Arsenal vs Sporting CP Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
Full Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Wednesday 15 April
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

Away
ArsenalTimelineSporting CP
2nd Half
Havertz K.Out: Gyökeres V.
sync_alt
56'
Dowman M.Out: Madueke N.
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63'
Arteta M.
70'
Quenda G.Out: Catamo G.
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71'
Braganca D.Out: Goncalves P.
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71'
Simoes J.Out: Morita H.
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77'
Gabriel JesusOut: Eze E.
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79'
Trossard L.Out: Martinelli G.
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79'
Araujo M.
79'
Vagiannidis G.Out: Quaresma E.
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85'
Nel R.Out: Trincao
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85'
Borges R.
90+4'

Top stats

0.64Expected goals (xG)0.29
50%Ball possession50%
15Total shots8
1Shots on target1
1Big chances1
8Corner kicks3
87% (385/443)Passes87% (388/444)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

0.64Expected goals (xG)0.29
0.08xG on target (xGOT)0.10
15Total shots8
1Shots on target1
8Shots off target6
6Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box7
7Shots outside the box1
1Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances1
8Corner kicks3
26Touches in opposition box19
1Accurate through passes1
0Offsides1
11Free kicks7

Passes

87% (385/443)Passes87% (388/444)
50% (17/34)Long passes38% (11/29)
74% (119/160)Passes in final third77% (58/75)
22% (4/18)Crosses33% (3/9)
0.57Expected assists (xA)0.46
22Throw ins13

Defense

7Fouls11
43% (10/23)Tackles80% (20/25)
47Duels won40
16Clearances22
7Interceptions13
1Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves1
0.10xGOT faced0.08
0.10Goals prevented0.08
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.50
X4.51
26.84

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

69%
15%
15%
Arsenal
Draw
Sporting CP

Match Preview

Arsenal FC stand on the brink of a second successive UEFA Champions League semi-final as they return to the Emirates with a slender but significant 1-0 advantage over Sporting CP.

The Gunners’ European campaign has been near flawless, unbeaten across 11 matches (W10 D1), and underpinned by defensive control, with a competition-high seven clean sheets. Their dominance at home has been particularly striking, winning all five matches in North London while conceding just three goals.

Sporting’s task is clear but daunting. They must score at least once against one of the most organised defensive units in the competition, and likely more given Arsenal’s consistency in front of goal. While the Portuguese side have shown resilience away from home domestically, their European away record paints a more troubling picture.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Arsenal

Starting 11
-David Raya
GK7.24
-Piero Hincapié
DL6.84
-Gabriel Magalhães
DC7.08
-William Saliba
DC6.90
-Ben White
DR6.53
-Declan Rice
DMC7.17
-Martín Zubimendi
DMC7.10
-Leandro Trossard
AML7.16
-Eberechi Eze
AMC6.88
-Noni Madueke
AMR7.42
-Viktor Gyökeres
FW6.92

Sporting CP

Starting 11
-Rui Silva
GK6.66
-Maxi Araújo
DL7.21
-Ousmane Diomande
DC6.60
-Gonçalo Inácio
DC6.61
-Iván Fresneda
DR6.72
-Morten Hjulmand
DMC6.90
-Hidemasa Morita
DMC6.38
-Pote
AML6.75
-Trincão
AMC7.35
-Geny Catamo
AMR6.78
-Luis Suárez
FW7.06
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 11 matches
ArsenalvsSporting CP

radarTeam Profile

Arsenal
Sporting CP
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
92Attack62
shield
66Defense46
swap_horiz
64Possession67
gps_fixed
91Efficiency87
auto_fix_high
74Creativity57
gavel
52Discipline55

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

27Goals Scored22
5Goals Conceded15
7Clean Sheets2
49Big Chances28
32Big Chances Missed17
2Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

170Total Shots147
81Shots on Target60

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.7%Avg Possession50.1%
4,990Total Passes5,435
85.5%Pass Accuracy86.5%

shieldDefending

128Tackles176
85Interceptions99
27Saves35
50.8%Duels Won51.4%

gavelDiscipline

135Fouls118
21Yellow Cards23
17Offsides16

analyticsOther

61Corners52
85Successful Dribbles97
0Errors Leading to Goal2
7.05Avg Rating6.89

Statistical Comparison

ArsenalMetricSporting CP
27
Goals
21
21
Assists
15
6.8
Average Ratings
6.6
27.1
Average Age
26.1
184.1
Average Height (cm)
182.4
1.1
Shots pg
0.9
55%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.7
Dribbles pg
1
0.9
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

ArsenalArsenal
1.9 GPG
L
W
W
W
W
Sporting CPSporting CP
2.2 GPG
W
W
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL7 Apr 2026
Sporting CP
0-1
Arsenal
PL26 Nov 2024
Sporting CP
1-5
Arsenal
PL16 Mar 2023
Arsenal
1-1
Sporting CP
PL9 Mar 2023
Sporting CP
2-2
Arsenal
PL8 Nov 2018
Arsenal
0-0
Sporting CP
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
3 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
2 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
3 / 6 matches
Arsenal CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Sporting CP CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

7 Apr 2026
Sporting CP
0 - 1
Arsenal
26 Nov 2024
Sporting CP
1 - 5
Arsenal
16 Mar 2023
Arsenal
1 - 1
Sporting CP
9 Mar 2023
Sporting CP
2 - 2
Arsenal
8 Nov 2018
Arsenal
0 - 0
Sporting CP
25 Oct 2018
Sporting CP
0 - 1
Arsenal

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Arsenal
1.90
Form (Overall)
Sporting CP
2.20

Sporting CP is +16% better in terms of Points Per Game

Arsenal
1 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
Arsenal
2 - 0
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Arsenal
Arsenal
2 - 1
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 4
Arsenal
Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
4 - 2
Santa Clara
Alverca
1 - 4
Sporting CP
Sporting Braga
2 - 2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
3 - 0
GD Estoril Praia

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