Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 11 April
Bournemouth

Bournemouth

Away
ArsenalTimelineBournemouth
1st Half
Kroupi E. J.
sports_soccer
17'
Gyökeres V.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
35'
2nd Half
Eze E.Out: Havertz K.
sync_alt
54'
Dowman M.Out: Madueke N.
sync_alt
54'
Trossard L.Out: Martinelli G.
sync_alt
54'
Adams T.Out: Christie R.
sync_alt
70'
Brooks D.Out: Rayan
sync_alt
70'
Scott A.Assist: Evanilson
sports_soccer
74'
Mosquera C.Out: White B.
sync_alt
76'
Gabriel JesusOut: Zubimendi M.
sync_alt
76'
Truffert A.
77'
Kroupi E. J.
79'
Gyökeres V.
80'
Toth A.Out: Kroupi E. J.
sync_alt
85'
Unal E.Out: Evanilson
sync_alt
90'
Smith A.Out: Jimenez A.
sync_alt
90'
Hill J.
90+6'

Top stats

2.32Expected goals (xG)1.19
52%Ball possession48%
15Total shots8
3Shots on target3
5Big chances2
10Corner kicks1
81% (314/389)Passes80% (292/367)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

2.32Expected goals (xG)1.19
1.08xG on target (xGOT)1.41
15Total shots8
3Shots on target3
4Shots off target3
8Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box5
5Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances2
10Corner kicks1
33Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
18Free kicks12

Passes

81% (314/389)Passes80% (292/367)
45% (21/47)Long passes25% (13/51)
71% (84/119)Passes in final third64% (56/87)
23% (5/22)Crosses13% (1/8)
0.72Expected assists (xA)0.29
30Throw ins20

Defense

12Fouls18
65% (11/17)Tackles55% (11/20)
56Duels won58
23Clearances28
7Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2
1.41xGOT faced1.08
-0.59Goals prevented0.08
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.44
X4.86
27.51

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
78
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #13
Season: Home 2.26 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.80 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 1.53 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

92%
4%
4%
Arsenal
Draw
Bournemouth

Match Preview

Arsenal have struggled in recent weeks, losing in both domestic cups and were not at their best despite beating Sporting 1-0 in the Champions League quarter-finals on Tuesday.

But in the Premier League, the Gunners have won their last four games and know that a fifth straight success will see them move 12 points clear of second-place Manchester City.

Bournemouth might have drawn their last five Premier League games but head to the Emirates on the longest unbeaten run in the top-flight - 11 matches.

The Gunners were the last team to beat the Cherries way back in early-January.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK6.64
-Riccardo Calafiori
DL6.83
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC7.32
-William Saliba
DC6.89
-Jurriën Timber
DR6.96
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC6.96
-Declan Rice
DMC7.32
-Gabriel Martinelli
AML6.40
-Martin Ødegaard
AMC6.72
-Bukayo Saka
AMR7.26
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW6.67

Bournemouth

Starting 11
-Djordje Petrovic
GK6.63
-Adrien Truffert
DL6.93
-Marcos Senesi
DC7.07
-James Hill
DC6.93
-Álex Jiménez
DR6.67
-Ryan Christie
DMC6.44
-Alex Scott
DMC6.85
-Marcus Tavernier
AML6.84
-Junior Kroupi
AMC6.57
-Rayan
AMR6.89
-Evanilson
FW6.59
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 31 matches
ArsenalvsBournemouth

radarTeam Profile

Arsenal
Bournemouth
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
67Attack47
shield
68Defense55
swap_horiz
64Possession51
gps_fixed
72Efficiency62
auto_fix_high
55Creativity35
gavel
69Discipline45

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

61Goals Scored46
22Goals Conceded48
15Clean Sheets9
89Big Chances71
56Big Chances Missed44
3Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

455Total Shots434
154Shots on Target148

swap_horizPassing & Possession

56.7%Avg Possession50.4%
14,718Total Passes12,820
84.3%Pass Accuracy79.9%

shieldDefending

510Tackles532
222Interceptions304
50Saves94
52.4%Duels Won47.8%

gavelDiscipline

316Fouls367
40Yellow Cards71
0Red Cards1
45Offsides62

analyticsOther

181Corners177
226Successful Dribbles235
5Errors Leading to Goal3
6.94Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricBournemouth
57
Goals
46
43
Assists
27
6.7
Average Ratings
6.5
26
Average Age
24.2
184
Average Height (cm)
181.7
1
Shots pg
0.9
52%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.1
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
2.3 GPG
W
W
W
W
D
BournemouthBournemouth
1.4 GPG
D
D
D
D
D

group Head to Head

PL3 Jan 2026
AFC Bournemouth
2-3
Arsenal
PL3 May 2025
Arsenal
1-2
AFC Bournemouth
PL19 Oct 2024
AFC Bournemouth
2-0
Arsenal
PL25 Jul 2024
Arsenal
1-1
AFC Bournemouth
PL4 May 2024
Arsenal
3-0
AFC Bournemouth
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
95%
18 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
13 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
6 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
11 / 19 matches
Arsenal CS
37%
Clean Sheets
Bournemouth CS
5%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Jan 2026
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 3
Arsenal
3 May 2025
Arsenal
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
19 Oct 2024
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 0
Arsenal
25 Jul 2024
Arsenal
1 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
4 May 2024
Arsenal
3 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
30 Sept 2023
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 4
Arsenal
4 Mar 2023
Arsenal
3 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
20 Aug 2022
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 3
Arsenal
27 Jan 2020
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 2
Arsenal
26 Dec 2019
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Arsenal
6 Oct 2019
Arsenal
1 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
27 Feb 2019
Arsenal
5 - 1
AFC Bournemouth

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.26
Form (Overall)
Bournemouth
1.35

Arsenal is +67% better in terms of Points Per Game

Arsenal
2 - 0
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 2
Manchester United
Burnley
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 0
Brentford
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland
West Ham United
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth

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