Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Home
Full Time
2:1
Saturday 24 October
Manchester City

Manchester City

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
14.81
X4.41
21.64

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
42
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #1
Season: Home 1.14 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.85 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 2.67 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

26%
17%
57%
Aston Villa
Draw
Manchester City
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.441.82-20.9%
Under 2.5 Goals2.622.22+18.2%
Aston Villa Win4.903.85+27.1%
Draw4.406.01-26.8%
Manchester City Win1.521.74-12.7%
BTTS - Yes1.531.79-14.8%
BTTS - No2.372.26+5.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Zion Suzuki
GK7.00
-Ian Maatsen
DL6.35
-Pau Torres
DC5.80
-Victor Lindelöf
DC6.27
-Matty Cash
DR6.46
-Boubacar Kamara
DMC6.77
-João Gomes
DMC6.24
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.63
-Johan Manzambi
AMC7.32
-John McGinn
AMR6.45
-Nicolas Jackson
FW6.91

Manchester City

Starting 11
-Gianluigi Donnarumma
GK6.93
-Nico O'Reilly
DL6.30
-Marc Guéhi
DC7.09
-Rúben Dias
DC6.88
-Matheus Nunes
DR6.97
-Elliot Anderson
DMC7.07
-Enzo Fernández
DMC7.05
-Jérémy Doku
AML7.36
-Rayan Cherki
AMC7.74
-Iliman Ndiaye
AMR6.84
-Erling Haaland
FW7.77
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Aston Villa continue to head in the right direction following their slow start to the season and head into this blockbuster clash on the back of taking seven points from their last three games.

Unai Emery's side have an impressive recent record against Manchester City, winning four of their last six meetings and completed the double over them last season.

City beat Ipswich last weekend to make it seven wins from seven and move within two victories of matching Chelsea's record of nine consecutive wins at the start of a Premier League campaign.

The visitors have lost on their last three trips to Villa Park, although they have suffered just one defeat on the road in the past 11 months.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 7 matches
Aston VillavsManchester City
1.00Goals / Match2.71
1.57Conceded / Match1.00
2Clean Sheets3
3.14Shots on Target / Match5.29
47.4%Possession %64.4%
82.9%Pass Accuracy %89.3%

radarTeam Profile

Aston Villa
Manchester City
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
28Attack89
shield
48Defense55
swap_horiz
54Possession91
gps_fixed
43Efficiency83
auto_fix_high
44Creativity99
gavel
44Discipline55

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

7Goals Scored19
11Goals Conceded7
2Clean Sheets3
12Big Chances26
8Big Chances Missed15

gps_fixedShooting

83Total Shots102
22Shots on Target37

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.4%Avg Possession64.4%
2,865Total Passes4,458
82.9%Pass Accuracy89.3%

shieldDefending

121Tackles87
52Interceptions49
22Saves21
47.2%Duels Won50.9%

gavelDiscipline

75Fouls75
14Yellow Cards9
1Red Cards1
7Offsides12

analyticsOther

22Corners39
55Successful Dribbles72
3Errors Leading to Goal0
7.10Avg Rating7.89

Statistical Comparison

Aston VillaMetricManchester City
7
Goals
19
6
Assists
15
6.4
Average Ratings
6.8
26.9
Average Age
25.3
182.9
Average Height (cm)
184.3
1.1
Shots pg
1.2
39%
Aerial Duel Success
54%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.9
1.4
Tackles pg
0.8

history Recent Form

Aston VillaAston Villa
0.3 GPG
W
W
D
L
L
Manchester CityManchester City
3.0 GPG
W
W
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL24 May 2026
Manchester City
1-2
Aston Villa
PL26 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
1-0
Manchester City
PL22 Apr 2025
Manchester City
2-1
Aston Villa
PL21 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2-1
Manchester City
PL3 Apr 2024
Manchester City
4-1
Aston Villa
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
81%
29 / 36 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
23 / 36 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
15 / 36 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
19 / 36 matches
Aston Villa CS
11%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City CS
39%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

24 May 2026
Manchester City
1 - 2
Aston Villa
26 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Manchester City
22 Apr 2025
Manchester City
2 - 1
Aston Villa
21 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester City
3 Apr 2024
Manchester City
4 - 1
Aston Villa
6 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Manchester City
12 Feb 2023
Manchester City
3 - 1
Aston Villa
3 Sept 2022
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Manchester City
22 May 2022
Manchester City
3 - 2
Aston Villa
1 Dec 2021
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester City
21 Apr 2021
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester City
20 Jan 2021
Manchester City
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
0.33
Form (Overall)
Manchester City
3.00

Manchester City is +809% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Viking
Aston Villa
6 - 0
Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brentford
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0 - 1
Arsenal
Liverpool
0 - 3
Manchester City
Manchester United
0 - 1
Manchester City
Porto
0 - 2
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
1 - 4
Manchester City
Arsenal
3 - 0
Manchester City

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