Arsenal vs Lille Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Tuesday 13 October
Lille

Lille

Away
ArsenalTimelineLille
1st Half
Merino M.
29'
2nd Half
Timber J.Assist: Madueke N.
sports_soccer
64'
Saka B.Out: Madueke N.
sync_alt
65'
Havertz K.Out: Gyokeres V.
sync_alt
65'
Odegaard M.Out: Merino M.
sync_alt
65'
Eze E. (Saka B.)
sports_soccer
67'
Saka B. (Havertz K.)
sports_soccer
71'
Kjaergaard M.Out: Mukau N.
sync_alt
72'
Sahraoui O.Out: Bentaleb N.
sync_alt
72'
Giroud O.Out: Ueda A.
sync_alt
78'
Verdonk C.Out: Perraud R.
sync_alt
78'
White B.Out: Timber J.
sync_alt
78'
Goffi A.
81'
Diaoune S.Out: Bakwa D.
sync_alt
82'
Dowman M.Out: Eze E.
sync_alt
85'
Havertz K.
90+2'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.23
X6.33
212.50

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
69
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.50 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.20 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.60 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

52%
25%
23%
Arsenal
Draw
Lille
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.502.11-28.9%
Under 2.5 Goals2.381.90+25.2%
Arsenal Win1.201.93-38.0%
Draw6.804.00+69.9%
Lille Win13.009.73+33.5%
BTTS - Yes2.211.85+19.7%
BTTS - No1.622.18-25.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK7.05
-Piero Hincapié
DL6.63
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC7.16
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.98
-Ben White
DR6.94
-Bruno Guimarães
DMC6.33
-Declan Rice
DMC6.76
-Eberechi Eze
AML6.41
-Martin Ødegaard
AMC8.70
-Bukayo Saka
AMR6.66
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW6.53

Lille

Starting 11
-Berke Özer
GK5.89
-Romain Perraud
DL6.13
-Alexsandro
DC7.56
-Nathan Ngoy
DC5.94
-Tiago Santos
DR6.71
-Nabil Bentaleb
DMC6.75
-Benjamin André
DMC6.55
-Gaëtan Perrin
AML6.40
-Hákon Haraldsson
AMC6.13
-Dilane Bakwa
AMR6.11
-Ayase Ueda
FW7.06
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Arsenal welcome Lille to the Emirates Stadium looking to preserve their perfect start to the Champions League league phase. Mikel Arteta’s side opened with a 1-0 win away to Napoli, while Lille began with a 3-2 home defeat against Real Betis.

Arsenal’s victory in Naples underlined their defensive strength in this competition. Martin Ødegaard scored the only goal after a 29-pass move, while the Gunners again limited an opponent to very little, extending a run in which they have kept five clean sheets across their last seven Champions League matches.

Their broader European record is formidable. Arsenal have won 13 consecutive group or league-phase matches in UEFA competition and are unbeaten in their last seven Champions League home games against French opposition in the group or league phase, winning five of them. They also arrive on a nine-match unbeaten run at home in all competitions.

Lille, by contrast, face a difficult historical trend. They have lost their last seven Champions League matches against English sides and their previous eight away games against English opposition in all European competition, although six of those seven Champions League defeats came by only a single goal.

The visitors do arrive with some confidence after a 1-0 win over Le Havre, secured despite playing the final half-hour with 10 men. Arsenal also won domestically, coming from behind to beat Leeds 2-1, with Riccardo Calafiori and Bruno Guimarães overturning a second-half deficit.

Arsenal’s defensive numbers and home form make them strong favourites, but Lille have enough structure and experience to make this more awkward than the table might suggest. The hosts should still control midfield and have too many attacking options across the front line.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 matches
ArsenalvsLille
1.67Goals / Match1.50
0.83Conceded / Match0.67
3Clean Sheets4
5.00Shots on Target / Match5.50
59.2%Possession %47.3%
86.5%Pass Accuracy %85.8%

radarTeam Profile

Arsenal
Lille
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
55Attack46
shield
60Defense72
swap_horiz
64Possession55
gps_fixed
74Efficiency83
auto_fix_high
61Creativity64
gavel
67Discipline63

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

10Goals Scored9
5Goals Conceded4
3Clean Sheets4
16Big Chances15
11Big Chances Missed10
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

78Total Shots69
30Shots on Target33

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.2%Avg Possession47.3%
3,016Total Passes2,718
86.5%Pass Accuracy85.8%

shieldDefending

70Tackles90
44Interceptions46
13Saves19
53.6%Duels Won49.9%

gavelDiscipline

63Fouls70
8Yellow Cards8
27Offsides15

analyticsOther

27Corners18
32Successful Dribbles39
7.67Avg Rating7.59

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricLille
1
Goals
2
1
Assists
2
6.8
Average Ratings
6.4
27.5
Average Age
27.4
183.5
Average Height (cm)
180.8
2.4
Shots pg
1.2
47%
Aerial Duel Success
40%
2.5
Dribbles pg
2.5
1.4
Tackles pg
2.6

history Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
2.5 GPG
LilleLille
1.8 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.50
Form (Overall)
Lille
1.80

Arsenal is +39% better in terms of Points Per Game

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.