Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Atalanta

Atalanta

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 3 - 1
Monday 12 October
Venezia

Venezia

Away
AtalantaTimelineVenezia
1st Half
Kessie F. (Krstovic N.)
sports_soccer
4'
Krstovic N.Assist: Elmas E.
sports_soccer
6'
Sagrado R.Out: Correia T.
sync_alt
8'
Moreno M.
18'
Krstovic N.
sports_soccer
30'
Hainaut A. (Sagrado R.)
sports_soccer
37'
Juan Jesus
42'
2nd Half
Samardzic L.Out: De Ketelaere C.
sync_alt
60'
Kolasinac S.Out: Scalvini G.
sync_alt
67'
Bernasconi L.Out: Bellanova R.
sync_alt
67'
Zalewski N.Out: Rowe J.
sync_alt
76'
Gaetano G.Out: Kessie F.
sync_alt
76'
Helgason T. J.Out: Basic T.
sync_alt
83'
Schingtienne J.Out: Moreno M.
sync_alt
83'
Lauberbach L.Out: Adams A.
sync_alt
83'
Rrahmani A.Out: Sohm S.
sync_alt
87'
Elmas E.
89'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.55
X4.45
25.68

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
51
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #20
Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

53%
24%
23%
Atalanta
Draw
Venezia
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.491.93-22.7%
Under 2.5 Goals2.502.08+20.3%
Atalanta Win1.531.87-18.4%
Draw4.554.17+9.1%
Venezia Win5.404.88+10.6%
BTTS - Yes1.621.84-12.0%
BTTS - No2.252.19+2.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Atalanta

Starting 11
-Marco Carnesecchi
GK7.26
-Lorenzo Bernasconi
DL6.16
-Giorgio Scalvini
DC6.54
-Thomas Kristensen
DC6.54
-Raoul Bellanova
DR6.37
-Éderson
MC6.51
-Gianluca Gaetano
MC6.46
-Franck Kessie
MC6.45
-Jonathan Rowe
FWL6.78
-Gianluca Scamacca
FW6.44
-Charles De Ketelaere
FWR6.61

Venezia

Starting 11
-Filip Stankovic
GK6.38
-Matías Moreno
DC6.28
-Juan Jesus
DC6.32
-Redouane Halhal
DC6.17
-Richie Sagrado
DML6.15
-Simon Sohm
MC5.98
-Thórir Helgason
MC6.09
-Kike Pérez
MC6.48
-Antoine Hainaut
DMR6.54
-John Yeboah
FW6.56
-Akor Adams
FW6.45
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Atalanta enter the match on a troubling run of three consecutive Serie A defeats, most recently falling away to Juventus.

The "Dea" have not suffered four straight league losses since 2016.

Things are even grimmer for Venezia, who remain bottom of the table with zero points after five straight defeats and are winless in their last 18 top-flight away fixtures.

History heavily favors the hosts: Atalanta have won six of the last seven head-to-head meetings in Serie A and have kept four consecutive home clean sheets against Venezia.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 5 matches
AtalantavsVenezia
1.00Goals / Match0.80
1.40Conceded / Match2.60
1Clean Sheets0
3.40Shots on Target / Match4.40
48.0%Possession %57.2%
88.4%Pass Accuracy %84.8%

radarTeam Profile

Atalanta
Venezia
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
20Attack38
shield
43Defense20
swap_horiz
60Possession67
gps_fixed
46Efficiency33
auto_fix_high
29Creativity51
gavel
62Discipline38

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

5Goals Scored4
7Goals Conceded13
1Clean Sheets0
3Big Chances14
2Big Chances Missed12

gps_fixedShooting

59Total Shots70
17Shots on Target22

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.0%Avg Possession57.2%
2,569Total Passes2,426
88.4%Pass Accuracy84.8%

shieldDefending

62Tackles81
40Interceptions34
25Saves17
46.0%Duels Won49.0%

gavelDiscipline

48Fouls58
4Yellow Cards16
1Red Cards0
5Offsides12

analyticsOther

14Corners19
30Successful Dribbles38
1Errors Leading to Goal3
7.27Avg Rating6.87

Statistical Comparison

AtalantaMetricVenezia
5
Goals
4
3
Assists
4
6.5
Average Ratings
6.3
25.2
Average Age
25.7
188.7
Average Height (cm)
185.6
1
Shots pg
1.2
46%
Aerial Duel Success
57%
1
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

AtalantaAtalanta
1.6 GPG
VeneziaVenezia
0.9 GPG

group Head to Head

PL1 Mar 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Venezia
PL20 Oct 2024
Venezia
0-2
Atalanta
PL23 Apr 2022
Venezia
1-3
Atalanta
PL12 Jan 2022
Atalanta
2-0
Venezia
PL30 Nov 2021
Atalanta
4-0
Venezia
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
20%
1 / 5 matches
Atalanta CS
80%
Clean Sheets
Venezia CS
20%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Mar 2025
Atalanta
0 - 0
Venezia
20 Oct 2024
Venezia
0 - 2
Atalanta
23 Apr 2022
Venezia
1 - 3
Atalanta
12 Jan 2022
Atalanta
2 - 0
Venezia
30 Nov 2021
Atalanta
4 - 0
Venezia

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Atalanta
1.60
Form (Overall)
Venezia
0.90

Atalanta is +78% better in terms of Points Per Game

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