Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Tips | LaLiga | FootballTips.app

Atl. Madrid
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 4 April

Barcelona
AwayAtl. MadridTimelineBarcelona
1st Half
Gonzalez N.
22'
Simeone G. (Lenglet C.)
sports_soccer
39'
Bernal M.Out: Araujo R.
sync_alt
40'
Rashford M. (Olmo D.)
sports_soccer
42'
Fermín
45'
Molina N.
45'
Koke
45'
Gonzalez N.
45+7'
2nd Half
Ruggeri M.Out: Koke
sync_alt
46'
Torres F.Out: Fermín
sync_alt
46'
Flick H.
47'
Martin G.
50'
Musso J.
50'
Lenglet C.
53'
Gimenez J. M.Out: Baena A.
sync_alt
61'
Morcillo J.Out: Griezmann A.
sync_alt
61'
Sorloth A.Out: Simeone G.
sync_alt
61'
Kounde J.Out: Bernal M.
sync_alt
62'
Seidu T.Out: Lenglet C.
sync_alt
68'
GaviOut: Garcia E.
sync_alt
78'
Lewandowski R.Out: Rashford M.
sync_alt
79'
Lewandowski R. ()
sports_soccer
87'
Seidu T.
90+3'
Simeone D.
90+4'
Top stats
0.92Expected goals (xG)2.23
33%Ball possession67%
6Total shots22
2Shots on target8
2Big chances4
1Corner kicks9
80% (247/307)Passes92% (579/631)
6Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Shots
0.92Expected goals (xG)2.23
1.05xG on target (xGOT)2.01
6Total shots22
2Shots on target8
4Shots off target7
0Blocked shots7
4Shots inside the box15
2Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork1
Attack
2Big chances4
1Corner kicks9
13Touches in opposition box41
3Accurate through passes4
4Offsides3
11Free kicks15
Passes
80% (247/307)Passes92% (579/631)
42% (21/50)Long passes67% (24/36)
57% (35/61)Passes in final third85% (203/238)
33% (2/6)Crosses23% (3/13)
0.45Expected assists (xA)1.70
13Throw ins18
Defense
15Fouls11
63% (19/30)Tackles64% (7/11)
51Duels won47
16Clearances15
6Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
6Goalkeeper saves1
2.01xGOT faced1.05
0.01Goals prevented0.05
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.10
X4.16
22.15
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
92
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #4 vs Away #1
Season: Home 1.97 PPG vs Away 2.52 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.27 GPG vs Away 2.21 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
14%
Atl. Madrid Win
13%
Draw
73%
Barcelona Win
Atl. Madrid
Draw
Barcelona
Match Preview
Atletico Madrid's run of four straight wins came to an end last time out, losing away to their rivals Real Madrid. That means they've won just once on the road in their previous five.
Barcelona remain top of the La Liga table, winning their previous five matches. They currently have a four-point lead over Real Madrid heading into the weekend.
Barcelona won the last meeting between the two sides back in March, winning 3-0 in the Copa del Rey. In La Liga, Barcelona have won the previous two meetings.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Atl. Madrid
Starting 11
-Juan Musso
GK6.90
-Matteo Ruggeri
DL6.80
-Dávid Hancko
DC6.72
-Robin Le Normand
DC6.55
-Nahuel Molina
DR6.54
-Ademola Lookman
ML6.39
-Antoine Griezmann
MC6.57
-Koke
MC6.72
-Álex Baena
MC6.73
-Giuliano Simeone
MR6.92
-Julián Alvarez
FW6.95
Barcelona
Starting 11
-Joan García
GK7.16
-João Cancelo
DL7.35
-Gerard Martín
DC6.75
-Pau Cubarsí
DC6.93
-Eric García
DR7.06
-Pedri
DMC7.23
-Marc Bernal
DMC6.58
-Marcus Rashford
AML6.86
-Fermín López
AMC7.11
-Lamine Yamal
AMR8.19
-Robert Lewandowski
FW6.77
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 29 matchesAtl. MadridvsBarcelona
1.69Goals / Match2.69
0.97Conceded / Match0.97
12Clean Sheets12
5.55Shots on Target / Match7.17
55.2%Possession %68.7%
85.9%Pass Accuracy %89.6%
radarTeam Profile
Atl. Madrid
Barcelona
sports_soccer
58Attack100
shield
61Defense64
swap_horiz
67Possession95
gps_fixed
76Efficiency77
auto_fix_high
53Creativity80
gavel
50Discipline63
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
49Goals Scored78
28Goals Conceded28
12Clean Sheets12
88Big Chances134
57Big Chances Missed82
2Penalty Goals6
gps_fixedShooting
396Total Shots570
161Shots on Target208
swap_horizPassing & Possession
55.2%Avg Possession68.7%
15,231Total Passes18,860
85.9%Pass Accuracy89.6%
shieldDefending
475Tackles472
219Interceptions229
67Saves80
50.1%Duels Won54.2%
gavelDiscipline
324Fouls267
55Yellow Cards44
2Red Cards2
59Offsides61
analyticsOther
194Corners209
211Successful Dribbles338
4Errors Leading to Goal1
6.90Avg Rating7.08
Statistical Comparison
Atl. MadridMetricBarcelona
45
Goals
77
30
Assists
58
6.6
Average Ratings
6.8
28
Average Age
24.5
179.9
Average Height (cm)
183.6
0.9
Shots pg
1.3
54%
Aerial Duel Success
59%
0.5
Dribbles pg
1
1
Tackles pg
1.2
history Recent Form
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
group Head to Head
PL3 Mar 2026
3-0
PL12 Feb 2026
4-0
PL2 Dec 2025
3-1
PL2 Apr 2025
0-1
PL16 Mar 2025
2-4
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
37 / 50 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
27 / 50 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
14 / 50 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
29 / 50 matches
Atl. Madrid CS
16%
Clean Sheets
Barcelona CS
32%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
3 Mar 2026
FC Barcelona
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
12 Feb 2026
Atlético Madrid
4 - 0
FC Barcelona
2 Dec 2025
FC Barcelona
3 - 1
Atlético Madrid
2 Apr 2025
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
FC Barcelona
16 Mar 2025
Atlético Madrid
2 - 4
FC Barcelona
25 Feb 2025
FC Barcelona
4 - 4
Atlético Madrid
21 Dec 2024
FC Barcelona
1 - 2
Atlético Madrid
17 Mar 2024
Atlético Madrid
0 - 3
FC Barcelona
3 Dec 2023
FC Barcelona
1 - 0
Atlético Madrid
23 Apr 2023
FC Barcelona
1 - 0
Atlético Madrid
8 Jan 2023
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
FC Barcelona
6 Feb 2022
FC Barcelona
4 - 2
Atlético Madrid
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.97
Form (Overall)
2.52
Barcelona is +28% better in terms of Points Per Game
Real Madrid
3 - 2
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Getafe CF
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Real Sociedad
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
4 - 2
RCD Espanyol
FC Barcelona
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
FC Barcelona
5 - 2
Sevilla FC
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 1
FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona
4 - 1
Villarreal
FC Barcelona
3 - 0
Levante UD
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