Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Atalanta

Atalanta

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Sunday 22 February
Napoli

Napoli

Away
AtalantaTimelineNapoli
1st Half
Beukema S. (Gutierrez M.)
sports_soccer
18'
Juan Jesus
37'
2nd Half
Samardzic L.Out: Sulemana K.
sync_alt
46'
Bernasconi L.Out: Bellanova R.
sync_alt
57'
Scamacca G.Out: Krstovic N.
sync_alt
57'
Pasalic M. (Zalewski N.)
sports_soccer
61'
Politano M.Out: Gutierrez M.
sync_alt
63'
Spinazzola L.Out: Mazzocchi P.
sync_alt
63'
Djimsiti B.Out: Scalvini G.
sync_alt
69'
GiovaneOut: Vergara A.
sync_alt
70'
Olivera M.Out: Juan Jesus
sync_alt
70'
Zalewski N.
77'
Samardzic L.Assist: Bernasconi L.
sports_soccer
81'
Ahanor H.Out: Kolasinac S.
sync_alt
84'
Lukaku R.Out: Alisson Santos
sync_alt
85'

Top stats

0.75Expected goals (xG)1.08
56%Ball possession44%
10Total shots10
7Shots on target4
1Big chances2
6Corner kicks1
83% (433/519)Passes79% (320/405)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

0.75Expected goals (xG)1.08
2.80xG on target (xGOT)0.96
10Total shots10
7Shots on target4
2Shots off target4
1Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box6
2Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances2
6Corner kicks1
16Touches in opposition box19
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
9Free kicks10

Passes

83% (433/519)Passes79% (320/405)
42% (27/65)Long passes29% (12/41)
81% (164/203)Passes in final third64% (61/95)
18% (4/22)Crosses9% (1/11)
1.14Expected assists (xA)0.54
20Throw ins16

Defense

10Fouls9
82% (14/17)Tackles62% (13/21)
54Duels won51
21Clearances27
12Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves5
0.96xGOT faced2.80
-0.04Goals prevented0.80
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.52
X3.11
23.05

Recommended Bet

cancel
Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
59
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #7 vs Away #3
Season: Home 1.68 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.40 PPG vs Away 1.95 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.54 GPG vs Away 1.31 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

34%
32%
34%
Atalanta
Draw
Napoli

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Atalanta

Starting 11
-Marco Carnesecchi
GK7.03
-Berat Djimsiti
DC6.80
-Sead Kolasinac
DC6.50
-Giorgio Scalvini
DC7.09
-Lorenzo Bernasconi
DML6.82
-Mario Pasalic
MC6.60
-Éderson
MC6.74
-Marten de Roon
MC6.78
-Davide Zappacosta
DMR6.70
-Nicola Zalewski
FW6.82
-Gianluca Scamacca
FW6.70

Napoli

Starting 11
-Vanja Milinkovic-Savic
GK6.57
-Juan Jesus
DC6.51
-Alessandro Buongiorno
DC6.58
-Sam Beukema
DC6.49
-Leonardo Spinazzola
DML6.59
-Stanislav Lobotka
MC6.58
-Eljif Elmas
MC6.47
-Miguel Gutiérrez
DMR6.45
-Antonio Vergara
FWL6.52
-Rasmus Højlund
FW6.74
-Matteo Politano
FWR6.65
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

At Gewiss Stadium, Atalanta will host Napoli in a Serie A showdown on February 22, 2026, GMT.

Atalanta currently occupies the 6th spot in the standings with 42 points, while Napoli sits in 3rd place with 50 points.

Atalanta has been strong at home, securing 5 wins in their last 6 Serie A matches, whereas Napoli has recorded 3 victories in their recent 6 league fixtures.

In their past head-to-head encounters in Serie A, Atalanta has struggled, losing 4 out of their last 6 matches against Napoli.

With Napoli holding a slight edge in the standings and Atalanta enjoying a good run at home, both teams will be aiming to secure a positive result in this encounter.

Prediction: Napoli to win with a probability of 38%

Atalanta's 2-0 defeat to Dortmund in the Champions League was their first defeat in their last five games.

Napoli's 2-2 draw with Roma last weekend was their second game without a win and they have won just two of their last seven matches.

Napoli have won six of the last eight head to head matches with Conte winning eleven, drawing three and losing just one of his matches as a manager against Atalanta.

Only one of Atalanta's last seven games saw both teams score.

Napoli's last five games has seen both teams score.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 matches
AtalantavsNapoli
1.36Goals / Match1.52
0.84Conceded / Match1.00
10Clean Sheets9
4.60Shots on Target / Match4.68
54.0%Possession %57.6%
84.8%Pass Accuracy %86.2%

radarTeam Profile

Atalanta
Napoli
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
47Attack45
shield
62Defense47
swap_horiz
66Possession66
gps_fixed
51Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
39Creativity33
gavel
53Discipline53

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

34Goals Scored38
21Goals Conceded25
10Clean Sheets9
57Big Chances51
40Big Chances Missed27
3Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

366Total Shots328
115Shots on Target117

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.0%Avg Possession57.6%
11,900Total Passes13,450
84.8%Pass Accuracy86.2%

shieldDefending

386Tackles320
176Interceptions159
80Saves46
50.0%Duels Won50.3%

gavelDiscipline

291Fouls305
39Yellow Cards34
2Red Cards2
46Offsides27

analyticsOther

141Corners129
206Successful Dribbles152
3Errors Leading to Goal4
6.91Avg Rating6.85

Statistical Comparison

AtalantaMetricNapoli
34
Goals
38
22
Assists
26
6.7
Average Ratings
6.6
28.1
Average Age
27.9
187.1
Average Height (cm)
184.3
1
Shots pg
0.9
48%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.3
Tackles pg
0.9

League Standings Context

For Atalanta

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Calcio Como26129545
7Atalanta25119542
8Sassuolo261051135

For Napoli

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Milan25159154
3Napoli25155550
4Roma25152847

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

49.0/ 100.3
Dangerous Attacks
48.9/ 99.2
30.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
14.5
Total Shots
12.6
54.0%
Possession
56.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
0.9
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Atalanta Wins
33%
0
Draws
0%
4
Napoli Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketAtalantaNapoli
Over 1.5 Goals
75%27/36
72%26/36
Over 2.5 Goals
42%15/36
44%16/36
Both Teams to Score
42%15/36
50%18/36
* Based on last 36 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Atalanta

It1
Atalanta
2 - 1
Cremonese
ItC
Atalanta
3 - 0
Juventus
It1
Atalanta
4 - 0
Parma
UCL
Atalanta
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao
It1
Atalanta
2 - 0
Torino
It1
Atalanta
1 - 0
Roma

Home Games: Atalanta

It1
Atalanta
2 - 1
Cremonese
ItC
Atalanta
3 - 0
Juventus
It1
Atalanta
4 - 0
Parma
UCL
Atalanta
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao
It1
Atalanta
2 - 0
Torino
It1
Atalanta
1 - 0
Roma

Last 6: Napoli

It1
Genoa
2 - 3
Napoli
It1
Juventus
3 - 0
Napoli
UCL
København
1 - 1
Napoli
It1
Inter
2 - 2
Napoli
It1
Lazio
0 - 2
Napoli
It1
Cremonese
0 - 2
Napoli

Away Games: Napoli

It1
Genoa
2 - 3
Napoli
It1
Juventus
3 - 0
Napoli
UCL
København
1 - 1
Napoli
It1
Inter
2 - 2
Napoli
It1
Lazio
0 - 2
Napoli
It1
Cremonese
0 - 2
Napoli

history Recent Form

AtalantaAtalanta
1.7 GPG
W
W
D
W
D
NapoliNapoli
2.0 GPG
D
W
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL22 Nov 2025
Napoli
3-1
Atalanta
PL18 Jan 2025
Atalanta
2-3
Napoli
PL3 Nov 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
PL30 Mar 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
PL25 Nov 2023
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
86%
32 / 37 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
23 / 37 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
14 / 37 matches
Both Teams to Score
62%
23 / 37 matches
Atalanta CS
24%
Clean Sheets
Napoli CS
19%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

22 Nov 2025
Napoli
3 - 1
Atalanta
18 Jan 2025
Atalanta
2 - 3
Napoli
3 Nov 2024
Napoli
0 - 3
Atalanta
30 Mar 2024
Napoli
0 - 3
Atalanta
25 Nov 2023
Atalanta
1 - 2
Napoli
11 Mar 2023
Napoli
2 - 0
Atalanta
5 Nov 2022
Atalanta
1 - 2
Napoli
3 Apr 2022
Atalanta
1 - 3
Napoli
4 Dec 2021
Napoli
2 - 3
Atalanta
21 Feb 2021
Atalanta
4 - 2
Napoli
10 Feb 2021
Atalanta
3 - 1
Napoli
3 Feb 2021
Napoli
0 - 0
Atalanta

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Atalanta
1.68
Form (Overall)
Napoli
2.00

Napoli is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game

Lazio
0 - 2
Atalanta
Atalanta
2 - 1
Cremonese
Como
0 - 0
Atalanta
Atalanta
4 - 0
Parma
Pisa
1 - 1
Atalanta
Napoli
2 - 2
Roma
Genoa
2 - 3
Napoli
Napoli
2 - 1
Fiorentina
Juventus
3 - 0
Napoli
Napoli
1 - 0
Sassuolo

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