Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Atalanta

Atalanta

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Sunday 17 May
Bologna

Bologna

Away
AtalantaTimelineBologna
2nd Half
Pobega T.
52'
Pasalic M.Out: De Roon M.
sync_alt
63'
Musah Y.Out: Zalewski N.
sync_alt
63'
Sulemana K.Out: Raspadori G.
sync_alt
64'
Dallinga T.Out: Castro S.
sync_alt
69'
Moro N.Out: Pobega T.
sync_alt
69'
Orsolini R.Out: Bernardeschi F.
sync_alt
69'
Pasalic M.
77'
Orsolini R.Assist: Rowe J.
sports_soccer
78'
Bakker M.Out: De Ketelaere C.
sync_alt
82'
Kolasinac S.Out: Zappacosta D.
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88'
Dominguez B.Out: Rowe J.
sync_alt
88'

Top stats

0.79Expected goals (xG)0.69
45%Ball possession55%
10Total shots10
1Shots on target5
1Big chances2
2Corner kicks5
84% (335/400)Passes83% (397/479)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

0.79Expected goals (xG)0.69
0.21xG on target (xGOT)1.07
10Total shots10
1Shots on target5
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box7
3Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances2
2Corner kicks5
18Touches in opposition box20
1Accurate through passes0
3Offsides1
6Free kicks17

Passes

84% (335/400)Passes83% (397/479)
38% (17/45)Long passes48% (23/48)
66% (69/104)Passes in final third71% (94/132)
50% (5/10)Crosses31% (5/16)
0.70Expected assists (xA)0.61
12Throw ins24

Defense

17Fouls6
69% (18/26)Tackles44% (4/9)
48Duels won44
23Clearances16
18Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1
1.07xGOT faced0.21
0.07Goals prevented0.21
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.67
X4.20
24.85

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
77
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.61 PPG vs Away 1.44 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.39 GPG vs Away 1.61 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

73%
14%
13%
Atalanta
Draw
Bologna

Match Preview

One of the biggest games of Serie A this weekend as seventh place is up for grabs as seventh place Atalanta face eighth place Bologna with six points between them with two games remaining, should Atalanta win then they will be guaranteed seventh spot and a chance for a place in Europe.

Atalanta's 3-2 win over AC Milan last weekend ended five games without a win. Bologna's 3-2 win over Napoli last weekend also ended five games without a win.

Atalanta won the reverse fixture 2-0 and have won twelve, drawn three and lost four in their last ten years against Bologna.

Atalanta are yet to lose after scoring first in the league this season.

Ten of Bologna's last fourteen away games saw both teams score.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Atalanta

Starting 11
-Marco Carnesecchi
GK6.93
-Berat Djimsiti
DC6.84
-Sead Kolasinac
DC6.48
-Giorgio Scalvini
DC7.08
-Lorenzo Bernasconi
DML6.75
-Éderson
MC6.79
-Charles De Ketelaere
MC6.98
-Marten de Roon
MC6.73
-Davide Zappacosta
DMR6.69
-Nicola Zalewski
FW6.75
-Nikola Krstovic
FW6.78

Bologna

Starting 11
-Federico Ravaglia
GK6.52
-Juan Miranda
DL6.96
-Jhon Lucumí
DC6.67
-Torbjørn Heggem
DC6.49
-João Mário
DR6.62
-Remo Freuler
DMC6.51
-Nikola Moro
DMC6.69
-Lewis Ferguson
AML6.36
-Riccardo Orsolini
AMC6.69
-Jonathan Rowe
AMR6.68
-Santiago Castro
FW6.62
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 36 matches
AtalantavsBologna

radarTeam Profile

Atalanta
Bologna
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
49Attack35
shield
60Defense47
swap_horiz
66Possession57
gps_fixed
52Efficiency52
auto_fix_high
41Creativity24
gavel
55Discipline36

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

50Goals Scored45
34Goals Conceded43
13Clean Sheets11
89Big Chances63
63Big Chances Missed39
3Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

531Total Shots469
168Shots on Target137

swap_horizPassing & Possession

55.3%Avg Possession55.3%
17,757Total Passes16,001
84.7%Pass Accuracy83.0%

shieldDefending

560Tackles521
290Interceptions259
111Saves89
49.5%Duels Won51.2%

gavelDiscipline

419Fouls480
56Yellow Cards64
2Red Cards6
70Offsides70

analyticsOther

210Corners164
279Successful Dribbles231
6Errors Leading to Goal7
6.89Avg Rating6.79

Statistical Comparison

AtalantaMetricBologna
50
Goals
44
33
Assists
29
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
27.5
Average Age
26.6
186.5
Average Height (cm)
183.7
1
Shots pg
0.8
49%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1

history Recent Form

AtalantaAtalanta
1.6 GPG
W
D
L
D
L
BolognaBologna
1.4 GPG
W
D
L
L
W

group Head to Head

PL7 Jan 2026
Bologna
0-2
Atalanta
PL13 Apr 2025
Atalanta
2-0
Bologna
PL4 Feb 2025
Atalanta
0-1
Bologna
PL28 Sept 2024
Bologna
1-1
Atalanta
PL3 Mar 2024
Atalanta
1-2
Bologna
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
72%
23 / 32 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
13 / 32 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
6 / 32 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
14 / 32 matches
Atalanta CS
41%
Clean Sheets
Bologna CS
19%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

7 Jan 2026
Bologna
0 - 2
Atalanta
13 Apr 2025
Atalanta
2 - 0
Bologna
4 Feb 2025
Atalanta
0 - 1
Bologna
28 Sept 2024
Bologna
1 - 1
Atalanta
3 Mar 2024
Atalanta
1 - 2
Bologna
23 Dec 2023
Bologna
1 - 0
Atalanta
8 Apr 2023
Atalanta
0 - 2
Bologna
9 Jan 2023
Bologna
1 - 2
Atalanta
20 Mar 2022
Bologna
0 - 1
Atalanta
28 Aug 2021
Atalanta
0 - 0
Bologna
25 Apr 2021
Atalanta
5 - 0
Bologna
23 Dec 2020
Bologna
2 - 2
Atalanta

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Atalanta
1.61
Form (Overall)
Bologna
1.44

Atalanta is +12% better in terms of Points Per Game

AC Milan
2 - 3
Atalanta
Atalanta
0 - 0
Genoa
Cagliari
3 - 2
Atalanta
Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta
Atalanta
0 - 1
Juventus
Napoli
2 - 3
Bologna
Bologna
0 - 0
Cagliari
Bologna
0 - 2
Roma
Juventus
2 - 0
Bologna
Bologna
2 - 0
Lecce

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