AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

AS Roma

AS Roma

Home
Full Time
4 - 0
HT: 3 - 0
Monday 4 May
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Away
AS RomaTimelineFiorentina
1st Half
Mancini G.Assist: Pisilli N.
sports_soccer
13'
Wesley Franca (Hermoso M.)
sports_soccer
17'
Pongracic M.
25'
Hermoso M. (Kone M.)
sports_soccer
34'
2nd Half
Comuzzo P.Out: Pongracic M.
sync_alt
46'
Braschi R.Out: Harrison J.
sync_alt
46'
Parisi F.Out: Gudmundsson A.
sync_alt
46'
Hermoso M.
48'
Pisilli N. (Malen D.)
sports_soccer
58'
El Shaarawy S.Out: Kone M.
sync_alt
64'
Parisi F.
66'
Ghilardi D.Out: Mancini G.
sync_alt
72'
Dybala P.Out: Soule M.
sync_alt
72'
Fazzini J.Out: Fagioli N.
sync_alt
75'
Fabbian G.Out: Brescianini M.
sync_alt
75'
Ziolkowski J.Out: Hermoso M.
sync_alt
83'
Vaz R.Out: Malen D.
sync_alt
83'
El Shaarawy S.
90+2'

Top stats

2.14Expected goals (xG)0.15
61%Ball possession39%
14Total shots4
7Shots on target1
3Big chances0
4Corner kicks5
91% (543/599)Passes84% (312/373)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

2.14Expected goals (xG)0.15
3.26xG on target (xGOT)0.24
14Total shots4
7Shots on target1
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box3
3Shots outside the box1
2Hit the woodwork1
2Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances0
4Corner kicks5
26Touches in opposition box22
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
10Free kicks12

Passes

91% (543/599)Passes84% (312/373)
50% (20/40)Long passes40% (18/45)
80% (117/146)Passes in final third65% (59/91)
50% (3/6)Crosses11% (2/19)
1.74Expected assists (xA)0.22
16Throw ins18

Defense

12Fouls10
50% (10/20)Tackles64% (9/14)
40Duels won36
23Clearances11
11Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3
0.24xGOT faced3.26
0.24Goals prevented-0.74
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.60
X4.19
25.56

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
75
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #15
Season: Home 1.79 PPG vs Away 1.09 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.05 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.59 GPG vs Away 1.06 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

85%
9%
6%
AS Roma
Draw
Fiorentina

Match Preview

Roma come into the game knowing they require a victory if they are to continue challenging for a European place. They are currently sixth on goal difference behind Como and just three points behind Juventus in fourth.

Fiorentina are still not safe from relegation, they are currently nine points from safety with just four games remaining.

Roma's 2-0 win over Bologna last time out made it three games without defeat and just one defeat in their last six matches.

Fiorentina's 0-0 draw with Sassuolo last weekend made it four games without defeat and just one defeat in their last twelve matches.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

AS Roma

Starting 11
-Mile Svilar
GK6.85
-Mario Hermoso
DC6.84
-Gianluca Mancini
DC6.96
-Evan Ndicka
DC6.87
-Wesley
DML6.94
-Bryan Cristante
MC6.96
-Neil El Aynaoui
MC6.38
-Niccolò Pisilli
MC6.44
-Zeki Çelik
DMR6.68
-Matías Soulé
FW6.86
-Donyell Malen
FW7.05

Fiorentina

Starting 11
-David de Gea
GK6.50
-Robin Gosens
DL6.70
-Marin Pongracic
DC6.58
-Luca Ranieri
DC6.57
-Dodô
DR6.69
-Cher Ndour
MC6.39
-Marco Brescianini
MC6.35
-Rolando Mandragora
MC6.78
-Jacopo Fazzini
FWL6.28
-Roberto Piccoli
FW6.33
-Jack Harrison
FWR6.53
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 20 / 34 matches
AS RomavsFiorentina

radarTeam Profile

AS Roma
Fiorentina
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
53Attack36
shield
68Defense38
swap_horiz
40Possession58
gps_fixed
82Efficiency42
auto_fix_high
33Creativity27
gavel
74Discipline41

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

39Goals Scored38
19Goals Conceded45
10Clean Sheets8
25Big Chances75
9Big Chances Missed52
4Penalty Goals6

gps_fixedShooting

291Total Shots451
104Shots on Target121

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.1%Avg Possession51.7%
7,987Total Passes14,539
77.5%Pass Accuracy84.6%

shieldDefending

315Tackles416
155Interceptions240
51Saves106
51.0%Duels Won49.9%

gavelDiscipline

194Fouls429
16Yellow Cards76
1Red Cards2
35Offsides57

analyticsOther

114Corners155
105Successful Dribbles239
0Errors Leading to Goal6
6.88Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

AS RomaMetricFiorentina
48
Goals
37
32
Assists
21
6.6
Average Ratings
6.4
26.3
Average Age
27.3
183.5
Average Height (cm)
183.5
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
0.8

history Recent Form

AS RomaAS Roma
1.8 GPG
W
D
W
L
W
FiorentinaFiorentina
1.1 GPG
D
D
W
W
D

group Head to Head

PL5 Oct 2025
Fiorentina
1-2
Roma
PL4 May 2025
Roma
1-0
Fiorentina
PL27 Oct 2024
Fiorentina
5-1
Roma
PL10 Mar 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
Roma
PL10 Dec 2023
Roma
1-1
Fiorentina
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
34 / 41 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
24 / 41 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
14 / 41 matches
Both Teams to Score
59%
24 / 41 matches
AS Roma CS
27%
Clean Sheets
Fiorentina CS
15%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

5 Oct 2025
Fiorentina
1 - 2
Roma
4 May 2025
Roma
1 - 0
Fiorentina
27 Oct 2024
Fiorentina
5 - 1
Roma
10 Mar 2024
Fiorentina
2 - 2
Roma
10 Dec 2023
Roma
1 - 1
Fiorentina
27 May 2023
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Roma
15 Jan 2023
Roma
2 - 0
Fiorentina
9 May 2022
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Roma
22 Aug 2021
Roma
3 - 1
Fiorentina
3 Mar 2021
Fiorentina
1 - 2
Roma
1 Nov 2020
Roma
2 - 0
Fiorentina
26 Jul 2020
Roma
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
AS Roma
1.79
Form (Overall)
Fiorentina
1.09

AS Roma is +64% better in terms of Points Per Game

Bologna
0 - 2
Roma
Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta
Roma
3 - 0
Pisa
Inter Milan
5 - 2
Roma
Roma
1 - 0
Lecce
Fiorentina
0 - 0
Sassuolo
Lecce
1 - 1
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Lazio
Hellas Verona
0 - 1
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1 - 1
Inter Milan

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