Ath Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Tips | Copa del Rey | FootballTips.app

Ath Bilbao

Ath Bilbao

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Wednesday 11 February
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Away
Ath BilbaoTimelineReal Sociedad
2nd Half
Ruiz de Galarreta I.Out: Rego A.
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56'
Serrano N.Out: Navarro R.
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56'
Sanchez S.Out: Gomez U.
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56'
Williams N.Out: Williams I.
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56'
Guedes G.
58'
Turrientes B.Assist: Guedes G.
sports_soccer
62'
Odriozola A.
65'
Ruiz de Galarreta I.
66'
Elustondo A.Out: Aramburu J.
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74'
Oskarsson O.Out: Turrientes B.
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74'
Vesga M.Out: Jauregizar M.
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82'
Odriozola A.Out: Marin P.
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85'
Herrera Y.Out: Soler C.
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85'
Ochieng J.Out: Guedes G.
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90+5'
Oyarzabal M.
90+6'

Top stats

0.73Expected goals (xG)2.48
47%Ball possession53%
13Total shots12
3Shots on target6
1Big chances4
4Corner kicks4
83% (373/449)Passes83% (424/513)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

0.73Expected goals (xG)2.48
0.21xG on target (xGOT)2.77
13Total shots12
3Shots on target6
4Shots off target4
6Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box8
7Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

1Big chances4
4Corner kicks4
12Touches in opposition box21
0Accurate through passes2
2Offsides4
18Free kicks12

Passes

83% (373/449)Passes83% (424/513)
37% (17/46)Long passes45% (23/51)
69% (75/109)Passes in final third72% (88/122)
10% (2/20)Crosses50% (5/10)
0.56Expected assists (xA)2.10
18Throw ins17

Defense

12Fouls18
67% (12/18)Tackles90% (9/10)
51Duels won48
17Clearances34
9Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves3
2.77xGOT faced0.21
1.77Goals prevented0.21
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.23
X3.00
23.29

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (6/10)
64
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 1.80 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 2.00 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

30%
28%
41%
Ath Bilbao
Draw
Real Sociedad

Match Preview

Athletic Bilbao will clash with Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey on February 11, 2026, at San Mamés Barria.

Real Sociedad has been on a winning streak, securing 4 victories in their last 5 league matches, with a perfect away record in the Copa del Rey.

On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao has shown resilience with 3 wins in their last 6 league encounters.

The stage is set for an intense battle between these two Spanish sides in the Basque derby.

In their recent head-to-head matchups in the Copa del Rey, Athletic Bilbao suffered a loss in their last encounter against Real Sociedad.

With both teams showcasing good form, this match promises to be a tightly contested affair with the potential for a draw.

Prediction: Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad to draw

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Ath Bilbao

Starting 11
22Nicolás Serrano Galdeano
LW2.37
25Urko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi
6.58
6Mikel Vesga
CDM6.57
18Mikel Jauregizar Alboniga
7.27
23Robert Navarro
CAM6.96
44Selton Sued Sánchez Camilo
2.04
47Iker Monreal Agundez
2.36
2Andoni Gorosabel
RB6.81
14Aymeric Laporte
CB6.58
15Íñigo Lekue
RB6.98
27Álex Padilla Pérez
6.36
Substitutes
9Iñaki Williams
CF6.58
10Nico Williams
RW7.14
11Gorka Guruzeta
CF6.98
19Adama Boiro Boiro
4.63
16Íñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (Injured)
CM4.51
20Unai Gómez
4.77
30Alejandro Rego Mora
2.47
-Eder Garcia Altuna
17Yuri Berchiche
LB7.06
-Jon de Luis Suescun
-Unai Simón
GK

Real Sociedad

Starting 11
10Mikel Oyarzabal
LW4.90
11Gonçalo Guedes
SS5.72
8Beñat Turrientes
CM5.95
17Sergio Gómez
LB6.97
18Carlos Soler
CM3.98
23Brais Méndez
CAM2.70
2Jon Aramburu
7.05
3Aihen Muñoz
LB5.37
16Duje Ćaleta-Car
CB4.96
31Jon Martín Vicente
5.45
1Álex Remiro
GK1.33
Substitutes
9Orri Steinn Óskarsson
3.52
-Yangel Herrera
CM
28Pablo Marín
CAM4.11
-Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
24Luka Sučić
CAM6.97
26Daniel Díaz Gándara
6.66
-Aitor Fraga Torres
4Jon Gorrotxategi Etxaniz
5.34
5Igor Zubeldia
CB3.60
6Aritz Elustondo
CB2.60
20Álvaro Odriozola
RB6.91
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

50.8/ 112.7
Dangerous Attacks
47.5/ 97.8
31.0%
Shots on Target
39.0%
13.8
Total Shots
13.5
47.0%
Possession
51.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.6
1.6
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Ath Bilbao Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Real Sociedad Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketAth BilbaoReal Sociedad
Over 1.5 Goals
71%25/35
69%24/35
Over 2.5 Goals
49%17/35
49%17/35
Both Teams to Score
49%17/35
63%22/35
* Based on last 35 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Ath Bilbao

Es1
Athletic Bilbao
4 - 2
Levante
EsC
Valencia
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao
Es1
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
UCL
Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Sporting CP
Es1
Sevilla
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao
UCL
Atalanta
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Home Games: Ath Bilbao

Es1
Athletic Bilbao
4 - 2
Levante
Es1
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
UCL
Athletic Bilbao
2 - 3
Sporting CP
Es1
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 2
Espanyol
UCL
Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
PSG
Es1
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Atlético Madrid

Last 6: Real Sociedad

Es1
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Elche
EsC
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 3
Real Sociedad
Es1
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
Es1
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Celta Vigo
Es1
Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Barcelona
EsC
Real Sociedad
2 - 2
Osasuna

Away Games: Real Sociedad

EsC
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 3
Real Sociedad
Es1
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
Es1
Getafe
1 - 2
Real Sociedad
Es1
Levante
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
EsC
Eldense
1 - 2
Real Sociedad
Es1
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

history Recent Form

Ath BilbaoAth Bilbao
1.4 GPG
W
D
L
L
D
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2.2 GPG
W
D
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL1 Feb 2026
Athletic Club Bilbao
1-1
Real Sociedad
PL1 Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
3-2
Athletic Club Bilbao
PL4 May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-0
Athletic Club Bilbao
PL24 Nov 2024
Athletic Club Bilbao
1-0
Real Sociedad
PL13 Jan 2024
Athletic Club Bilbao
2-1
Real Sociedad
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
79%
26 / 33 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
13 / 33 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7 / 33 matches
Both Teams to Score
52%
17 / 33 matches
Ath Bilbao CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Real Sociedad CS
27%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Feb 2026
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
1 Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
3 - 2
Athletic Club Bilbao
4 May 2025
Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
24 Nov 2024
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Sociedad
13 Jan 2024
Athletic Club Bilbao
2 - 1
Real Sociedad
30 Sept 2023
Real Sociedad
3 - 0
Athletic Club Bilbao
15 Apr 2023
Athletic Club Bilbao
2 - 0
Real Sociedad
14 Jan 2023
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
5 Aug 2022
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Sociedad
20 Feb 2022
Athletic Club Bilbao
4 - 0
Real Sociedad
31 Oct 2021
Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
7 Apr 2021
Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Ath Bilbao
1.40
Form (Overall)
Real Sociedad
2.20

Real Sociedad is +57% better in terms of Points Per Game

Athletic Club Bilbao
4 - 2
Levante UD
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
Sevilla FC
2 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
RCD Mallorca
3 - 2
Athletic Club Bilbao
CA Osasuna
1 - 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Elche CF
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
3 - 1
Celta de Vigo
Real Sociedad
2 - 1
FC Barcelona
Getafe CF
1 - 2
Real Sociedad

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