Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Wednesday 11 February
Brighton

Brighton

Away
Aston VillaTimelineBrighton
1st Half
Baleba C.
2'
Milner J.Out: Baleba C.
sync_alt
22'
Veltman J.
23'
Martinez E.
41'
van Hecke J. P.
41'
2nd Half
Rogers M.
50'
Bailey L.Out: Sancho J.
sync_alt
60'
Barkley R.Out: Buendia E.
sync_alt
60'
Boscagli O.Out: van Hecke J. P.
sync_alt
61'
AlyssonOut: Onana A.
sync_alt
74'
Abraham T.Out: Watkins O.
sync_alt
75'
Howell H.Out: Mitoma K.
sync_alt
81'
Minteh Y.Out: Gomez D.
sync_alt
81'
Kostoulas C.Out: Welbeck D.
sync_alt
81'
Lindelof V.Out: Douglas Luiz
sync_alt
84'
Hinshelwood J.Assist: Own goal
sports_soccer
86'

Top stats

0.67Expected goals (xG)0.46
50%Ball possession50%
15Total shots9
1Shots on target3
0Big chances0
7Corner kicks5
82% (342/418)Passes83% (339/410)
2Yellow cards3

Shots

0.67Expected goals (xG)0.46
0.24xG on target (xGOT)0.36
15Total shots9
1Shots on target3
10Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box7
5Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork1
1Headed goals0

Attack

0Big chances0
7Corner kicks5
31Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides3
15Free kicks9

Passes

82% (342/418)Passes83% (339/410)
47% (26/55)Long passes46% (23/50)
72% (86/120)Passes in final third68% (71/105)
36% (5/14)Crosses19% (5/27)
0.86Expected assists (xA)0.61
12Throw ins23

Defense

9Fouls15
45% (5/11)Tackles63% (10/16)
39Duels won40
23Clearances13
8Interceptions14
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves2
0.36xGOT faced0.24
0.36Goals prevented0.24
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.04
X3.69
23.75

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #14
Season: Home 1.88 PPG vs Away 1.24 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 1.17 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

72%
15%
13%
Aston Villa
Draw
Brighton

Match Preview

Aston Villa is set to take on Brighton in a Premier League fixture at Villa Park on February 11, 2026.

Aston Villa currently holds the 3rd position in the standings, while Brighton is placed 14th.

Aston Villa has accumulated 47 points, whereas Brighton has 31 points.

Aston Villa has been dominant at home with a remarkable 67% win rate in their last 6 home matches.

Conversely, Brighton has struggled on the road, facing a 50% away loss rate in the Premier League this season.

Looking at their head-to-head history, Aston Villa has emerged victorious in 4 out of the last 6 matches against Brighton across all competitions.

With Aston Villa aiming to capitalize on their home form and Brighton seeking to improve their away record, the upcoming match promises to showcase an intriguing battle between the two sides at Villa Park.

The algorithm predicts Aston Villa to win with a probability of 52%.

Aston Villa's title hopes are fading quickly after Saturday's draw at Bournemouth left them nine points behind leaders Arsenal and now possibly looking over their shoulder.

Villa have lost their last two home games 1-0 to Everton and Brentford and cannot afford another defeat here.

Brighton's season is in serious danger of unravelling after the painful defeat to rivals Brighton leaves them with just one win since the start of December.

The Seagulls have a desperate record against Villa, winning just two of their 13 Premier League meetings.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.83
-Ian Maatsen
DL6.52
-Pau Torres
DC6.56
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.63
-Matty Cash
DR6.87
-Amadou Onana
DMC6.88
-Douglas Luiz
DMC7.12
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.59
-Morgan Rogers
AMC6.94
-Jadon Sancho
AMR6.35
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.77

Brighton

Starting 11
-Bart Verbruggen
GK6.59
-Maxim De Cuyper
DL6.49
-Lewis Dunk
DC6.75
-Jan Paul van Hecke
DC6.93
-Ferdi Kadioglu
DR6.64
-Pascal Groß
MC6.82
-Carlos Baleba
MC6.32
-James Milner
MC6.15
-Kaoru Mitoma
FWL6.59
-Danny Welbeck
FW6.44
-Yankuba Minteh
FWR6.87
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 / 15 matches
Aston VillavsBrighton

radarTeam Profile

Aston Villa
Brighton
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
42Attack37
shield
48Defense56
swap_horiz
59Possession52
gps_fixed
65Efficiency69
auto_fix_high
35Creativity40
gavel
63Discipline65

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

36Goals Scored19
27Goals Conceded20
7Clean Sheets4
51Big Chances32
36Big Chances Missed22

gps_fixedShooting

311Total Shots169
112Shots on Target67

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.4%Avg Possession49.0%
11,170Total Passes6,703
84.9%Pass Accuracy80.4%

shieldDefending

397Tackles282
148Interceptions121
75Saves54
49.4%Duels Won52.3%

gavelDiscipline

253Fouls154
36Yellow Cards23
1Red Cards0
27Offsides32

analyticsOther

132Corners65
167Successful Dribbles118
11Errors Leading to Goal3
6.84Avg Rating6.84

Statistical Comparison

Aston VillaMetricBrighton
35
Goals
33
27
Assists
20
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.2
Average Age
28.5
183.7
Average Height (cm)
182.5
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Aston Villa

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Manchester City25155550
3Aston Villa25145647
4Manchester United26129545

For Brighton

PosTeamPWDLPts
13Crystal Palace2588932
14Brighton25710831
15Leeds United26791030

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

50.1/ 85.8
Dangerous Attacks
52.0/ 94.3
39.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
12.6
Total Shots
13.5
55.0%
Possession
53.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.7
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Aston Villa Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Brighton Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketAston VillaBrighton
Over 1.5 Goals
71%25/35
74%26/35
Over 2.5 Goals
51%18/35
43%15/35
Both Teams to Score
54%19/35
51%18/35
* Based on last 35 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Aston Villa

EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
UEL
Aston Villa
3 - 2
RB Salzburg
EPL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
UEL
Fenerbahçe
0 - 1
Aston Villa
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton

Home Games: Aston Villa

EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
UEL
Aston Villa
3 - 2
RB Salzburg
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton
EPL
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Arsenal

Last 6: Brighton

EPL
Brighton
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
Everton
EPL
Fulham
2 - 1
Brighton
EPL
Brighton
1 - 1
Bournemouth
FA
Manchester United
1 - 2
Brighton
EPL
Manchester City
1 - 1
Brighton

Away Games: Brighton

EPL
Fulham
2 - 1
Brighton
FA
Manchester United
1 - 2
Brighton
EPL
Manchester City
1 - 1
Brighton
EPL
West Ham
2 - 2
Brighton
EPL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Brighton
EPL
Liverpool
2 - 0
Brighton

history Recent Form

Aston VillaAston Villa
1.9 GPG
D
L
W
L
D
BrightonBrighton
1.2 GPG
L
D
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL3 Dec 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3-4
Aston Villa
PL2 Apr 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-3
Aston Villa
PL30 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
PL5 May 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0
Aston Villa
PL30 Sept 2023
Aston Villa
6-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
88%
15 / 17 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
10 / 17 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
5 / 17 matches
Both Teams to Score
71%
12 / 17 matches
Aston Villa CS
24%
Clean Sheets
Brighton CS
12%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

3 Dec 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 4
Aston Villa
2 Apr 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 3
Aston Villa
30 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
5 May 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Aston Villa
30 Sept 2023
Aston Villa
6 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
28 May 2023
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
8 Dec 2022
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
13 Nov 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 2
Aston Villa
26 Feb 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 2
Aston Villa
20 Nov 2021
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
13 Feb 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Aston Villa
21 Nov 2020
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
1.88
Form (Overall)
Brighton
1.24

Aston Villa is +52% better in terms of Points Per Game

AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton
Crystal Palace
0 - 0
Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Everton
Fulham
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester City
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion

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