Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 1 March
Chelsea

Chelsea

Away
ArsenalTimelineChelsea
1st Half
Saliba W. (Gabriel)
sports_soccer
21'
Hincapie P. (James R.)
sports_soccer
45+2'
2nd Half
Martinelli G.Out: Trossard L.
sync_alt
56'
Palmer C.
59'
Hato J.
65'
Timber J.Assist: Rice D.
sports_soccer
66'
Neto P.
67'
Neto P.
70'
Gabriel
75'
Lavia R.Out: Andrey Santos
sync_alt
75'
Gusto M.Out: Hato J.
sync_alt
75'
Havertz K.Out: Gyökeres V.
sync_alt
76'
Norgaard C.Out: Rice D.
sync_alt
76'
Fernandez E.
79'
Delap L.Out: Fernandez E.
sync_alt
86'
Garnacho A.Out: Palmer C.
sync_alt
86'
Adarabioyo T.Out: Sarr M.
sync_alt
90'

Top stats

1.09Expected goals (xG)1.07
41%Ball possession59%
12Total shots9
5Shots on target3
2Big chances3
5Corner kicks10
82% (277/338)Passes88% (425/482)
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards1

Shots

1.09Expected goals (xG)1.07
2.09xG on target (xGOT)1.09
12Total shots9
5Shots on target3
3Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box5
5Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork1
2Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances3
5Corner kicks10
30Touches in opposition box13
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides1
14Free kicks11

Passes

82% (277/338)Passes88% (425/482)
49% (21/43)Long passes40% (19/47)
65% (72/110)Passes in final third78% (59/76)
18% (2/11)Crosses22% (4/18)
1.52Expected assists (xA)0.81
8Throw ins9

Defense

11Fouls14
53% (9/17)Tackles40% (8/20)
48Duels won49
21Clearances22
5Interceptions13
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
1.09xGOT faced2.09
1.09Goals prevented0.09
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.59
X4.39
25.70

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
74
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #6
Season: Home 2.18 PPG vs Away 1.67 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.38 GPG vs Away 1.92 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

71%
16%
13%
Arsenal
Draw
Chelsea

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK6.59
-Piero Hincapié
DL6.87
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC7.24
-William Saliba
DC6.83
-Jurriën Timber
DR6.94
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC6.98
-Declan Rice
DMC7.32
-Leandro Trossard
AML6.88
-Eberechi Eze
AMC6.82
-Bukayo Saka
AMR7.28
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW6.69

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Robert Sánchez
GK6.72
-Malo Gusto
DL6.63
-Tosin Adarabioyo
DC6.73
-Trevoh Chalobah
DC7.01
-Reece James
DR6.94
-Moisés Caicedo
DMC7.04
-Andrey Santos
DMC6.43
-Pedro Neto
AML6.89
-Enzo Fernández
AMC6.98
-Cole Palmer
AMR6.84
-João Pedro
FW7.09
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

In a North West London derby, Arsenal will take on Chelsea in a Premier League matchup at Emirates Stadium on March 1, 2026 GMT.

Arsenal leads the standings in 1st place with 61 points, while Chelsea follows closely behind in 5th place with 45 points.

Arsenal has been dominant at home, securing wins in 67% of their last 6 matches, while Chelsea has displayed strong form with 4 wins in their recent 6 league outings.

In past Premier League encounters, Arsenal and Chelsea have each emerged victorious in 50% of their last 6 head-to-head matches, highlighting the competitive nature of their rivalry.

With both teams vying for important points, this match is expected to be closely contested.

Prediction: Arsenal and Chelsea to draw with a probability of 37%.

Arsenal showed their title credentials with an impressive 4-1 victory at bitter rivals Tottenham getting them right back on track and restoring their five-point lead over Manchester City in the process.

That gap could be back to just two points with City at Leeds on Saturday but the Gunners should be confident of doing their job considering they're unbeaten in their last 10 meetings in all competitions with Chelsea.

Liam Rosenior is yet to lose a Premier League game since replacing Enzo Maresca last month but the Blues boss is under pressure following consecutive home draws to Leeds and Burnley.

Those poor results have allowed sixth-place Liverpool to move within goal difference of Chelsea in fifth, which is likely to be worth a Champions League spot.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 / 27 matches
ArsenalvsChelsea
2.00Goals / Match1.78
0.75Conceded / Match1.15
13Clean Sheets9
5.00Shots on Target / Match4.70
57.5%Possession %58.7%
84.6%Pass Accuracy %86.9%

radarTeam Profile

Arsenal
Chelsea
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
69Attack61
shield
66Defense60
swap_horiz
66Possession73
gps_fixed
72Efficiency76
auto_fix_high
56Creativity52
gavel
68Discipline30

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

56Goals Scored48
21Goals Conceded31
13Clean Sheets9
85Big Chances83
56Big Chances Missed43
3Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

411Total Shots368
140Shots on Target127

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.5%Avg Possession58.7%
13,477Total Passes14,578
84.6%Pass Accuracy86.9%

shieldDefending

461Tackles433
205Interceptions270
41Saves71
52.6%Duels Won51.3%

gavelDiscipline

282Fouls301
38Yellow Cards64
0Red Cards6
43Offsides38

analyticsOther

165Corners158
207Successful Dribbles203
5Errors Leading to Goal5
6.94Avg Rating6.90

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricChelsea
52
Goals
48
38
Assists
31
6.7
Average Ratings
6.6
26.6
Average Age
24.7
183.1
Average Height (cm)
184.1
1
Shots pg
1
53%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Arsenal

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Arsenal28187361
2Manchester City28185559

For Chelsea

PosTeamPWDLPts
5Liverpool28146848
6Chelsea27129645
7Brentford281341143

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

59.0/ 101.3
Dangerous Attacks
53.7/ 104.0
36.0%
Shots on Target
36.0%
15.1
Total Shots
14.1
58.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.2
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
0.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Arsenal Wins
67%
2
Draws
33%
0
Chelsea Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketArsenalChelsea
Over 1.5 Goals
81%35/43
84%36/43
Over 2.5 Goals
56%24/43
67%29/43
Both Teams to Score
47%20/43
65%28/43
* Based on last 43 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Arsenal

FA
Arsenal
4 - 0
Wigan Athletic
EPL
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
UCL
Arsenal
3 - 2
Kairat Almaty
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 3
Manchester United
EPL
Arsenal
0 - 0
Liverpool

Home Games: Arsenal

FA
Arsenal
4 - 0
Wigan Athletic
EPL
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
UCL
Arsenal
3 - 2
Kairat Almaty
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 3
Manchester United
EPL
Arsenal
0 - 0
Liverpool

Last 6: Chelsea

FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
UCL
Napoli
2 - 3
Chelsea
EPL
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Chelsea
FA
Charlton Athletic
1 - 5
Chelsea

Away Games: Chelsea

FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
EPL
Wolverhampton
1 - 3
Chelsea
EFL
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
UCL
Napoli
2 - 3
Chelsea
EPL
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Chelsea
FA
Charlton Athletic
1 - 5
Chelsea

history Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
2.2 GPG
W
D
D
W
W
ChelseaChelsea
1.7 GPG
D
D
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL3 Feb 2026
Arsenal
1-0
Chelsea
PL14 Jan 2026
Chelsea
2-3
Arsenal
PL30 Nov 2025
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
PL16 Mar 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Chelsea
PL10 Nov 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
36 / 48 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
25 / 48 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
15 / 48 matches
Both Teams to Score
52%
25 / 48 matches
Arsenal CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Chelsea CS
29%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Feb 2026
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
14 Jan 2026
Chelsea
2 - 3
Arsenal
30 Nov 2025
Chelsea
1 - 1
Arsenal
16 Mar 2025
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
10 Nov 2024
Chelsea
1 - 1
Arsenal
23 Apr 2024
Arsenal
5 - 0
Chelsea
21 Oct 2023
Chelsea
2 - 2
Arsenal
2 May 2023
Arsenal
3 - 1
Chelsea
6 Nov 2022
Chelsea
0 - 1
Arsenal
20 Apr 2022
Chelsea
2 - 4
Arsenal
22 Aug 2021
Arsenal
0 - 2
Chelsea
12 May 2021
Chelsea
0 - 1
Arsenal

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.18
Form (Overall)
Chelsea
1.67

Arsenal is +31% better in terms of Points Per Game

Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
Arsenal
Brentford
1 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
Chelsea
1 - 1
Burnley
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 - 3
Chelsea
Chelsea
3 - 2
West Ham United
Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Chelsea

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