Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app
Atalanta
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 12 September
Cagliari
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Model Confidence
11.57
X4.11
26.02
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #8
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 1.67 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
42%
26%
32%
Atalanta
Draw
Cagliari
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.84 | 2.04 | 1.98 | -9.7% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.88 | 1.96 | 2.02 | -4.2% |
| Atalanta Win | 1.60 | 2.36 | 1.69 | -32.1% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 3.89 | 4.18 | +1.5% |
| Cagliari Win | 5.55 | 3.14 | 5.87 | +76.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.87 | 2.06 | 2.03 | -9.2% |
| BTTS - No | 1.82 | 1.94 | 1.97 | -6.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Atalanta
Starting 11
-Marco Carnesecchi
GK7.79
-Lorenzo Bernasconi
DL5.95
-Giorgio Scalvini
DC6.68
-Odilon Kossounou
DC6.21
-Davide Zappacosta
DR6.31
-Lazar Samardzic
MC6.84
-Franck Kessie
MC5.79
-Éderson
MC6.87
-Eljif Elmas
FWL6.28
-Gianluca Scamacca
FW6.34
-Charles De Ketelaere
FWR6.50
Cagliari
Starting 11
-Elia Caprile
GK7.21
-Adam Obert
DL6.94
-Alessandro Deiola
DC6.55
-Juan Rodríguez
DC7.15
-Zé Pedro
DR6.46
-Michel Adopo
MC6.74
-Harry Winks
MC6.58
-Alessandro Romano
MC7.39
-Jacopo Fazzini
AMC6.66
-Daniel Maldini
AMC6.93
-Paul Mendy
FW6.33
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
Match Preview
Sarri's Atalanta has collected 6 points after three matchdays, but they are smarting from a bitter defeat against Roma, where both goals conceded came after the 89th minute.
Cagliari beat Lecce 1-0 on Monday, bouncing back from two consecutive defeats across all competitions to claim their second Serie A win of the season.
The last head-to-head meeting at the New Balance Arena ended in a 2-1 victory for Atalanta back in December 2025.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 3 matchesAtalantavsCagliari
1.33Goals / Match0.67
1.00Conceded / Match0.33
1Clean Sheets2
3.67Shots on Target / Match4.67
43.7%Possession %43.3%
86.2%Pass Accuracy %85.7%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
4Goals Scored2
3Goals Conceded1
1Clean Sheets2
2Big Chances4
1Big Chances Missed3
gps_fixedShooting
26Total Shots44
11Shots on Target14
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.7%Avg Possession43.3%
1,398Total Passes1,227
86.2%Pass Accuracy85.7%
shieldDefending
37Tackles38
26Interceptions29
19Saves10
44.6%Duels Won41.7%
gavelDiscipline
29Fouls35
2Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
4Offsides9
analyticsOther
6Corners17
11Successful Dribbles20
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.39Avg Rating7.38
Statistical Comparison
AtalantaMetricCagliari
4
Goals
2
2
Assists
2
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.1
Average Age
24.7
188.2
Average Height (cm)
185.7
0.9
Shots pg
1.1
45%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.8
1
Tackles pg
1.1
history Recent Form
AtalantaL
W
W
CagliariW
L
W
group Head to Head
PL27 Apr 2026
3-2
PL13 Dec 2025
2-1
PL15 Feb 2025
0-0
PL14 Dec 2024
0-1
PL7 Apr 2024
2-1
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
21 / 32 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
14 / 32 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
4 / 32 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
14 / 32 matches
Atalanta CS
38%
Clean Sheets
Cagliari CS
22%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
27 Apr 2026
Cagliari
3 - 2
Atalanta
13 Dec 2025
Atalanta
2 - 1
Cagliari
15 Feb 2025
Atalanta
0 - 0
Cagliari
14 Dec 2024
Cagliari
0 - 1
Atalanta
7 Apr 2024
Cagliari
2 - 1
Atalanta
24 Sept 2023
Atalanta
2 - 0
Cagliari
6 Feb 2022
Atalanta
1 - 2
Cagliari
6 Nov 2021
Cagliari
1 - 2
Atalanta
14 Feb 2021
Cagliari
0 - 1
Atalanta
14 Jan 2021
Atalanta
3 - 1
Cagliari
4 Oct 2020
Atalanta
5 - 2
Cagliari
5 Jul 2020
Cagliari
0 - 1
Atalanta
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.00
Form (Overall)
1.80
Atalanta is +11% better in terms of Points Per Game
Roma
2 - 1
Atalanta
Atalanta
1 - 0
Bologna
Atalanta
2 - 1
Sassuolo
Cagliari
1 - 0
Lecce
Cagliari
0 - 1
Inter Milan
Parma
0 - 1
Cagliari
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