Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 17 March
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Away
ArsenalTimelineBayer Leverkusen
1st Half
Eze E.Assist: Trossard L.
sports_soccer
36'
2nd Half
Palacios E.
46'
Tillman M.Out: Terrier M.
sync_alt
60'
Culbreath M.Out: Poku E.
sync_alt
60'
Rice D.
sports_soccer
63'
Norgaard C.Out: Zubimendi M.
sync_alt
68'
Mosquera C.Out: White B.
sync_alt
69'
Martinelli G.Out: Trossard L.
sync_alt
69'
Havertz K.Out: Eze E.
sync_alt
69'
Schick P.Out: Palacios E.
sync_alt
70'
Fernandez E.Out: Andrich R.
sync_alt
83'
Lewis-Skelly M.Out: Gyökeres V.
sync_alt
90'

Top stats

1.74Expected goals (xG)0.52
41%Ball possession59%
21Total shots9
12Shots on target2
1Big chances1
10Corner kicks8
84% (320/383)Passes88% (471/536)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

1.74Expected goals (xG)0.52
2.92xG on target (xGOT)0.64
21Total shots9
12Shots on target2
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box5
8Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances1
10Corner kicks8
39Touches in opposition box22
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
8Free kicks4

Passes

84% (320/383)Passes88% (471/536)
54% (19/35)Long passes54% (25/46)
77% (109/141)Passes in final third85% (144/170)
44% (7/16)Crosses17% (5/30)
2.07Expected assists (xA)0.75
15Throw ins14

Defense

4Fouls8
59% (10/17)Tackles54% (7/13)
47Duels won35
25Clearances19
9Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot3
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves10
0.64xGOT faced2.92
0.64Goals prevented0.92
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.29
X5.96
211.30

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.80 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.75 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.25 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

96%
2%
2%
Arsenal
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen

Match Preview

Arsenal will take on Bayer Leverkusen in a crucial Champions League match at the Emirates Stadium on March 17, 2026.

Arsenal, with 5 wins in their last 6 league matches and an impressive record of 19 wins in 23 home games this season, will face Bayer Leverkusen, who have seen a high percentage of draws in their recent fixtures and have secured 3 victories in their last 5 Champions League away matches.

In their only previous head-to-head clash, Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen played out a draw, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter between the two sides.

As they prepare to battle it out on the pitch, both teams will be looking to secure a vital win to progress further in the tournament.

With both Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen displaying their strengths and aiming for success, the match is poised to be a closely contested affair.

The Head to Head stats suggest that there may not be much to separate the teams, adding an element of unpredictability to the outcome.

Our algorithm predicts that under 2.5 goals will be scored in what is expected to be a tightly contested match between Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen.

Arsenal return to the Emirates Stadium with the advantage of an away draw as they host Bayer Leverkusen in the decisive second leg of their UEFA Champions League round of 16 tie.

The first leg in Germany ended 1–1 after Robert Andrich gave Leverkusen the lead early in the second half before Kai Havertz equalised from the penalty spot in the closing stages. The result leaves the tie finely balanced, but Arsenal hold the advantage of playing the return leg at home.

Mikel Arteta’s side arrive in strong form. The Gunners are unbeaten in their last 13 competitive matches and followed the first-leg draw with a 2–0 victory over Everton in the Premier League. Their home record in Europe is particularly impressive, having won all four Champions League matches at the Emirates this season while scoring 12 goals and conceding only three.

Leverkusen, under Kasper Hjulmand, have proven difficult to beat recently but have struggled to convert draws into victories. The Bundesliga side have drawn five of their last six matches in all competitions and face the challenge of improving a historically poor away record against English opposition in the Champions League.

Historically, Arsenal have progressed from 17 of their 20 European knockout ties when avoiding defeat in the first leg away from home, a statistic that will boost confidence ahead of this decisive fixture.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK7.07
-Piero Hincapié
DL6.65
-William Saliba
DC6.78
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC7.06
-Cristhian Mosquera
DR6.64
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC7.12
-Declan Rice
DMC6.95
-Gabriel Martinelli
AML7.63
-Kai Havertz
AMC7.52
-Bukayo Saka
AMR7.15
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW7.00

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Janis Blaswich
GK6.33
-Jarell Quansah
DC6.71
-Robert Andrich
DC6.54
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC6.64
-Alejandro Grimaldo
DML7.62
-Aleix García
MC6.85
-Exequiel Palacios
MC7.03
-Ernest Poku
DMR6.44
-Ibrahim Maza
AMC6.84
-Malik Tillman
AMC6.42
-Patrik Schick
FW7.06
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 / 20 matches
ArsenalvsBayer Leverkusen

radarTeam Profile

Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
94Attack40
shield
61Defense45
swap_horiz
65Possession34
gps_fixed
91Efficiency70
auto_fix_high
75Creativity25
gavel
41Discipline52

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

24Goals Scored30
5Goals Conceded30
5Clean Sheets3
46Big Chances27
30Big Chances Missed13
2Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

141Total Shots274
65Shots on Target96

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.8%Avg Possession49.4%
4,097Total Passes7,660
85.0%Pass Accuracy73.4%

shieldDefending

97Tackles360
63Interceptions187
20Saves52
50.0%Duels Won50.0%

gavelDiscipline

121Fouls224
21Yellow Cards26
0Red Cards3
14Offsides65

analyticsOther

47Corners103
73Successful Dribbles119
0Errors Leading to Goal3
7.02Avg Rating6.73

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricBayer Leverkusen
24
Goals
14
19
Assists
9
6.8
Average Ratings
6.5
25.6
Average Age
26.8
186.1
Average Height (cm)
183.2
1.1
Shots pg
0.8
55%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.6
0.6
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For Arsenal

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Arsenal880024
2Bayern Munich870121

For Bayer Leverkusen

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Atalanta841313
16Bayer Leverkusen833212
17Borussia Dortmund832311

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

59.1/ 101.6
Dangerous Attacks
47.0/ 104.7
36.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
15.0
Total Shots
13.4
57.0%
Possession
57.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2
Goals Scored / Match
1.8
0.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Arsenal Wins
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Bayer Leverkusen Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 1

Recent Form Stats

MarketArsenalBayer Leverkusen
Over 1.5 Goals
81%39/48
71%34/48
Over 2.5 Goals
54%26/48
42%20/48
Both Teams to Score
48%23/48
44%21/48
* Based on last 48 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Arsenal

EPL
Arsenal
2 - 0
Everton
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
FA
Arsenal
4 - 0
Wigan Athletic
EPL
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
UCL
Arsenal
3 - 2
Kairat Almaty

Home Games: Arsenal

EPL
Arsenal
2 - 0
Everton
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
FA
Arsenal
4 - 0
Wigan Athletic
EPL
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
UCL
Arsenal
3 - 2
Kairat Almaty

Last 6: Bayer Leverkusen

De1
Freiburg
3 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen

Away Games: Bayer Leverkusen

De1
Freiburg
3 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
UCL
Olympiacos FC
0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
1 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen

history Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
2.4 GPG
W
W
W
W
D
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.5 GPG
D
D
W
D
L

group Head to Head

PL11 Mar 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
Arsenal
PL7 Aug 2024
Arsenal
4-1
Bayer Leverkusen
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
2 / 2 matches
Arsenal CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Bayer Leverkusen CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Mar 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Arsenal
7 Aug 2024
Arsenal
4 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.40
Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
1.50

Arsenal is +60% better in terms of Points Per Game

Arsenal
2 - 0
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Bayern München
Freiburg
3 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen

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