Aston Villa vs Bologna Prediction & Tips | Europa League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Home
Full Time
4 - 0
HT: 3 - 0
Thursday 16 April
Bologna

Bologna

Away
Aston VillaTimelineBologna
1st Half
Watkins O.Assist: Rogers M.
sports_soccer
16'
Rogers M. (Penalty missed)
close
25'
Buendia E. (Digne L.)
sports_soccer
26'
Bernardeschi F.
29'
Rogers M. (McGinn J.)
sports_soccer
39'
2nd Half
Orsolini R.Out: Bernardeschi F.
sync_alt
46'
Sohm S.Out: Freuler R.
sync_alt
46'
Zortea N.Out: Joao Mario
sync_alt
46'
Bailey L.Out: McGinn J.
sync_alt
64'
Abraham T.Out: Watkins O.
sync_alt
64'
Sancho J.Out: Rogers M.
sync_alt
74'
Douglas LuizOut: Tielemans Y.
sync_alt
74'
Odgaard J.Out: Castro S.
sync_alt
76'
Bogarde L.Out: Onana A.
sync_alt
78'
Heggem T.Out: Casale N.
sync_alt
82'
Konsa E. (Abraham T.)
sports_soccer
89'

Top stats

2.42Expected goals (xG)0.96
46%Ball possession54%
13Total shots11
7Shots on target4
4Big chances0
4Corner kicks2
80% (257/320)Passes87% (333/382)
0Yellow cards1

Shots

2.42Expected goals (xG)0.96
3.21xG on target (xGOT)0.18
13Total shots11
7Shots on target4
1Shots off target3
5Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box6
2Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances0
4Corner kicks2
25Touches in opposition box23
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides1
17Free kicks13

Passes

80% (257/320)Passes87% (333/382)
51% (25/49)Long passes57% (20/35)
77% (61/79)Passes in final third73% (84/115)
13% (1/8)Crosses25% (4/16)
1.35Expected assists (xA)1.41
13Throw ins9

Defense

13Fouls17
57% (8/14)Tackles64% (7/11)
42Duels won36
14Clearances27
5Interceptions9
1Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
0.18xGOT faced3.21
0.18Goals prevented-0.79
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.59
X4.32
25.40

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.40 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

9%
6%
85%
Aston Villa
Draw
Bologna

Match Preview

Aston Villa return to Villa Park with one foot in the semi-finals after a clinical 3-1 victory in Italy, where Ollie Watkins’ late second goal restored a commanding cushion just as Bologna FC 1909 threatened to claw their way back into the tie.

Unai Emery’s side have been relentless in this competition, winning 10 of their first 11 matches, and their formidable home record suggests they are well-placed to finish the job. Bologna, however, arrive with nothing to lose and a strong away record in Europe, factors that could still make this second leg uncomfortable.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Marco Bizot
GK7.82
-Lucas Digne
DL6.52
-Pau Torres
DC6.83
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.79
-Matty Cash
DR6.64
-Amadou Onana
DMC6.95
-Youri Tielemans
DMC7.39
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.75
-Morgan Rogers
AMC6.81
-John McGinn
AMR6.70
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.60

Bologna

Starting 11
-Federico Ravaglia
GK6.20
-Juan Miranda
DL7.18
-Nicolò Casale
DC6.77
-Torbjørn Heggem
DC6.46
-João Mário
DR6.94
-Lewis Ferguson
MC6.72
-Remo Freuler
MC6.81
-Tommaso Pobega
MC6.60
-Jonathan Rowe
FWL7.08
-Santiago Castro
FW6.64
-Federico Bernardeschi
FWR6.99
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 19 / 13 matches
Aston VillavsBologna

radarTeam Profile

Aston Villa
Bologna
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
25Attack69
shield
13Defense57
swap_horiz
24Possession63
gps_fixed
50Efficiency57
auto_fix_high
18Creativity57
gavel
43Discipline34

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

31Goals Scored22
35Goals Conceded14
3Clean Sheets4
2Penalty Goals2

gavelDiscipline

41Yellow Cards26
3Red Cards1

Statistical Comparison

Aston VillaMetricBologna
20
Goals
22
14
Assists
12
6.8
Average Ratings
6.7
28.8
Average Age
26.7
183.5
Average Height (cm)
184.9
1.1
Shots pg
1.2
53%
Aerial Duel Success
52%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.9
0.9
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

Aston VillaAston Villa
1.4 GPG
D
W
L
L
L
BolognaBologna
1.9 GPG
W
W
L
W
L

group Head to Head

PL9 Apr 2026
Bologna
1-3
Aston Villa
PL25 Sept 2025
Aston Villa
1-0
Bologna
PL22 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
2-0
Bologna
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
1 / 3 matches
Aston Villa CS
67%
Clean Sheets
Bologna CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 Apr 2026
Bologna
1 - 3
Aston Villa
25 Sept 2025
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bologna
22 Oct 2024
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Bologna

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
1.40
Form (Overall)
Bologna
1.90

Bologna is +36% better in terms of Points Per Game

Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
2 - 0
West Ham United
Manchester United
3 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 0
Aston Villa
Bologna
2 - 0
Lecce
Cremonese
1 - 2
Bologna
Bologna
0 - 2
Lazio
Sassuolo
0 - 1
Bologna
Bologna
1 - 2
Hellas Verona

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