Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 21 February
Leeds

Leeds

Away
Aston VillaTimelineLeeds
1st Half
Stach A.
sports_soccer
31'
2nd Half
Bijol J.Out: Gudmundsson G.
sync_alt
46'
Sancho J.Out: Bailey L.
sync_alt
61'
Barkley R.Out: Onana A.
sync_alt
61'
Bijol J.
62'
Darlow K.
69'
Buendia E.
73'
Nmecha L.Out: Aaronson B.
sync_alt
73'
Abraham T.Out: Buendia E.
sync_alt
75'
Bogle J.
79'
Longstaff S.Out: Stach A.
sync_alt
83'
Bogarde L.Out: Douglas Luiz
sync_alt
87'
Garcia A.Out: Cash M.
sync_alt
87'
Abraham T.
sports_soccer
88'
Gruev I.
90+2'

Top stats

1.40Expected goals (xG)1.36
67%Ball possession33%
16Total shots14
4Shots on target4
1Big chances2
7Corner kicks2
85% (432/510)Passes70% (178/253)
1Yellow cards4

Shots

1.40Expected goals (xG)1.36
1.50xG on target (xGOT)1.11
16Total shots14
4Shots on target4
7Shots off target6
5Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box8
10Shots outside the box6
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances2
7Corner kicks2
28Touches in opposition box20
0Accurate through passes0
4Offsides5
16Free kicks11

Passes

85% (432/510)Passes70% (178/253)
46% (16/35)Long passes34% (15/44)
76% (156/204)Passes in final third52% (38/73)
25% (7/28)Crosses38% (5/13)
1.23Expected assists (xA)0.71
23Throw ins16

Defense

11Fouls16
57% (8/14)Tackles59% (13/22)
60Duels won54
20Clearances39
7Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves3
1.11xGOT faced1.50
0.11Goals prevented0.50
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.87
X3.78
24.36

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
97
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #15
Season: Home 1.92 PPG vs Away 1.15 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.46 GPG vs Away 1.08 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

74%
14%
12%
Aston Villa
Draw
Leeds

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.86
-Ian Maatsen
DL6.57
-Pau Torres
DC6.56
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.64
-Matty Cash
DR6.87
-Amadou Onana
DMC6.86
-Douglas Luiz
DMC7.02
-Morgan Rogers
AML6.92
-Emiliano Buendía
AMC6.59
-Jadon Sancho
AMR6.32
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.74

Leeds

Starting 11
-Karl Darlow
GK6.40
-Jaka Bijol
DC6.82
-Pascal Struijk
DC6.80
-Joe Rodon
DC6.63
-Gabriel Gudmundsson
DML6.70
-Ilia Gruev
MC6.47
-Ethan Ampadu
MC6.79
-Brenden Aaronson
MC6.71
-Jayden Bogle
DMR6.47
-Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FW6.85
-Noah Okafor
FW6.59
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Aston Villa will be hosting Leeds United at Villa Park in the Premier League on February 21, 2026 GMT.

Aston Villa currently sits 3rd in the standings with 50 points, while Leeds United is positioned 15th with 30 points.

Aston Villa boasts 4 wins in their last 6 home matches in the Premier League, whereas Leeds United has suffered 7 losses in 13 away matches in the league.

In the head-to-head stats, Aston Villa has emerged victorious in 67 percent of their last 6 Premier League encounters against Leeds United.

This match is set to be an intriguing battle between two sides with contrasting recent home and away form.

Considering the statistics and current standings, Aston Villa will aim to secure a comfortable victory over Leeds United.

Prediction: Aston Villa to win by 2-0.

It's been a tough start to 2026 for Aston Villa, but the late victory over Brighton has lifted the mood after some poor results and another win here will see them move within five points of leaders Arsenal.

Villa have fared well against Leeds in recent years and are unbeaten in their last six meetings (W4 D2).

Leeds have lost just twice in the Premier League in almost three months and despite seven draws in that period, they're heading towards safety with the gap to 18th-place West Ham currently seven points.

The Elland Road club have drawn at the likes of Liverpool, Everton and Chelsea already this calendar year, but their last three points on the road was at Wolves in September.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 matches
Aston VillavsLeeds
1.42Goals / Match1.38
1.04Conceded / Match1.73
8Clean Sheets4
4.35Shots on Target / Match3.96
53.2%Possession %45.6%
84.8%Pass Accuracy %80.2%

radarTeam Profile

Aston Villa
Leeds
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
41Attack41
shield
50Defense41
swap_horiz
58Possession41
gps_fixed
63Efficiency63
auto_fix_high
33Creativity29
gavel
63Discipline65

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored36
27Goals Conceded45
8Clean Sheets4
51Big Chances64
36Big Chances Missed39
0Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

326Total Shots317
113Shots on Target103

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.2%Avg Possession45.6%
11,588Total Passes10,479
84.8%Pass Accuracy80.2%

shieldDefending

408Tackles465
155Interceptions241
78Saves65
49.4%Duels Won49.7%

gavelDiscipline

262Fouls264
38Yellow Cards41
1Red Cards0
27Offsides41

analyticsOther

139Corners115
169Successful Dribbles151
11Errors Leading to Goal3
6.84Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

Aston VillaMetricLeeds
35
Goals
36
27
Assists
19
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.2
Average Age
26.8
183.7
Average Height (cm)
185.2
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Aston Villa

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Manchester City26165553
3Aston Villa26155650
4Manchester United26129545

For Leeds

PosTeamPWDLPts
14Brighton26710931
15Leeds United26791030
16Tottenham26781129

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.5/ 84.7
Dangerous Attacks
45.0/ 92.7
38.0%
Shots on Target
32.0%
12.5
Total Shots
13.2
54.0%
Possession
47.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.7

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Aston Villa Wins
67%
2
Draws
33%
0
Leeds Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketAston VillaLeeds
Over 1.5 Goals
70%26/37
65%24/37
Over 2.5 Goals
51%19/37
46%17/37
Both Teams to Score
54%20/37
54%20/37
* Based on last 37 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Aston Villa

FA
Aston Villa
1 - 3
Newcastle United
EPL
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Brighton
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
UEL
Aston Villa
3 - 2
RB Salzburg
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton
EPL
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest

Home Games: Aston Villa

FA
Aston Villa
1 - 3
Newcastle United
EPL
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Brighton
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
UEL
Aston Villa
3 - 2
RB Salzburg
EPL
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton
EPL
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest

Last 6: Leeds

FA
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Leeds United
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Liverpool
0 - 0
Leeds United

Away Games: Leeds

FA
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Leeds United
EPL
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Liverpool
0 - 0
Leeds United

history Recent Form

Aston VillaAston Villa
1.9 GPG
W
D
L
W
L
LeedsLeeds
1.1 GPG
D
W
L
D
W

group Head to Head

PL23 Nov 2025
Leeds United
1-2
Aston Villa
PL13 Jan 2023
Aston Villa
2-1
Leeds United
PL2 Oct 2022
Leeds United
0-0
Aston Villa
PL10 Mar 2022
Leeds United
0-3
Aston Villa
PL9 Feb 2022
Aston Villa
3-3
Leeds United
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
77%
10 / 13 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6 / 13 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
2 / 13 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
7 / 13 matches
Aston Villa CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Leeds CS
23%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

23 Nov 2025
Leeds United
1 - 2
Aston Villa
13 Jan 2023
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Leeds United
2 Oct 2022
Leeds United
0 - 0
Aston Villa
10 Mar 2022
Leeds United
0 - 3
Aston Villa
9 Feb 2022
Aston Villa
3 - 3
Leeds United
27 Feb 2021
Leeds United
0 - 1
Aston Villa
23 Oct 2020
Aston Villa
0 - 3
Leeds United
28 Apr 2019
Leeds United
1 - 1
Aston Villa
23 Dec 2018
Aston Villa
2 - 3
Leeds United
13 Apr 2018
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Leeds United
1 Dec 2017
Leeds United
1 - 1
Aston Villa
29 Dec 2016
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Leeds United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
1.92
Form (Overall)
Leeds
1.15

Aston Villa is +67% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Brentford
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham

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