Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Tips | Copa del Rey

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Atl. Madrid

Home

Full Time

4 - 0

HT: 4 - 0

Thursday 12 February

Barcelona

Away

Atl. MadridTimelineBarcelona

1st Half

Garcia E.Assist: Own goal

sports_soccer

Griezmann A. (Molina N.)

sports_soccer

14'

Casado M.

26'

Lookman A. (Alvarez J.)

sports_soccer

33'

Lewandowski R.Out: Casado M.

sync_alt

37'

Alvarez J. (Lookman A.)

sports_soccer

45+2'

2nd Half

Simeone G.

50'

Llorente M.

51'

Baena A.Out: Griezmann A.

sync_alt

68'

Sorloth A.Out: Alvarez J.

sync_alt

68'

Almada T.Out: Lookman A.

sync_alt

73'

Araujo R.Out: Cubarsi P.

sync_alt

77'

Cancelo J.Out: Balde A.

sync_alt

77'

Baena A.

79'

Garcia E.

85'

Olmo D.

86'

Pubill M.

86'

Fermín

86'

Martin G.Out: Fermín

sync_alt

87'

Le Normand R.Out: Koke

sync_alt

90'

Ruggeri M.

90+8'

Top stats

2.34Expected goals (xG)1.02

34%Ball possession66%

12Total shots14

8Shots on target4

4Big chances3

5Corner kicks8

82% (271/330)Passes89% (579/648)

5Yellow cards3

0Red cards1

Shots

2.34Expected goals (xG)1.02

2.31xG on target (xGOT)1.42

12Total shots14

8Shots on target4

2Shots off target6

2Blocked shots4

10Shots inside the box9

2Shots outside the box5

0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

4Big chances3

5Corner kicks8

22Touches in opposition box23

0Accurate through passes2

3Offsides1

9Free kicks16

Passes

82% (271/330)Passes89% (579/648)

46% (18/39)Long passes57% (20/35)

69% (54/78)Passes in final third82% (127/154)

23% (3/13)Crosses41% (7/17)

1.25Expected assists (xA)0.98

9Throw ins13

Defense

16Fouls9

50% (8/16)Tackles55% (6/11)

35Duels won46

19Clearances11

12Interceptions5

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves3

1.42xGOT faced2.31

0.42Goals prevented-0.69

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

12.80

X3.85

22.14

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 2.55 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 2.40 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

24%

23%

53%

Atl. Madrid

Draw

Barcelona

Match Preview

Atlético Madrid and Barcelona are set to face off in the Copa del Rey on February 12, 2026, at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Atlético Madrid has been dominant in the Copa del Rey, boasting a perfect win record, while Barcelona has been in fine form with 3 consecutive wins in the competition and 5 victories in their last 6 away matches across all leagues.

In their recent head-to-head matchups, Atlético Madrid has struggled against Barcelona, losing 67% of their last 6 encounters.

With Atlético Madrid's impressive home record of 13 wins out of 17 matches this season and Barcelona's strong away form, this clash promises to be an intriguing battle.

Prediction: Barcelona to win with a probability of 38%

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Atl. Madrid

Starting 11

7Antoine Griezmann

SS8.19

10Álex Baena

LW6.49

22Ademola Lookman

SS7.85

6Koke Merodio

CM7.13

8Pablo Barrios (Injured)

CM6.60

14Marcos Llorente

CM6.95

18Marc Pubill Pagès

4.78

20Giuliano Simeone

6.68

3Matteo Ruggeri

LB4.84

17Dávid Hancko

CB7.54

1Juan Musso

GK7.29

Substitutes

11Thiago Almada

CAM7.09

19Julián Álvarez

CF2.20

30Rodrigo Mendoza Martinez Moya

7.04

21Obed Vaargas

6.57

23Nicolás González

LW2.88

-Salvador Esquivel Gámez

2José María Giménez

CB6.80

15Clément Lenglet (Injured)

CB3.23

16Nahuel Molina

RB7.00

24Robin Le Normand

CB2.29

-Jan Oblak

Barcelona

Starting 11

9Robert Lewandowski

CF6.49

10Lamine Yamal

8.01

14Marcus Rashford

LW7.37

16Fermín López

7.18

17Marc Casadó

6.89

20Dani Olmo

CAM6.74

3Alejandro Balde

LB4.46

5Pau Cubarsí

7.01

23Jules Koundé

CB6.71

24Eric García

CB7.43

13Joan García

GK5.02

Substitutes

7Ferrán Torres

LW4.76

28Roony Bardghji

2.51

21Frenkie de Jong

CM7.96

22Marc Bernal Casas

6.74

-Tomás Noël Marqués Morera

2João Cancelo

RB3.47

4Ronald Araújo

CB3.92

18Gerard Martín Langreo

4.95

-Wojciech Szczęsny

-Diego Kochen

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

54.7/ 101.9

Dangerous Attacks

63.1/ 118.9

41.0%

Shots on Target

38.0%

13.9

Total Shots

19.2

54.0%

Possession

69.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.9

Goals Scored / Match

2.8

1.1

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

Atl. Madrid Wins

17%

Draws

17%

Barcelona Wins

67%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Atl. Madrid	Barcelona
Over 1.5 Goals	80%28/35	103%36/35
Over 2.5 Goals	54%19/35	86%30/35
Both Teams to Score	57%20/35	66%23/35

* Based on last 35 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Atl. Madrid

Home Games: Atl. Madrid

Last 6: Barcelona

Away Games: Barcelona

history Recent Form

Atl. Madrid

1.5 GPG

Barcelona

2.7 GPG

group Head to Head

PL2 Dec 2025

3-1

PL2 Apr 2025

0-1

PL16 Mar 2025

2-4

PL25 Feb 2025

4-4

PL21 Dec 2024

1-2

52%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

73%

35 / 48 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

52%

25 / 48 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

27%

13 / 48 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

29 / 48 matches

Atl. Madrid CS

15%

Clean Sheets

Barcelona CS

31%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

2 Dec 2025

FC Barcelona

3 - 1

Atlético Madrid

2 Apr 2025

Atlético Madrid

0 - 1

FC Barcelona

16 Mar 2025

Atlético Madrid

2 - 4

FC Barcelona

25 Feb 2025

FC Barcelona

4 - 4

Atlético Madrid

21 Dec 2024

FC Barcelona

1 - 2

Atlético Madrid

17 Mar 2024

Atlético Madrid

0 - 3

FC Barcelona

3 Dec 2023

FC Barcelona

1 - 0

Atlético Madrid

23 Apr 2023

FC Barcelona

1 - 0

Atlético Madrid

8 Jan 2023

Atlético Madrid

0 - 1

FC Barcelona

6 Feb 2022

FC Barcelona

4 - 2

Atlético Madrid

2 Oct 2021

Atlético Madrid

2 - 0

FC Barcelona

8 May 2021

FC Barcelona

0 - 0

Atlético Madrid

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.50

Form (Overall)

2.70

Barcelona is +80% better in terms of Points Per Game

Atlético Madrid

0 - 1

Real Betis

Levante UD

0 - 0

Atlético Madrid

3 - 0

RCD Mallorca

Atlético Madrid

1 - 0

Deportivo Alavés

Real Sociedad

1 - 1

Atlético Madrid

FC Barcelona

3 - 0

RCD Mallorca

Elche CF

1 - 3

FC Barcelona

3 - 0

Real Oviedo

Real Sociedad

2 - 1

FC Barcelona

RCD Espanyol

0 - 2

FC Barcelona

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AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

12.80

X3.85

22.14

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: High (8/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 2.55 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 2.40 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.20 conc

Match Preview

Atlético Madrid and Barcelona are set to face off in the Copa del Rey on February 12, 2026, at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

In their recent head-to-head matchups, Atlético Madrid has struggled against Barcelona, losing 67% of their last 6 encounters.

With Atlético Madrid's impressive home record of 13 wins out of 17 matches this season and Barcelona's strong away form, this clash promises to be an intriguing battle.

Prediction: Barcelona to win with a probability of 38%

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

54.7/ 101.9

Dangerous Attacks

63.1/ 118.9

41.0%

Shots on Target

38.0%

13.9

Total Shots

19.2

54.0%

Possession

69.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Atl. Madrid Wins

17%

Draws

17%

Barcelona Wins

67%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Atl. Madrid

Home Games: Atl. Madrid

Last 6: Barcelona

Away Games: Barcelona

group Head to Head

PL2 Dec 2025

3-1

PL2 Apr 2025

0-1

PL16 Mar 2025

2-4

PL25 Feb 2025

4-4

PL21 Dec 2024

1-2

52%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.50

Form (Overall)

2.70

Barcelona is +80% better in terms of Points Per Game

Atlético Madrid

0 - 1

Real Betis

Levante UD

0 - 0

Atlético Madrid

3 - 0

RCD Mallorca

Atlético Madrid

1 - 0

Deportivo Alavés

Real Sociedad

1 - 1

Atlético Madrid

FC Barcelona

3 - 0

RCD Mallorca

Elche CF

1 - 3

FC Barcelona

3 - 0

Real Oviedo

Real Sociedad

2 - 1

FC Barcelona

RCD Espanyol

0 - 2

FC Barcelona

donut_small Win Probabilities

24%

23%

53%

Atl. Madrid

Draw

Barcelona

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Atl. Madrid

Starting 11

7Antoine Griezmann

SS8.19

10Álex Baena

LW6.49

22Ademola Lookman

SS7.85

6Koke Merodio

CM7.13

8Pablo Barrios (Injured)

CM6.60

14Marcos Llorente

CM6.95

18Marc Pubill Pagès

4.78

20Giuliano Simeone

6.68

3Matteo Ruggeri

LB4.84

17Dávid Hancko

CB7.54

1Juan Musso

GK7.29

Substitutes

11Thiago Almada

CAM7.09

19Julián Álvarez

CF2.20

30Rodrigo Mendoza Martinez Moya

7.04

21Obed Vaargas

6.57

23Nicolás González

LW2.88

-Salvador Esquivel Gámez

2José María Giménez

CB6.80

15Clément Lenglet (Injured)

CB3.23

16Nahuel Molina

RB7.00

24Robin Le Normand

CB2.29

-Jan Oblak

Barcelona

Starting 11

9Robert Lewandowski

CF6.49

10Lamine Yamal

8.01

14Marcus Rashford

LW7.37

16Fermín López

7.18

17Marc Casadó

6.89

20Dani Olmo

CAM6.74

3Alejandro Balde

LB4.46

5Pau Cubarsí

7.01

23Jules Koundé

CB6.71

24Eric García

CB7.43

13Joan García

GK5.02

Substitutes

7Ferrán Torres

LW4.76

28Roony Bardghji

2.51

21Frenkie de Jong

CM7.96

22Marc Bernal Casas

6.74

-Tomás Noël Marqués Morera

2João Cancelo

RB3.47

4Ronald Araújo

CB3.92

18Gerard Martín Langreo

4.95

-Wojciech Szczęsny

-Diego Kochen

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Team Performance (Avg)

1.9

Goals Scored / Match

2.8

1.1

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

Recent Form Stats

Market	Atl. Madrid	Barcelona
Over 1.5 Goals	80%28/35	103%36/35
Over 2.5 Goals	54%19/35	86%30/35
Both Teams to Score	57%20/35	66%23/35

* Based on last 35 matches

history Recent Form

Atl. Madrid

1.5 GPG

Barcelona

2.7 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

73%

35 / 48 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

52%

25 / 48 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

27%

13 / 48 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

29 / 48 matches

Atl. Madrid CS

15%

Clean Sheets

Barcelona CS

31%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

2 Dec 2025

FC Barcelona

3 - 1

Atlético Madrid

2 Apr 2025

Atlético Madrid

0 - 1

FC Barcelona

16 Mar 2025

Atlético Madrid

2 - 4

FC Barcelona

25 Feb 2025

FC Barcelona

4 - 4

Atlético Madrid

21 Dec 2024

FC Barcelona

1 - 2

Atlético Madrid

17 Mar 2024

Atlético Madrid

0 - 3

FC Barcelona

3 Dec 2023

FC Barcelona

1 - 0

Atlético Madrid

23 Apr 2023

FC Barcelona

1 - 0

Atlético Madrid

8 Jan 2023

Atlético Madrid

0 - 1

FC Barcelona

6 Feb 2022

FC Barcelona

4 - 2

Atlético Madrid

2 Oct 2021

Atlético Madrid

2 - 0

FC Barcelona

8 May 2021

FC Barcelona

0 - 0

Atlético Madrid

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