AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

AS Roma

AS Roma

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Atalanta

Atalanta

Away
AS RomaTimelineAtalanta
1st Half
Gasperini G.
40'
2nd Half
Krstovic N.Out: Scamacca G.
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46'
Ederson
sports_soccer
47'
Molina N.Out: Lulli E.
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54'
Soule M.Out: Mora R.
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54'
Sarri M.
55'
Ghilardi D.Out: Mancini G.
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62'
Castro S.Out: Malen D.
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63'
Zalewski N.Out: Elmas E.
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66'
Pasalic M.Out: Samardzic L.
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66'
Balerdi L.Out: Ndicka E.
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67'
Zappacosta D.Out: Kolasinac S.
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72'
Kessie F.Out: Ederson
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79'
Bellanova R.
84'
Hermoso M. (Soule M.)
sports_soccer
89'
Soule M.Assist: Dybala P.
sports_soccer
90+3'
Gaetano G.
90+7'

Top stats

3.24Expected goals (xG)0.78
67%Ball possession33%
39Total shots6
10Shots on target2
5Big chances1
14Corner kicks1
89% (550/616)Passes79% (254/323)
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Shots

3.24Expected goals (xG)0.78
2.79xG on target (xGOT)0.39
39Total shots6
10Shots on target2
20Shots off target3
9Blocked shots1
27Shots inside the box6
12Shots outside the box0
2Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

5Big chances1
14Corner kicks1
73Touches in opposition box16
0Accurate through passes0
4Offsides4
10Free kicks9

Passes

89% (550/616)Passes79% (254/323)
64% (25/39)Long passes52% (32/62)
83% (200/241)Passes in final third67% (51/76)
43% (18/42)Crosses50% (2/4)
3.05Expected assists (xA)0.28
21Throw ins15

Defense

9Fouls10
60% (9/15)Tackles69% (9/13)
44Duels won38
5Clearances33
15Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves9
0.39xGOT faced2.79
-0.61Goals prevented0.79
4Goal kicks23
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.72
X3.85
24.94

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 1.71Stake: Medium (7/10)
68
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #6
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.00 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

56%
23%
21%
AS Roma
Draw
Atalanta
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.921.89+1.6%
Roma Win1.711.79-4.3%
Draw3.854.37-11.8%
Atalanta Win4.604.74-2.9%
BTTS - Yes1.801.79+0.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Both teams carry a perfect record after the opening two matchdays, though they achieved these results in vastly different styles. Gasperini's Roma completely blew away first Fiorentina and then Lecce, scoring eight goals without conceding a single one.

In contrast, Atalanta ground out a 2-1 victory over Sassuolo on opening day before narrowly edging past Bologna at home in the final seconds of stoppage time. For this reason, the Giallorossi are clear favorites heading into the clash.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

AS Roma

Starting 11
-Mile Svilar
GK7.30
-Gianluca Mancini
DC7.58
-Daniele Ghilardi
DC7.87
-Mario Hermoso
DC7.67
-Wesley
DML7.47
-Bryan Cristante
MC7.82
-Manu Koné
MC7.18
-Nahuel Molina
DMR6.48
-Paulo Dybala
AMC8.26
-Rodrigo Mora
AMC7.16
-Donyell Malen
FW9.08

Atalanta

Starting 11
-Marco Carnesecchi
GK7.48
-Lorenzo Bernasconi
DL5.95
-Giorgio Scalvini
DC6.64
-Odilon Kossounou
DC6.11
-Raoul Bellanova
DR6.28
-Lazar Samardzic
MC6.92
-Gianluca Gaetano
MC6.98
-Éderson
MC6.71
-Jonathan Rowe
FWL
-Gianluca Scamacca
FW6.36
-Charles De Ketelaere
FWR6.40
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
AS RomavsAtalanta
1.00Goals / Match1.50
0.50Conceded / Match0.50
1Clean Sheets1

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

2Goals Scored3
1Goals Conceded1
1Clean Sheets1

Statistical Comparison

AS RomaMetricAtalanta
8
Goals
3
5
Assists
2
7.2
Average Ratings
6.6
26.8
Average Age
24.8
181.5
Average Height (cm)
188.2
1.8
Shots pg
1.1
69%
Aerial Duel Success
32%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.8
2.2
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

AS RomaAS Roma
2.0 GPG
W
W
AtalantaAtalanta
2.0 GPG
W
W

group Head to Head

PL18 Apr 2026
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
PL3 Jan 2026
Atalanta
1-0
Roma
PL12 May 2025
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
PL2 Dec 2024
Roma
0-2
Atalanta
PL12 May 2024
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
89%
31 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
20 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
10 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
69%
24 / 35 matches
AS Roma CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta CS
17%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Apr 2026
Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta
3 Jan 2026
Atalanta
1 - 0
Roma
12 May 2025
Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma
2 Dec 2024
Roma
0 - 2
Atalanta
12 May 2024
Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma
7 Jan 2024
Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta
24 Apr 2023
Atalanta
3 - 1
Roma
18 Sept 2022
Roma
0 - 1
Atalanta
5 Mar 2022
Roma
1 - 0
Atalanta
18 Dec 2021
Atalanta
1 - 4
Roma
22 Apr 2021
Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta
20 Dec 2020
Atalanta
4 - 1
Roma

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
AS Roma
2.00
Form (Overall)
Atalanta
2.00

Both teams have equal form.

Lecce
0 - 4
Roma
Roma
4 - 0
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1 - 0
Bologna
Atalanta
2 - 1
Sassuolo

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