineiro Win | 2.25 | 3.01 | 2.42 | -25.2% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 4.28 | 3.44 | -25.3% |
| São Bernardo Win | 3.15 | 3.07 | 3.38 | +2.6% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.90 | -4.2% |
| BTTS - No | 1.95 | 2.21 | 2.11 | -11.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 27 matchesAmerica MGvsSao Bernardo
0.78Goals / Match1.37
1.70Conceded / Match1.15
4Clean Sheets6
4.67Shots on Target / Match4.44
53.7%Possession %51.1%
84.6%Pass Accuracy %83.8%
radarTeam Profile
America MG
Sao Bernardo
sports_soccer
26Attack40
shield
31Defense44
swap_horiz
56Possession53
gps_fixed
41Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
36Creativity50
gavel
41Discipline41
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
21Goals Scored37
46Goals Conceded31
4Clean Sheets6
48Big Chances55
34Big Chances Missed31
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
370Total Shots344
126Shots on Target120
swap_horizPassing & Possession
53.7%Avg Possession51.1%
11,596Total Passes11,513
84.6%Pass Accuracy83.8%
shieldDefending
345Tackles344
210Interceptions224
93Saves87
49.9%Duels Won49.1%
gavelDiscipline
375Fouls336
54Yellow Cards58
1Red Cards2
41Offsides48
analyticsOther
150Corners138
161Successful Dribbles164
8Errors Leading to Goal4
6.72Avg Rating6.81
history Recent Form
America MGW
W
L
W
D
Sao BernardoW
L
D
W
L
group Head to Head
PL16 May 2026
1-1
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
1 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
1 / 1 matches
America MG CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Sao Bernardo CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
16 May 2026
São Bernardo
1 - 1
América Mineiro
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.92
Form (Overall)
1.77
Sao Bernardo is +92% better in terms of Points Per Game
América Mineiro
2 - 1
Náutico
América Mineiro
2 - 0
Ponte Preta
América Mineiro
1 - 3
Athletic Club
América Mineiro
1 - 0
Goiás
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Ceará
Ponte Preta
0 - 2
São Bernardo
Goiás
2 - 1
São Bernardo
Fortaleza
1 - 1
São Bernardo
Operário PR
1 - 3
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
2 - 1
São Bernardo
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