Ath Bilbao vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app
Ath Bilbao
HomeFull Time
3 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Atl. Madrid
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
13.10
X3.45
22.31
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 2.72Stake: Medium (5/10)
51
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 2.33 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 1.67 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
38%
24%
38%
Ath Bilbao
Draw
Atl. Madrid
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.91 | 1.75 | — | +9.1% |
| Athletic Club Bilbao Win | 2.72 | 2.62 | 3.04 | +3.9% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 4.16 | 3.80 | -18.3% |
| Atlético Madrid Win | 2.20 | 2.65 | 2.46 | -16.9% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.67 | 1.82 | — | -8.1% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Ath Bilbao
Starting 11
7Álex Berenguer
LW7.16
9Iñaki Williams
RW6.79
23Robert Navarro
RW6.92
8Oihan Sancet
CAM6.81
16Íñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
CM6.83
24Beñat Gerenabarrena Zendoia
CM6.81
4Aitor Paredes
CB7.20
12Jesús Areso
RB6.46
14Aymeric Laporte
CB6.64
17Yuri Berchiche
LB6.03
1Unai Simón
GK7.11
Substitutes
10Nico Williams
LW6.48
11Gorka Guruzeta
CF6.56
21Maroan Sannadi Harrouch
CF6.61
25Álvaro Djaló
LW6.37
18Mikel Jauregizar Alboniga
CM6.54
-Alejandro Rego Mora
CM
28Peio Canales Urtasun
CAM6.82
5Yeray Álvarez
CB6.97
15Hugo Rincón
RB6.50
19Adama Boiro Boiro
LB6.27
31Johaneko Louisjean
RB3.68
-Álex Padilla Pérez
GK
Atl. Madrid
Starting 11
10Álex Baena
LW7.46
11Ademola Lookman
LW6.87
20Giuliano Simeone
RW7.19
7Lee Kang-in
CAM7.54
8Pablo Barrios
CM7.05
23Morten Hjulmand
CDM7.01
14Marcos Llorente
RB6.83
17Dávid Hancko
CB7.38
18Marc Pubill Pagès
CB6.83
22Álex Grimaldo
LB6.95
13Jan Oblak
GK6.91
Substitutes
12Carlos Martín
RW6.47
16Arnau Ortiz Sanchez
LW6.59
-Miguel Llorente Cubo
CF
4Rodrigo Mendoza Martinez Moya
CM6.57
5Johnny
CM6.68
6Koke Merodio
CM6.95
-Jorge Castillo Frutos
CM
2José María Giménez
CB6.42
-Cristian Romero
CB
27Jorge Domínguez
CB6.42
30Daniel Martinez Moreno
CB6.56
-Juan Musso
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 3 matchesAth BilbaovsAtl. Madrid
1.00Goals / Match2.33
1.67Conceded / Match1.00
1Clean Sheets1
5.00Shots on Target / Match5.00
47.0%Possession %54.3%
81.8%Pass Accuracy %87.1%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
3Goals Scored7
5Goals Conceded3
1Clean Sheets1
7Big Chances5
5Big Chances Missed4
gps_fixedShooting
40Total Shots46
15Shots on Target15
swap_horizPassing & Possession
47.0%Avg Possession54.3%
1,260Total Passes1,572
81.8%Pass Accuracy87.1%
shieldDefending
41Tackles61
37Interceptions31
12Saves9
51.7%Duels Won52.8%
gavelDiscipline
34Fouls45
7Yellow Cards7
1Red Cards1
5Offsides6
analyticsOther
22Corners13
31Successful Dribbles27
3Errors Leading to Goal0
6.90Avg Rating7.75
history Recent Form
Ath BilbaoW
L
L
Atl. MadridW
D
W
group Head to Head
PL25 Apr 2026
3-2
PL6 Dec 2025
1-0
PL1 Mar 2025
1-0
PL31 Aug 2024
0-1
PL27 Apr 2024
3-1
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
31 / 42 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
22 / 42 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
9 / 42 matches
Both Teams to Score
43%
18 / 42 matches
Ath Bilbao CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Atl. Madrid CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
25 Apr 2026
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Athletic Club Bilbao
6 Dec 2025
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 0
Atlético Madrid
1 Mar 2025
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
31 Aug 2024
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
27 Apr 2024
Atlético Madrid
3 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
29 Feb 2024
Athletic Club Bilbao
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
7 Feb 2024
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
16 Dec 2023
Athletic Club Bilbao
2 - 0
Atlético Madrid
19 Feb 2023
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
15 Oct 2022
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
30 Apr 2022
Athletic Club Bilbao
2 - 0
Atlético Madrid
13 Jan 2022
Atlético Madrid
1 - 2
Athletic Club Bilbao
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.60
Form (Overall)
1.90
Atl. Madrid is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game
Celta de Vigo
0 - 2
Athletic Club Bilbao
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2 - 0
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1 - 3
Sevilla FC
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1 - 3
Atlético Madrid
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2 - 2
Villarreal
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2 - 0
Málaga CF
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