Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips | EFL Cup

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Arsenal

Home

Full Time

1 - 0

HT: 0 - 0

Tuesday 3 February

Chelsea

Away

ArsenalTimelineChelsea

2nd Half

Arteta M.

53'

Delap L.

56'

EstêvãoOut: Hato J.

sync_alt

60'

Palmer C.Out: Delap L.

sync_alt

60'

Gusto M.

68'

Havertz K.Out: Gyökeres V.

sync_alt

69'

Trossard L.Out: Madueke N.

sync_alt

69'

Estêvão

71'

Garnacho A.Out: Andrey Santos

sync_alt

75'

Acheampong J.Out: Gusto M.

sync_alt

87'

Havertz K.Assist: Rice D.

sports_soccer

90+7'

Top stats

0.91Expected goals (xG)0.68

44%Ball possession56%

5Total shots14

2Shots on target2

2Big chances1

2Corner kicks5

85% (346/407)Passes90% (461/513)

0Yellow cards3

Shots

0.91Expected goals (xG)0.68

1.20xG on target (xGOT)0.17

5Total shots14

2Shots on target2

0Shots off target8

3Blocked shots4

4Shots inside the box5

1Shots outside the box9

0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1

2Corner kicks5

15Touches in opposition box21

0Accurate through passes0

1Offsides1

12Free kicks14

Passes

85% (346/407)Passes90% (461/513)

30% (14/47)Long passes47% (21/45)

58% (44/76)Passes in final third79% (94/119)

8% (1/12)Crosses26% (5/19)

0.38Expected assists (xA)0.72

12Throw ins16

Defense

14Fouls12

56% (9/16)Tackles50% (5/10)

42Duels won43

21Clearances17

5Interceptions4

1Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves1

0.17xGOT faced1.20

0.17Goals prevented0.20

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified High Confidence

11.67

X4.17

24.91

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Low (2/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.55 PPG vs Away 2.35 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.25 GPG vs Away 2.60 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%

29%

28%

Arsenal

Draw

Chelsea

Match Preview

Arsenal will clash against Chelsea in the EFL Cup at the Emirates Stadium on February 3, 2026 GMT.

Arsenal have won 28 of their last 37 matches and secured 1 win this season in the EFL Cup out of 2 home matches.

On the other hand, Chelsea has garnered 20 wins in 37 matches and have a 100 percent win ratio in their last 3 EFL Cup away matches.

Both teams have been strong in front of goal as Arsenal has scored 2+ goals in 100 percent of their last 3 matches, while Chelsea has witnessed Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3 away matches.

This encounter promises to be an intriguing battle between two formidable sides with an attacking mindset.

Prediction: Arsenal and Chelsea to draw 2-2.

Arsenal head into the second leg with a narrow 3-2 advantage after edging Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, and their overall season form remains extremely strong across all competitions.

Mikel Arteta’s side bounced back from a brief domestic wobble with an emphatic win over Leeds and have been particularly reliable at the Emirates.

Chelsea, meanwhile, arrive in confident mood under Liam Rosenior after a run of victories, but they face a tough task given their poor recent record against Arsenal. With the Gunners holding the lead and boasting strong home form, they look well placed to finish the job.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11

-Kepa Arrizabalaga

GK6.43

-Piero Hincapié

DL7.38

-Gabriel Magalhães

DC6.38

-William Saliba

DC7.08

-Jurriën Timber

DR6.87

-Martin Ødegaard

MC6.60

-Martín Zubimendi

MC7.68

-Declan Rice

MC6.76

-Gabriel Martinelli

FWL6.70

-Viktor Gyökeres

FW7.03

-Noni Madueke

FWR7.31

Chelsea

Starting 11

-Robert Sánchez

GK4.88

-Marc Cucurella

DL6.10

-Wesley Fofana

DC6.60

-Trevoh Chalobah

DC6.28

-Reece James

-Moisés Caicedo

DMC6.97

-Enzo Fernández

DMC6.15

-João Pedro

AML6.66

-Cole Palmer

AMC

-Pedro Neto

AMR6.87

-Liam Delap

FW4.46

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricChelsea

Goals

Assists

6.9

Average Ratings

6.5

Average Age

184.5

Average Height (cm)

183.6

1.5

Shots pg

1.1

41%

Aerial Duel Success

50%

1.7

Dribbles pg

0.8

1.2

Tackles pg

1.2

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

58.0/ 101.3

Dangerous Attacks

54.3/ 103.5

37.0%

Shots on Target

37.0%

15.5

Total Shots

14.0

58.0%

Possession

58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2

Goals Scored / Match

2.0

0.7

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

Arsenal Wins

50%

Draws

50%

Chelsea Wins

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Arsenal	Chelsea
Over 1.5 Goals	81%30/37	86%32/37
Over 2.5 Goals	54%20/37	70%26/37
Both Teams to Score	46%17/37	68%25/37

* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Arsenal

Home Games: Arsenal

Last 6: Chelsea

Away Games: Chelsea

history Recent Form

Arsenal

2.3 GPG

Chelsea

2.0 GPG

group Head to Head

PL14 Jan 2026

2-3

PL30 Nov 2025

1-1

PL16 Mar 2025

1-0

PL10 Nov 2024

1-1

PL23 Apr 2024

5-0

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

77%

36 / 47 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

25 / 47 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

32%

15 / 47 matches

Both Teams to Score

53%

25 / 47 matches

Arsenal CS

28%

Clean Sheets

Chelsea CS

30%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Jan 2026

Chelsea

2 - 3

Arsenal

30 Nov 2025

Chelsea

1 - 1

Arsenal

16 Mar 2025

Arsenal

1 - 0

Chelsea

10 Nov 2024

Chelsea

1 - 1

Arsenal

23 Apr 2024

Arsenal

5 - 0

Chelsea

21 Oct 2023

Chelsea

2 - 2

Arsenal

2 May 2023

Arsenal

3 - 1

Chelsea

6 Nov 2022

Chelsea

0 - 1

Arsenal

20 Apr 2022

Chelsea

2 - 4

Arsenal

22 Aug 2021

Arsenal

0 - 2

Chelsea

12 May 2021

Chelsea

0 - 1

Arsenal

26 Dec 2020

Arsenal

3 - 1

Chelsea

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.30

Form (Overall)

2.00

Arsenal is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game

Leeds United

0 - 4

Arsenal

2 - 3

Manchester United

Nottingham Forest

0 - 0

Arsenal

0 - 0

Liverpool

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 3

Arsenal

Chelsea

3 - 2

West Ham United

Crystal Palace

1 - 3

Chelsea

2 - 0

Brentford

Fulham

2 - 1

Chelsea

Manchester City

1 - 1

Chelsea

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified High Confidence

11.67

X4.17

24.91

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Low (2/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.55 PPG vs Away 2.35 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.25 GPG vs Away 2.60 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 1.40 conc

Match Preview

Arsenal will clash against Chelsea in the EFL Cup at the Emirates Stadium on February 3, 2026 GMT.

Arsenal have won 28 of their last 37 matches and secured 1 win this season in the EFL Cup out of 2 home matches.

On the other hand, Chelsea has garnered 20 wins in 37 matches and have a 100 percent win ratio in their last 3 EFL Cup away matches.

Both teams have been strong in front of goal as Arsenal has scored 2+ goals in 100 percent of their last 3 matches, while Chelsea has witnessed Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3 away matches.

This encounter promises to be an intriguing battle between two formidable sides with an attacking mindset.

Prediction: Arsenal and Chelsea to draw 2-2.

Arsenal head into the second leg with a narrow 3-2 advantage after edging Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, and their overall season form remains extremely strong across all competitions.

Mikel Arteta’s side bounced back from a brief domestic wobble with an emphatic win over Leeds and have been particularly reliable at the Emirates.

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricChelsea

Goals

Assists

6.9

Average Ratings

6.5

Average Age

184.5

Average Height (cm)

183.6

1.5

Shots pg

1.1

41%

Aerial Duel Success

50%

1.7

Dribbles pg

0.8

1.2

Tackles pg

1.2

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

58.0/ 101.3

Dangerous Attacks

54.3/ 103.5

37.0%

Shots on Target

37.0%

15.5

Total Shots

14.0

58.0%

Possession

58.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Arsenal Wins

50%

Draws

50%

Chelsea Wins

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Arsenal

Home Games: Arsenal

Last 6: Chelsea

Away Games: Chelsea

group Head to Head

PL14 Jan 2026

2-3

PL30 Nov 2025

1-1

PL16 Mar 2025

1-0

PL10 Nov 2024

1-1

PL23 Apr 2024

5-0

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.30

Form (Overall)

2.00

Arsenal is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game

Leeds United

0 - 4

Arsenal

2 - 3

Manchester United

Nottingham Forest

0 - 0

Arsenal

0 - 0

Liverpool

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 3

Arsenal

Chelsea

3 - 2

West Ham United

Crystal Palace

1 - 3

Chelsea

2 - 0

Brentford

Fulham

2 - 1

Chelsea

Manchester City

1 - 1

Chelsea

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%

29%

28%

Arsenal

Draw

Chelsea

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11

-Kepa Arrizabalaga

GK6.43

-Piero Hincapié

DL7.38

-Gabriel Magalhães

DC6.38

-William Saliba

DC7.08

-Jurriën Timber

DR6.87

-Martin Ødegaard

MC6.60

-Martín Zubimendi

MC7.68

-Declan Rice

MC6.76

-Gabriel Martinelli

FWL6.70

-Viktor Gyökeres

FW7.03

-Noni Madueke

FWR7.31

Chelsea

Starting 11

-Robert Sánchez

GK4.88

-Marc Cucurella

DL6.10

-Wesley Fofana

DC6.60

-Trevoh Chalobah

DC6.28

-Reece James

-Moisés Caicedo

DMC6.97

-Enzo Fernández

DMC6.15

-João Pedro

AML6.66

-Cole Palmer

AMC

-Pedro Neto

AMR6.87

-Liam Delap

FW4.46

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2

Goals Scored / Match

2.0

0.7

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

Recent Form Stats

Market	Arsenal	Chelsea
Over 1.5 Goals	81%30/37	86%32/37
Over 2.5 Goals	54%20/37	70%26/37
Both Teams to Score	46%17/37	68%25/37

* Based on last 37 matches

history Recent Form

Arsenal

2.3 GPG

Chelsea

2.0 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

77%

36 / 47 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

25 / 47 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

32%

15 / 47 matches

Both Teams to Score

53%

25 / 47 matches

Arsenal CS

28%

Clean Sheets

Chelsea CS

30%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Jan 2026

Chelsea

2 - 3

Arsenal

30 Nov 2025

Chelsea

1 - 1

Arsenal

16 Mar 2025

Arsenal

1 - 0

Chelsea

10 Nov 2024

Chelsea

1 - 1

Arsenal

23 Apr 2024

Arsenal

5 - 0

Chelsea

21 Oct 2023

Chelsea

2 - 2

Arsenal

2 May 2023

Arsenal

3 - 1

Chelsea

6 Nov 2022

Chelsea

0 - 1

Arsenal

20 Apr 2022

Chelsea

2 - 4

Arsenal

22 Aug 2021

Arsenal

0 - 2

Chelsea

12 May 2021

Chelsea

0 - 1

Arsenal

26 Dec 2020

Arsenal

3 - 1

Chelsea

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