Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Atl. Madrid

Atl. Madrid

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 2
Tuesday 14 April
Barcelona

Barcelona

Away
Atl. MadridTimelineBarcelona
1st Half
Lamine Yamal (Torres F.)
sports_soccer
4'
Torres F.Assist: Olmo D.
sports_soccer
24'
Lookman A. (Llorente M.)
sports_soccer
31'
2nd Half
Baena A.Out: Simeone G.
sync_alt
66'
Gonzalez N.Out: Lookman A.
sync_alt
66'
Lewandowski R.Out: Torres F.
sync_alt
68'
Rashford M.Out: Fermín
sync_alt
68'
Gavi
69'
Sorloth A.Out: Griezmann A.
sync_alt
76'
Garcia E.
79'
de Jong F.Out: Gavi
sync_alt
81'
Cardoso J.Out: Koke
sync_alt
89'
Araujo R.Out: Cancelo J.
sync_alt
89'
Bardghji R.Out: Olmo D.
sync_alt
89'

Top stats

1.71Expected goals (xG)2.28
29%Ball possession71%
15Total shots15
5Shots on target8
5Big chances7
2Corner kicks4
71% (202/283)Passes90% (628/698)
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Shots

1.71Expected goals (xG)2.28
1.70xG on target (xGOT)2.98
15Total shots15
5Shots on target8
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box9
7Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

5Big chances7
2Corner kicks4
27Touches in opposition box37
1Accurate through passes4
0Offsides1
8Free kicks15

Passes

71% (202/283)Passes90% (628/698)
36% (20/55)Long passes55% (12/22)
56% (42/75)Passes in final third81% (162/200)
25% (2/8)Crosses32% (6/19)
1.16Expected assists (xA)2.37
16Throw ins19

Defense

15Fouls8
56% (15/27)Tackles43% (6/14)
53Duels won59
20Clearances30
11Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot1
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

7Goalkeeper saves4
2.98xGOT faced1.70
0.98Goals prevented0.70
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.81
X4.62
21.82

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
74
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 2.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.75 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 0.67 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

18%
19%
63%
Atl. Madrid
Draw
Barcelona

Match Preview

Holding a surprise 2-0 advantage from the first leg, Atlético de Madrid return home with one foot in the semi-finals, though recent history between these sides suggests the tie remains finely poised.

Despite inconsistent domestic form, Atlético have been formidable in Europe at the Metropolitano, where they’ve lost just once this campaign and boast a long-standing unbeaten record in knockout matches on home soil. Barcelona, meanwhile, arrive needing a statement performance, aware that overturning a two-goal first-leg home defeat is a rare feat in Champions League history.

The contrast in styles should again define proceedings, with Atlético’s structure and efficiency up against Barcelona’s aggressive pressing and attacking volume.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Atl. Madrid

Starting 11
-Juan Musso
GK7.45
-Matteo Ruggeri
DL6.91
-Clément Lenglet
DC6.82
-Robin Le Normand
DC6.61
-Nahuel Molina
DR6.34
-Ademola Lookman
ML6.74
-Rodrigo Mendoza
MC6.01
-Marcos Llorente
MC6.94
-Giuliano Simeone
MR6.89
-Julián Alvarez
FW7.95
-Antoine Griezmann
FW6.89

Barcelona

Starting 11
-Joan García
GK6.34
-João Cancelo
DL6.91
-Gerard Martín
DC6.72
-Ronald Araujo
DC6.47
-Jules Koundé
DR6.89
-Pedri
DMC6.84
-Eric García
DMC6.59
-Marcus Rashford
AML7.26
-Dani Olmo
AMC6.59
-Lamine Yamal
AMR7.84
-Robert Lewandowski
FW6.84
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 13 / 11 matches
Atl. MadridvsBarcelona

radarTeam Profile

Atl. Madrid
Barcelona
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
76Attack92
shield
40Defense31
swap_horiz
64Possession87
gps_fixed
92Efficiency94
auto_fix_high
53Creativity75
gavel
58Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

33Goals Scored30
24Goals Conceded19
1Clean Sheets0
38Big Chances38
19Big Chances Missed18
2Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

186Total Shots185
76Shots on Target77

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.8%Avg Possession62.6%
6,440Total Passes6,332
85.8%Pass Accuracy88.0%

shieldDefending

232Tackles181
120Interceptions88
51Saves27
49.7%Duels Won55.1%

gavelDiscipline

140Fouls106
24Yellow Cards21
0Red Cards2
19Offsides13

analyticsOther

75Corners54
104Successful Dribbles122
2Errors Leading to Goal2
6.89Avg Rating6.94

Statistical Comparison

Atl. MadridMetricBarcelona
32
Goals
29
17
Assists
21
6.7
Average Ratings
6.7
27.7
Average Age
26.5
181
Average Height (cm)
183.8
0.9
Shots pg
1.1
50%
Aerial Duel Success
60%
0.8
Dribbles pg
1.1
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

Atl. MadridAtl. Madrid
1.5 GPG
L
L
L
W
W
BarcelonaBarcelona
2.5 GPG
W
W
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL8 Apr 2026
FC Barcelona
0-2
Atlético Madrid
PL4 Apr 2026
Atlético Madrid
1-2
FC Barcelona
PL3 Mar 2026
FC Barcelona
3-0
Atlético Madrid
PL12 Feb 2026
Atlético Madrid
4-0
FC Barcelona
PL2 Dec 2025
FC Barcelona
3-1
Atlético Madrid
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
39 / 52 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
28 / 52 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
14 / 52 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
30 / 52 matches
Atl. Madrid CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Barcelona CS
31%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Apr 2026
FC Barcelona
0 - 2
Atlético Madrid
4 Apr 2026
Atlético Madrid
1 - 2
FC Barcelona
3 Mar 2026
FC Barcelona
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
12 Feb 2026
Atlético Madrid
4 - 0
FC Barcelona
2 Dec 2025
FC Barcelona
3 - 1
Atlético Madrid
2 Apr 2025
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
FC Barcelona
16 Mar 2025
Atlético Madrid
2 - 4
FC Barcelona
25 Feb 2025
FC Barcelona
4 - 4
Atlético Madrid
21 Dec 2024
FC Barcelona
1 - 2
Atlético Madrid
17 Mar 2024
Atlético Madrid
0 - 3
FC Barcelona
3 Dec 2023
FC Barcelona
1 - 0
Atlético Madrid
23 Apr 2023
FC Barcelona
1 - 0
Atlético Madrid

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Atl. Madrid
1.50
Form (Overall)
Barcelona
2.50

Barcelona is +67% better in terms of Points Per Game

Sevilla FC
2 - 1
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1 - 2
FC Barcelona
Real Madrid
3 - 2
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Getafe CF
Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Real Sociedad
FC Barcelona
4 - 1
RCD Espanyol
Atlético Madrid
1 - 2
FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
FC Barcelona
5 - 2
Sevilla FC
Athletic Club Bilbao
0 - 1
FC Barcelona

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