Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Tips | EFL Cup | FootballTips.app

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
6h
16:30
EFL Cup
Manchester City

Manchester City

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.38
X3.22
23.17

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
90
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.80 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.40 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.25 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

51%
23%
26%
Arsenal
Draw
Manchester City

Match Preview

Arsenal arrive at Wembley chasing a first EFL Cup triumph since 1993 and momentum is firmly on their side, with Mikel Arteta’s men unbeaten in 14 matches across all competitions.

The Gunners looked composed and ruthless in midweek against Bayer Leverkusen, underlining their authority at the business end of the season, while Arteta’s flawless personal record at Wembley further boosts confidence.

Manchester City, by contrast, come into the final on the back of Champions League disappointment and have won just one of their last five games, though their outstanding League Cup pedigree cannot be ignored.

Guardiola’s side have dominated this competition in recent years, but Arsenal’s recent head-to-head record against City suggests the gap has narrowed significantly. With form, belief and history at Wembley on their side, Arsenal may finally end their long League Cup drought.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK
-Piero Hincapié
DL7.43
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC6.66
-William Saliba
DC6.97
-Jurriën Timber
DR6.90
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC7.42
-Declan Rice
DMC6.84
-Leandro Trossard
AML6.62
-Eberechi Eze
AMC6.81
-Bukayo Saka
AMR6.83
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW6.71

Manchester City

Starting 11
-James Trafford
GK6.83
-Rayan Aït-Nouri
DL7.08
-John Stones
DC6.80
-Rúben Dias
DC
-Matheus Nunes
DR6.68
-Nico O'Reilly
MC6.66
-Rodri
MC6.22
-Bernardo Silva
MC6.72
-Antoine Semenyo
FWL7.19
-Erling Haaland
FW6.54
-Rayan Cherki
FWR7.67
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 5 / 30 matches
ArsenalvsManchester City

radarTeam Profile

Arsenal
Manchester City
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
66Attack72
shield
63Defense60
swap_horiz
76Possession86
gps_fixed
64Efficiency74
auto_fix_high
57Creativity74
gavel
73Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

9Goals Scored60
3Goals Conceded28
3Clean Sheets12
16Big Chances95
11Big Chances Missed61
0Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

74Total Shots442
24Shots on Target157

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.2%Avg Possession60.0%
2,541Total Passes17,607
85.7%Pass Accuracy88.5%

shieldDefending

72Tackles446
27Interceptions245
11Saves75
49.3%Duels Won52.6%

gavelDiscipline

51Fouls298
5Yellow Cards56
8Offsides40

analyticsOther

33Corners170
49Successful Dribbles308
0Errors Leading to Goal3
6.95Avg Rating7.01

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricManchester City
8
Goals
12
6
Assists
8
6.9
Average Ratings
6.9
26.6
Average Age
26.1
183.1
Average Height (cm)
186.5
1.3
Shots pg
1.5
41%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.5
Tackles pg
1

history Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
2.4 GPG
W
W
W
W
D
Manchester CityManchester City
2.0 GPG
D
D
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL21 Sept 2025
Arsenal
1-1
Manchester City
PL2 Feb 2025
Arsenal
5-1
Manchester City
PL22 Sept 2024
Manchester City
2-2
Arsenal
PL31 Mar 2024
Manchester City
0-0
Arsenal
PL8 Oct 2023
Arsenal
1-0
Manchester City
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
76%
35 / 46 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
26 / 46 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
14 / 46 matches
Both Teams to Score
46%
21 / 46 matches
Arsenal CS
24%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City CS
37%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Sept 2025
Arsenal
1 - 1
Manchester City
2 Feb 2025
Arsenal
5 - 1
Manchester City
22 Sept 2024
Manchester City
2 - 2
Arsenal
31 Mar 2024
Manchester City
0 - 0
Arsenal
8 Oct 2023
Arsenal
1 - 0
Manchester City
6 Aug 2023
Arsenal
1 - 1
Manchester City
26 Apr 2023
Manchester City
4 - 1
Arsenal
15 Feb 2023
Arsenal
1 - 3
Manchester City
27 Jan 2023
Manchester City
1 - 0
Arsenal
1 Jan 2022
Arsenal
1 - 2
Manchester City
28 Aug 2021
Manchester City
5 - 0
Arsenal
21 Feb 2021
Arsenal
0 - 1
Manchester City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Arsenal
2.40
Form (Overall)
Manchester City
2.00

Arsenal is +20% better in terms of Points Per Game

Arsenal
2 - 0
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2
Arsenal
West Ham United
1 - 1
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
0 - 1
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Manchester City
3 - 0
Fulham

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.