AS Roma vs Lazio Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

AS Roma

AS Roma

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 17 May
Lazio

Lazio

Away
AS RomaTimelineLazio
1st Half
Taylor K.
21'
Rensch D.Out: Ndicka E.
sync_alt
37'
Mancini G.Assist: Pisilli N.
sports_soccer
40'
Hermoso M.
42'
Cancellieri M.
42'
2nd Half
El Shaarawy S.Out: Pisilli N.
sync_alt
46'
Maldini D.Out: Dia B.
sync_alt
62'
Dele-Bashiru F.Out: Taylor K.
sync_alt
62'
Tavares N.
64'
Mancini G. (Dybala P.)
sports_soccer
66'
Wesley Franca
70'
Rovella N.
70'
Isaksen G.Out: Cancellieri M.
sync_alt
71'
PedroOut: Noslin T.
sync_alt
79'
Lazzari M.Out: Marusic A.
sync_alt
79'
Soule M.Out: Malen D.
sync_alt
83'
Ziolkowski J.Out: Mancini G.
sync_alt
83'
El Shaarawy S.
85'
Dovbyk A.Out: Dybala P.
sync_alt
88'

Top stats

1.20Expected goals (xG)0.72
49%Ball possession51%
16Total shots6
7Shots on target2
2Big chances1
8Corner kicks3
87% (360/416)Passes87% (379/438)
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards1

Shots

1.20Expected goals (xG)0.72
2.31xG on target (xGOT)0.09
16Total shots6
7Shots on target2
8Shots off target3
1Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box4
4Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances1
8Corner kicks3
20Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
17Free kicks15

Passes

87% (360/416)Passes87% (379/438)
54% (22/41)Long passes61% (19/31)
69% (46/67)Passes in final third80% (79/99)
36% (5/14)Crosses18% (2/11)
0.78Expected assists (xA)0.43
16Throw ins20

Defense

15Fouls17
59% (10/17)Tackles54% (7/13)
45Duels won48
7Clearances11
17Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves6
0.09xGOT faced2.31
0.09Goals prevented0.31
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.50
X4.38
26.65

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
72
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.86 PPG vs Away 1.42 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.70 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.72 GPG vs Away 0.78 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

83%
10%
6%
AS Roma
Draw
Lazio

Match Preview

Roma come into the Derby della Capitale knowing they have everything to play for with just two games remaining. Roma are currently fifth in Serie A and are just outside the Champions League places on goal difference.

Lazio however are seven points from a European place and unfortunately cannot catch Atalanta in seventh.

Roma's 3-2 win over Parma last time out was their third successive win and four wins in their last five.

Lazio's 2-0 defeat to Inter in the final of Coppa Italia in midweek was their second successive defeat.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

AS Roma

Starting 11
-Mile Svilar
GK6.84
-Mario Hermoso
DC6.85
-Gianluca Mancini
DC6.96
-Evan Ndicka
DC6.89
-Wesley
DML6.99
-Bryan Cristante
MC6.94
-Manu Koné
MC6.87
-Matías Soulé
MC6.82
-Zeki Çelik
DMR6.70
-Paulo Dybala
FW6.76
-Donyell Malen
FW7.16

Lazio

Starting 11
-Edoardo Motta
GK6.61
-Nuno Tavares
DL6.58
-Oliver Provstgaard
DC6.47
-Mario Gila
DC6.81
-Adam Marusic
DR6.62
-Toma Basic
MC6.66
-Kenneth Taylor
MC6.68
-Patric
MC6.33
-Mattia Zaccagni
FWL6.70
-Tijjani Noslin
FW6.41
-Gustav Isaksen
FWR6.53
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 22 / 36 matches
AS RomavsLazio

radarTeam Profile

AS Roma
Lazio
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
54Attack28
shield
69Defense57
swap_horiz
43Possession58
gps_fixed
83Efficiency61
auto_fix_high
35Creativity22
gavel
76Discipline39

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

44Goals Scored39
19Goals Conceded37
12Clean Sheets15
26Big Chances70
9Big Chances Missed46
5Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

322Total Shots396
115Shots on Target144

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.4%Avg Possession50.4%
9,077Total Passes17,718
78.3%Pass Accuracy86.6%

shieldDefending

341Tackles457
175Interceptions278
53Saves113
50.6%Duels Won51.4%

gavelDiscipline

202Fouls376
18Yellow Cards72
1Red Cards8
37Offsides33

analyticsOther

126Corners134
120Successful Dribbles204
0Errors Leading to Goal5
6.90Avg Rating6.83

Statistical Comparison

AS RomaMetricLazio
55
Goals
37
37
Assists
26
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
27.4
Average Age
26.7
183.1
Average Height (cm)
184.9
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
52%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.1
Tackles pg
0.9

history Recent Form

AS RomaAS Roma
1.9 GPG
W
W
W
D
W
LazioLazio
1.4 GPG
L
W
D
W
L

group Head to Head

PL21 Sept 2025
Lazio
0-1
Roma
PL13 Apr 2025
Lazio
1-1
Roma
PL5 Jan 2025
Roma
2-0
Lazio
PL6 Apr 2024
Roma
1-0
Lazio
PL10 Jan 2024
Lazio
1-0
Roma
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
29 / 40 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
17 / 40 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
8 / 40 matches
Both Teams to Score
45%
18 / 40 matches
AS Roma CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Lazio CS
25%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Sept 2025
Lazio
0 - 1
Roma
13 Apr 2025
Lazio
1 - 1
Roma
5 Jan 2025
Roma
2 - 0
Lazio
6 Apr 2024
Roma
1 - 0
Lazio
10 Jan 2024
Lazio
1 - 0
Roma
12 Nov 2023
Lazio
0 - 0
Roma
19 Mar 2023
Lazio
1 - 0
Roma
6 Nov 2022
Roma
0 - 1
Lazio
20 Mar 2022
Roma
3 - 0
Lazio
26 Sept 2021
Lazio
3 - 2
Roma
15 May 2021
Roma
2 - 0
Lazio
15 Jan 2021
Lazio
3 - 0
Roma

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
AS Roma
1.86
Form (Overall)
Lazio
1.42

AS Roma is +31% better in terms of Points Per Game

Parma
2 - 3
Roma
Roma
4 - 0
Fiorentina
Bologna
0 - 2
Roma
Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta
Roma
3 - 0
Pisa
Lazio
0 - 3
Inter Milan
Cremonese
1 - 2
Lazio
Lazio
3 - 3
Udinese
Napoli
0 - 2
Lazio
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Lazio

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