AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app

AS Roma

AS Roma

Home
Full Time
3 - 4
HT: 1 - 1
Wednesday 14 October
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Away
AS RomaTimelineReal Madrid
1st Half
Pisilli N.Out: Kone M.
sync_alt
17'
De Roon M. (Soule M.)
sports_soccer
20'
Mbappe K. (Diomande Y.)
sports_soccer
25'
2nd Half
Mora R.Out: Dybala P.
sync_alt
46'
Malen D. (Mora R.)
sports_soccer
51'
Malen D. (Soule M.)
sports_soccer
57'
EndrickOut: Vinicius Junior
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59'
Guler A.Out: Dumfries D.
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59'
Mancini G.
60'
Pellegrini Lo.Out: Soule M.
sync_alt
63'
Balerdi L.Out: Mancini G.
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63'
Wesley Franca
70'
Silva B.Out: Tchouameni A.
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70'
Carreras A.Out: Cucurella M.
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78'
Espi C.Out: Diomande Y.
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78'
Koulierakis K.Out: Hermoso M.
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81'
Espi C.
sports_soccer
83'
Endrick (Guler A.)
sports_soccer
85'
Pellegrini Lo.
89'
Rudiger A.Assist: Guler A.
sports_soccer
90'
Carreras A.
90+5'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
13.58
X4.06
21.93

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
43
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.67 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

49%
24%
28%
AS Roma
Draw
Real Madrid
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.441.86-22.5%
Under 2.5 Goals2.752.16+27.0%
Roma Win3.802.06+84.6%
Draw3.954.22-6.4%
Real Madrid Win2.003.60-44.5%
BTTS - Yes1.401.83-23.6%
BTTS - No2.802.20+27.2%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

AS Roma

Starting 11
-Pierluigi Gollini
GK
-Mario Hermoso
DC6.41
-Evan Ndicka
DC6.57
-Gianluca Mancini
DC6.22
-Wesley
DML6.21
-Manu Koné
MC6.77
-Marten de Roon
MC6.02
-Devyne Rensch
DMR6.21
-Matías Soulé
AMC6.30
-Paulo Dybala
AMC6.91
-Donyell Malen
FW7.12

Real Madrid

Starting 11
-Thibaut Courtois
GK7.69
-Marc Cucurella
DL6.71
-Dean Huijsen
DC7.14
-Antonio Rüdiger
DC
-Denzel Dumfries
DR6.23
-Aurélien Tchouaméni
DMC6.00
-Federico Valverde
DMC7.71
-Vinícius Júnior
AML6.64
-Jude Bellingham
AMC7.12
-Arda Güler
AMR
-Kylian Mbappé
FW7.62
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Roma showed plenty of spirit against Como on Sunday, defending well after Donyell Malen's 53rd-minute red card to leave Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia with a point and a clean sheet. The hosts are unbeaten in seven in all competitions but have drawn three of their last four.

Real Madrid also had a man sent off at the weekend, beating Villarreal in spite of Vinicius Junior's sending-off. Jose Mourinho's men have won four of their last five games in all competitions, including their Champions League opener against Serie A champions Inter.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 / 8 matches
AS RomavsReal Madrid
2.33Goals / Match2.38
0.50Conceded / Match1.00
4Clean Sheets2
6.17Shots on Target / Match7.13
53.7%Possession %51.6%
85.8%Pass Accuracy %89.9%

radarTeam Profile

AS Roma
Real Madrid
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
93Attack95
shield
93Defense49
swap_horiz
72Possession78
gps_fixed
68Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
99Creativity100
gavel
39Discipline42

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

14Goals Scored19
3Goals Conceded8
4Clean Sheets2
26Big Chances33
16Big Chances Missed22
0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

112Total Shots143
37Shots on Target57

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.7%Avg Possession51.6%
3,080Total Passes4,090
85.8%Pass Accuracy89.9%

shieldDefending

119Tackles123
76Interceptions57
17Saves25
52.8%Duels Won58.6%

gavelDiscipline

74Fouls67
11Yellow Cards17
1Red Cards2
22Offsides16

analyticsOther

31Corners57
57Successful Dribbles111
0Errors Leading to Goal2
7.82Avg Rating7.90

Statistical Comparison

AS RomaMetricReal Madrid
1
Goals
2
1
Assists
1
6.5
Average Ratings
6.8
27.9
Average Age
27
184
Average Height (cm)
184.7
2
Shots pg
1.8
44%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
2.5
Dribbles pg
1.3
1.3
Tackles pg
2.2

history Recent Form

AS RomaAS Roma
1.9 GPG
Real MadridReal Madrid
2.4 GPG

group Head to Head

PL27 Nov 2018
Roma
0-2
Real Madrid
PL19 Sept 2018
Real Madrid
3-0
Roma
PL7 Aug 2018
Real Madrid
2-1
Roma
PL8 Mar 2016
Real Madrid
2-0
Roma
PL17 Feb 2016
Roma
0-2
Real Madrid
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
5 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
20%
1 / 5 matches
AS Roma CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CS
80%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Nov 2018
Roma
0 - 2
Real Madrid
19 Sept 2018
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Roma
7 Aug 2018
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Roma
8 Mar 2016
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Roma
17 Feb 2016
Roma
0 - 2
Real Madrid

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
AS Roma
1.90
Form (Overall)
Real Madrid
2.40

Real Madrid is +26% better in terms of Points Per Game

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