Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Home
Full Time
4 - 3
HT: 2 - 1
Sunday 19 April
Sunderland

Sunderland

Away
Aston VillaTimelineSunderland
1st Half
Watkins O. (McGinn J.)
sports_soccer
2'
Rigg C. (Sadiki N.)
sports_soccer
9'
Watkins O. (Maatsen I.)
sports_soccer
36'
2nd Half
Rogers M. (Watkins O.)
sports_soccer
46'
Ballard D.Out: Alderete O.
sync_alt
63'
Hume T.Out: Mandava R.
sync_alt
63'
Talbi C.Out: Rigg C.
sync_alt
63'
Sadiki N.
66'
Digne L.Out: Maatsen I.
sync_alt
70'
Buendia E.Out: Barkley R.
sync_alt
70'
Sancho J.Out: McGinn J.
sync_alt
80'
Abraham T.Out: Watkins O.
sync_alt
80'
Isidor W.Out: Brobbey B.
sync_alt
84'
Hume T.
sports_soccer
86'
Isidor W. (Le Fee E.)
sports_soccer
87'
Abraham T.Assist: Digne L.
sports_soccer
90+3'
Mukiele N.
90+5'
Onana A.
90+8'
Ballard D.
90+8'

Top stats

2.67Expected goals (xG)1.76
50%Ball possession50%
15Total shots10
7Shots on target7
7Big chances3
4Corner kicks5
84% (334/396)Passes84% (333/398)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

2.67Expected goals (xG)1.76
3.28xG on target (xGOT)2.88
15Total shots10
7Shots on target7
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box8
5Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals0

Attack

7Big chances3
4Corner kicks5
26Touches in opposition box16
0Accurate through passes2
0Offsides3
12Free kicks10

Passes

84% (334/396)Passes84% (333/398)
61% (31/51)Long passes39% (19/49)
72% (84/116)Passes in final third69% (71/103)
38% (6/16)Crosses25% (4/16)
2.38Expected assists (xA)0.56
13Throw ins14

Defense

11Fouls11
56% (5/9)Tackles57% (8/14)
35Duels won41
20Clearances22
5Interceptions7
1Errors leading to shot1
1Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3
2.88xGOT faced3.28
-0.12Goals prevented-0.72
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.74
X3.83
25.14

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
84
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #10
Season: Home 1.72 PPG vs Away 1.44 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.05 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 0.63 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

71%
14%
15%
Aston Villa
Draw
Sunderland

Match Preview

Aston Villa still have two cracks at qualifying for next season's Champions League - a top-five finish and winning the Europa League - and they remain on course to do both.

Unai Emery's side have struggled in the Premier League in recent months, winning just four of their last 14 games, but with Chelsea and Manchester United meeting at Stamford Bridge, three points would go a long way to securing their return to Europe's elite competition.

Sunderland's season looked to be faltering away, but consecutive wins over Newcastle and Tottenham either side of the international break has them right in the hunt for European football - sitting just two points behind sixth-place Chelsea.

The Black Cats have won just two of their 15 Premier League trips to Villa Park - both by the same 1-0 scoreline.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Aston Villa

Starting 11
-Emiliano Martínez
GK6.78
-Ian Maatsen
DL6.50
-Pau Torres
DC6.53
-Ezri Konsa
DC6.62
-Matty Cash
DR6.82
-Amadou Onana
DMC6.81
-Douglas Luiz
DMC6.67
-Emiliano Buendía
AML6.53
-Morgan Rogers
AMC6.84
-John McGinn
AMR6.68
-Ollie Watkins
FW6.69

Sunderland

Starting 11
-Melker Ellborg
GK6.77
-Reinildo Mandava
DL6.72
-Omar Alderete
DC6.96
-Luke O'Nien
DC6.03
-Nordi Mukiele
DR7.03
-Granit Xhaka
MC6.98
-Noah Sadiki
MC6.59
-Habib Diarra
MC6.43
-Enzo Le Fée
FWL6.71
-Brian Brobbey
FW6.45
-Chris Rigg
FWR6.29
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 32 matches
Aston VillavsSunderland

radarTeam Profile

Aston Villa
Sunderland
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
40Attack21
shield
46Defense55
swap_horiz
59Possession35
gps_fixed
58Efficiency57
auto_fix_high
31Creativity17
gavel
63Discipline50

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

43Goals Scored33
38Goals Conceded36
9Clean Sheets10
66Big Chances54
49Big Chances Missed37
0Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

409Total Shots319
140Shots on Target104

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.8%Avg Possession43.9%
14,491Total Passes11,793
85.2%Pass Accuracy78.6%

shieldDefending

493Tackles507
201Interceptions251
93Saves102
49.6%Duels Won50.1%

gavelDiscipline

320Fouls336
49Yellow Cards68
1Red Cards2
36Offsides47

analyticsOther

169Corners113
205Successful Dribbles175
12Errors Leading to Goal7
6.81Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

Aston VillaMetricSunderland
40
Goals
30
29
Assists
19
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.8
Average Age
26
183.5
Average Height (cm)
180.7
0.8
Shots pg
0.7
51%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.2
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

Aston VillaAston Villa
1.7 GPG
D
W
L
L
L
SunderlandSunderland
1.4 GPG
W
W
L
W
D

group Head to Head

PL21 Sept 2025
Sunderland
1-1
Aston Villa
PL6 Mar 2018
Sunderland
0-3
Aston Villa
PL21 Nov 2017
Aston Villa
2-1
Sunderland
PL2 Jan 2016
Sunderland
3-1
Aston Villa
PL29 Aug 2015
Aston Villa
2-2
Sunderland
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
59%
13 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
9 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
5 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
45%
10 / 22 matches
Aston Villa CS
41%
Clean Sheets
Sunderland CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Sept 2025
Sunderland
1 - 1
Aston Villa
6 Mar 2018
Sunderland
0 - 3
Aston Villa
21 Nov 2017
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Sunderland
2 Jan 2016
Sunderland
3 - 1
Aston Villa
29 Aug 2015
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Sunderland
14 Mar 2015
Sunderland
0 - 4
Aston Villa
28 Dec 2014
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Sunderland
1 Jan 2014
Sunderland
0 - 1
Aston Villa
30 Nov 2013
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Sunderland
29 Apr 2013
Aston Villa
6 - 1
Sunderland
3 Nov 2012
Sunderland
0 - 1
Aston Villa
21 Apr 2012
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Sunderland

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Aston Villa
1.72
Form (Overall)
Sunderland
1.44

Aston Villa is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game

Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
2 - 0
West Ham United
Manchester United
3 - 1
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1 - 4
Chelsea
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 0
Aston Villa
Sunderland
1 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
Newcastle United
1 - 2
Sunderland
Sunderland
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
Leeds United
0 - 1
Sunderland
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland

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