Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction & Tips | FA Cup

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Aston Villa

Home

Full Time

1 - 3

HT: 1 - 0

Saturday 14 February

Newcastle

Away

Aston VillaTimelineNewcastle

1st Half

Douglas Luiz

Abraham T. (Douglas Luiz)

sports_soccer

14'

Thiaw M.

25'

Digne L.

42'

Bizot M.

45+1'

Martinez E.Out: Bailey L.

sync_alt

45+4'

2nd Half

Barnes H.

52'

Ramsey J.

55'

Tonali S.

sports_soccer

63'

Gordon A.Out: Osula W.

sync_alt

63'

Elanga A.Out: Murphy J.

sync_alt

63'

Watkins O.Out: Abraham T.

sync_alt

65'

Buendia E.Out: Barkley R.

sync_alt

65'

Tonali S.Assist: Burn D.

sports_soccer

76'

Maatsen I.Out: Rogers M.

sync_alt

77'

Sancho J.Out: Douglas Luiz

sync_alt

78'

Willock J.Out: Ramsey J.

sync_alt

80'

Woltemade N.

sports_soccer

88'

Murphy A.Out: Trippier K.

sync_alt

90'

Top stats

0.77Expected goals (xG)1.31

43%Ball possession57%

8Total shots12

2Shots on target3

2Big chances3

6Corner kicks5

81% (294/362)Passes85% (406/476)

2Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

Shots

0.77Expected goals (xG)1.31

0.54xG on target (xGOT)1.24

8Total shots12

2Shots on target3

3Shots off target5

3Blocked shots4

6Shots inside the box8

2Shots outside the box4

0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

2Big chances3

6Corner kicks5

25Touches in opposition box31

1Accurate through passes0

1Offsides3

10Free kicks11

Passes

81% (294/362)Passes85% (406/476)

42% (19/45)Long passes56% (24/43)

71% (60/84)Passes in final third76% (138/181)

58% (7/12)Crosses22% (4/18)

1.20Expected assists (xA)1.04

13Throw ins16

Defense

11Fouls10

35% (7/20)Tackles53% (9/17)

54Duels won49

24Clearances21

11Interceptions5

0Errors leading to shot0

1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves1

1.24xGOT faced0.54

-1.76Goals prevented-0.46

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

12.20

X3.55

22.88

Recommended Bet

cancel

Home Win

Stake: High (10/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

57%

24%

19%

Aston Villa

Draw

Newcastle

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aston Villa

Starting 11

11Ollie Watkins

ST6.42

19Jadon Sancho

LW6.73

27Morgan Rogers

LW7.67

10Emi Buendía

RW8.16

12Douglas Luiz

CM7.49

-Amadou Onana

CDM

2Matty Cash

RB7.52

4Ezri Konsa

CB6.76

-Tyrone Mings

12Lucas Digne

LB6.53

-Emiliano Martínez

Substitutes

-Tammy Abraham

-Leon Bailey

-Ross Barkley

-Victor Lindelöf

14Pau Torres

CB6.92

22Ian Maatsen

LB6.22

26Lamare Bogarde

CDM6.34

40Marco Bizot

GK7.09

-Sam Proctor

Newcastle

Starting 11

9Yoane Wissa

LW6.30

11Harvey Barnes

LW9.09

-Jacob Murphy

8Sandro Tonali

CDM7.64

28Joseph Willock

CM6.39

39Bruno Guimarães

CDM7.42

2Kieran Trippier

RB6.19

3Lewis Hall

LB6.66

4Sven Botman (Injured)

CB6.89

12Malick Thiaw

CB6.81

-Nick Pope

Substitutes

-Will Osula

-Anthony Elanga

27Nick Woltemade

CF7.09

41Jacob Ramsey

CAM6.68

-Sean Neave

-Dan Burn

-Alex Murphy

32Aaron Ramsdale

GK8.59

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Aston Villa and Newcastle United are set to clash in an FA Cup fixture at Villa Park on February 14th, 2026 GMT.

Aston Villa has secured victory in the FA Cup this season, winning their solitary match.

With a 67% win rate in their last 6 home matches, they will aim to continue their success.

On the flip side, Newcastle United has faced challenges, losing 67% of their recent 6 games and half of their last 6 away matches.

In historical head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa has struggled, losing 3 out of their last 6 encounters against Newcastle United.

Prediction: Over 2.5 goals to be scored.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 matches

Aston VillavsNewcastle

1.42Goals / Match1.42

1.04Conceded / Match1.42

8Clean Sheets7

4.35Shots on Target / Match4.54

53.2%Possession %53.3%

84.8%Pass Accuracy %83.7%

radarTeam Profile

Aston Villa

Newcastle

sports_soccer

41Attack45

shield

50Defense41

swap_horiz

58Possession59

gps_fixed

63Efficiency60

auto_fix_high

33Creativity33

gavel

63Discipline60

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored37

27Goals Conceded37

8Clean Sheets7

51Big Chances66

36Big Chances Missed46

0Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

326Total Shots344

113Shots on Target118

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.2%Avg Possession53.3%

11,588Total Passes11,814

84.8%Pass Accuracy83.7%

shieldDefending

408Tackles371

155Interceptions183

78Saves70

49.4%Duels Won51.1%

gavelDiscipline

262Fouls257

38Yellow Cards39

1Red Cards2

27Offsides37

analyticsOther

139Corners180

169Successful Dribbles185

11Errors Leading to Goal5

6.84Avg Rating6.83

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.9/ 85.4

Dangerous Attacks

54.6/ 99.4

38.0%

Shots on Target

37.0%

12.6

Total Shots

13.7

54.0%

Possession

52.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5

Goals Scored / Match

1.6

1.0

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

Aston Villa Wins

33%

Draws

17%

Newcastle Wins

50%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Aston Villa	Newcastle
Over 1.5 Goals	69%25/36	92%33/36
Over 2.5 Goals	50%18/36	72%26/36
Both Teams to Score	53%19/36	67%24/36

* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Aston Villa

Home Games: Aston Villa

Last 6: Newcastle

Away Games: Newcastle

history Recent Form

Aston Villa

2.0 GPG

Newcastle

0.9 GPG

group Head to Head

PL25 Jan 2026

0-2

PL16 Aug 2025

0-0

PL19 Apr 2025

4-1

PL26 Dec 2024

3-0

PL30 Jan 2024

1-3

36%

Over 2.5 Goals

42%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

73%

24 / 33 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

36%

12 / 33 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

21%

7 / 33 matches

Both Teams to Score

42%

14 / 33 matches

Aston Villa CS

33%

Clean Sheets

Newcastle CS

36%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

25 Jan 2026

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Aston Villa

16 Aug 2025

Aston Villa

0 - 0

Newcastle United

19 Apr 2025

Aston Villa

4 - 1

Newcastle United

26 Dec 2024

Newcastle United

3 - 0

Aston Villa

30 Jan 2024

Aston Villa

1 - 3

Newcastle United

12 Aug 2023

Newcastle United

5 - 1

Aston Villa

24 Jul 2023

Newcastle United

3 - 3

Aston Villa

15 Apr 2023

Aston Villa

3 - 0

Newcastle United

29 Oct 2022

Newcastle United

4 - 0

Aston Villa

13 Feb 2022

Newcastle United

1 - 0

Aston Villa

21 Aug 2021

Aston Villa

2 - 0

Newcastle United

12 Mar 2021

Newcastle United

1 - 1

Aston Villa

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.00

Form (Overall)

0.90

Aston Villa is +122% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aston Villa

1 - 0

Brighton & Hove Albion

AFC Bournemouth

1 - 1

Aston Villa

0 - 1

Brentford

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Aston Villa

0 - 1

Everton

Tottenham Hotspur

1 - 2

Newcastle United

2 - 3

Brentford

Liverpool

4 - 1

Newcastle United

0 - 2

Aston Villa

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0 - 0

Newcastle United

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Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction & Tips | FA Cup | FootballTips.app

Aston Villa

Newcastle

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aston Villa

Starting 11

Substitutes

Newcastle

Starting 11

Substitutes

Match Preview

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: Aston Villa

Home Games: Aston Villa

Last 6: Newcastle

Away Games: Newcastle

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

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