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Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 6 September
Chelsea

Chelsea

Away
ArsenalTimelineChelsea
1st Half
Rogers M. (Hato J.)
sports_soccer
2'
Joao Pedro
14'
Havertz K. (Rice D.)
sports_soccer
25'
Palmer C.
45'
2nd Half
Odegaard M.Assist: Tzolis C.
sports_soccer
50'
Tzolis C.
58'
Lacroix M.
58'
Chavarria P.Out: Hato J.
sync_alt
60'
Gusto M.Out: Lavia R.
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60'
Hincapie P.Out: Calafiori R.
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66'
Zubimendi M.Out: Lewis-Skelly M.
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67'
Merino M.Out: Odegaard M.
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77'
Gyokeres V.Out: Havertz K.
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78'
EstêvãoOut: Neto P.
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81'
Rogers M.
83'
Welbeck D.Out: Rogers M.
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87'
Madueke N.Out: Saka B.
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90'
Merino M.
90+5'

Top stats

2.11Expected goals (xG)0.34
55%Ball possession45%
16Total shots13
9Shots on target5
4Big chances0
5Corner kicks3
84% (385/457)Passes82% (309/379)
2Yellow cards4

Shots

2.11Expected goals (xG)0.34
2.38xG on target (xGOT)0.36
16Total shots13
9Shots on target5
1Shots off target6
6Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box5
3Shots outside the box8
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

4Big chances0
5Corner kicks3
44Touches in opposition box25
3Accurate through passes0
3Offsides0
16Free kicks13

Passes

84% (385/457)Passes82% (309/379)
40% (19/48)Long passes42% (22/53)
81% (164/203)Passes in final third70% (90/128)
25% (4/16)Crosses7% (1/14)
2.05Expected assists (xA)0.30
11Throw ins12

Defense

13Fouls16
50% (5/10)Tackles55% (6/11)
42Duels won43
24Clearances23
9Interceptions8
2Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves8
0.36xGOT faced2.38
-0.64Goals prevented0.38
10Goal kicks8
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.70
X4.00
24.86

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Odds: 4.40Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #4
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.83 GPG vs Away 2.33 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

47%
24%
29%
Arsenal
Draw
Chelsea
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.731.75-1.2%
Arsenal Win1.702.15-20.8%
Draw3.704.15-10.9%
Chelsea Win4.403.41+29.1%
BTTS - Yes1.731.80-3.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Arsenal have not exactly hit top form at the start of this Premier League season, but two wins and two clean sheets already suggest they're the team to beat in the title race.

The Gunners are unbeaten in their last 11 meetings against Chelsea in all competitions (W8 D3).

Chelsea have been an exciting watch under Xabi Alonso, winning all three games in all competitions, scoring nine goals and conceding five.

But the type of defending they showed against Fulham and Brighton might not work against Arsenal as they target a first win at the Emirates since August 2021.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK6.70
-Riccardo Calafiori
DL7.40
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC6.92
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.17
-Ben White
DR7.51
-Bruno Guimarães
DMC5.97
-Declan Rice
DMC7.02
-Christos Tzolis
AML6.68
-Martin Ødegaard
AMC7.41
-Bukayo Saka
AMR7.96
-Kai Havertz
FW7.14

Chelsea

Starting 11
-Robert Sánchez
GK5.92
-Levi Colwill
DC6.30
-Maxence Lacroix
DC7.22
-Wesley Fofana
DC6.32
-Jorrel Hato
DML6.96
-Moisés Caicedo
MC6.10
-Roméo Lavia
MC7.00
-Malo Gusto
DMR6.55
-Morgan Rogers
FWL7.88
-João Pedro
FW8.22
-Cole Palmer
FWR8.30
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
ArsenalvsChelsea
2.00Goals / Match3.50
0.00Conceded / Match2.50
2Clean Sheets0
4.00Shots on Target / Match6.00
62.5%Possession %32.0%
89.9%Pass Accuracy %76.8%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored7
0Goals Conceded5
2Clean Sheets0
3Big Chances10
1Big Chances Missed4

gps_fixedShooting

27Total Shots35
8Shots on Target12

swap_horizPassing & Possession

62.5%Avg Possession32.0%
1,146Total Passes621
89.9%Pass Accuracy76.8%

shieldDefending

22Tackles35
14Interceptions16
1Saves8
54.3%Duels Won55.3%

gavelDiscipline

16Fouls13
2Yellow Cards4
13Offsides3

analyticsOther

12Corners8
12Successful Dribbles20
0Errors Leading to Goal1
8.04Avg Rating7.38

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricChelsea
4
Goals
7
3
Assists
6
6.8
Average Ratings
6.7
26.9
Average Age
23.9
184.4
Average Height (cm)
185.1
1.2
Shots pg
1.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.8
Dribbles pg
1.3
1.3
Tackles pg
1.7

history Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
2.0 GPG
W
W
ChelseaChelsea
1.9 GPG
W
W

group Head to Head

PL1 Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-1
Chelsea
PL3 Feb 2026
Arsenal
1-0
Chelsea
PL14 Jan 2026
Chelsea
2-3
Arsenal
PL30 Nov 2025
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
PL16 Mar 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Chelsea
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
76%
37 / 49 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
26 / 49 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
15 / 49 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
26 / 49 matches
Arsenal CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Chelsea CS
29%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Mar 2026
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
3 Feb 2026
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
14 Jan 2026
Chelsea
2 - 3
Arsenal
30 Nov 2025
Chelsea
1 - 1
Arsenal
16 Mar 2025
Arsenal
1 - 0
Chelsea
10 Nov 2024
Chelsea
1 - 1
Arsenal
23 Apr 2024
Arsenal
5 - 0
Chelsea
21 Oct 2023
Chelsea
2 - 2
Arsenal
2 May 2023
Arsenal
3 - 1
Chelsea
6 Nov 2022
Chelsea
0 - 1
Arsenal
20 Apr 2022
Chelsea
2 - 4
Arsenal
22 Aug 2021
Arsenal
0 - 2
Chelsea

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.00
Form (Overall)
Chelsea
1.90

Arsenal is +5% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
3 - 0
Coventry City
Chelsea
4 - 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
Fulham
2 - 3
Chelsea

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