Atl. Madrid vs Club Brugge KV Prediction & Tips | Champions League - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Atl. Madrid

Atl. Madrid

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Tuesday 24 February
Club Brugge KV

Club Brugge KV

Away
Atl. MadridTimelineClub Brugge KV
1st Half
Sorloth A. (Oblak J.)
sports_soccer
23'
Ordonez J. (Mechele B.)
sports_soccer
36'
Ordonez J.
40'
2nd Half
Cardoso J. ()
sports_soccer
48'
Griezmann A.Out: Alvarez J.
sync_alt
58'
Vermant R.Out: Tresoldi N.
sync_alt
65'
Diakhon M.Out: Vetlesen H.
sync_alt
65'
Molina N.Out: Koke
sync_alt
70'
Lookman A.Out: Baena A.
sync_alt
70'
Sorloth A. (Lookman A.)
sports_soccer
76'
Nilsson G.Out: Tzolis C.
sync_alt
82'
Lemarechal F.Out: Seys J.
sync_alt
82'
Gimenez J. M.Out: Simeone G.
sync_alt
83'
Mendoza R.Out: Cardoso J.
sync_alt
83'
Llorente M.
85'
Vermant R.
85'
Sorloth A. (Ruggeri M.)
sports_soccer
87'
Meijer B.Out: Mechele B.
sync_alt
88'

Top stats

2.09Expected goals (xG)1.74
45%Ball possession55%
14Total shots11
5Shots on target6
3Big chances2
2Corner kicks7
84% (390/464)Passes88% (486/555)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

2.09Expected goals (xG)1.74
2.19xG on target (xGOT)2.68
14Total shots11
5Shots on target6
5Shots off target1
4Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box5
4Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

3Big chances2
2Corner kicks7
29Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
8Free kicks5

Passes

84% (390/464)Passes88% (486/555)
57% (31/54)Long passes52% (22/42)
75% (98/131)Passes in final third79% (123/156)
31% (4/13)Crosses20% (5/25)
1.77Expected assists (xA)1.23
14Throw ins17

Defense

5Fouls8
47% (8/17)Tackles50% (10/20)
38Duels won48
22Clearances19
13Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves1
2.68xGOT faced2.19
1.68Goals prevented-1.81
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.40
X5.33
27.53

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (4/10)
40
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.35 PPG vs Away 2.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.00 conc vs Away 1.25 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

52%
24%
24%
Atl. Madrid
Draw
Club Brugge KV

Match Preview

Atlético Madrid will clash with Club Brugge in a crucial Champions League encounter at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on February 24, 2026, GMT.

The match holds significant weight for both teams seeking to advance in the elimination phase.

Atlético Madrid has displayed strong form this season, securing 21 victories out of 38 matches.

With a remarkable 75% home win rate in the Champions League, they aim to capitalize on their home advantage.

On the other hand, Club Brugge has shown resilience, winning 3 out of their last 6 away matches in the league, highlighting their capability on the road.

In their recent head-to-head clashes, Atlético Madrid has secured 3 draws in the last 5 encounters against Club Brugge, indicating a closely contested battle between the two sides.

With both teams showcasing determination, this match promises to be a competitive affair.

Prediction: Atlético Madrid to clinch a 3-1 victory.

Everything is delicately poised in Madrid after a breathless 3-3 draw in Bruges. Atlético led twice in Belgium, first through Julián Alvarez’s early penalty and then via Ademola Lookman on the stroke of half-time, yet Club Brugge responded each time, with Nicolò Tresoldi and Christos Tzolis ensuring the tie remains level heading into the second leg.

Atlético finished 14th in the league phase (W4, D1, L3), while Brugge were 19th (W3, D1, L4), and that slight gap reflects the marginal differences between the sides. Diego Simeone’s men have progressed in nine of their previous ten two-legged European Cup/Champions League ties when avoiding defeat away in the first leg, and they have not lost a home Champions League knockout match since 1997 (W12, D7). In fact, they have kept 13 clean sheets in their last 17 home knockout fixtures in this competition.

However, recent head-to-head history offers Brugge encouragement. Atlético are winless in their last four meetings with the Belgian champions (D3, L1), and Brugge are unbeaten in six Champions League matches against Spanish opposition (W2, D4). That said, the visitors have won only once in 15 away trips to Spain (D6, L8).

Momentum is shared. Atlético came from behind to beat Espanyol 4-2 at the weekend, while Brugge edged Leuven 2-1, meaning both arrive in confident mood. Yet history suggests drawing the home first leg has been a poor omen for Brugge, who have lost five of the six European ties in which that scenario occurred.

With the tie level and Atlético’s formidable home knockout record in play, the balance tilts slightly toward the Spanish side. Brugge’s attacking form and recent record against Spanish opposition suggest they will pose problems, but Simeone’s experience in these scenarios, combined with Alvarez’s ruthless home output, may prove decisive.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Atl. Madrid

Starting 11
-Jan Oblak
GK6.46
-Matteo Ruggeri
DL6.78
-Marc Pubill
DC6.53
-Dávid Hancko
DC6.75
-Nahuel Molina
DR6.25
-Antoine Griezmann
MC6.79
-Koke
MC6.53
-Marcos Llorente
MC6.81
-Ademola Lookman
FWL6.96
-Julián Alvarez
FW7.75
-Giuliano Simeone
FWR7.00

Club Brugge KV

Starting 11
-Simon Mignolet
GK7.21
-Bjorn Meijer
DL6.24
-Joel Ordóñez
DC6.45
-Brandon Mechele
DC6.53
-Hugo Siquet
DR6.14
-Félix Lemaréchal
DMC6.32
-Aleksandar Stankovic
DMC6.86
-Christos Tzolis
AML6.87
-Hans Vanaken
AMC7.37
-Mamadou Diakhon
AMR6.63
-Nicolò Tresoldi
FW6.72
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
Atl. MadridvsClub Brugge KV

radarTeam Profile

Atl. Madrid
Club Brugge KV
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
73Attack66
shield
31Defense27
swap_horiz
67Possession54
gps_fixed
86Efficiency91
auto_fix_high
51Creativity61
gavel
58Discipline74

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

20Goals Scored18
18Goals Conceded20
0Clean Sheets1
28Big Chances26
16Big Chances Missed14
2Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

138Total Shots119
55Shots on Target49

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.9%Avg Possession45.9%
4,653Total Passes4,293
86.4%Pass Accuracy85.7%

shieldDefending

141Tackles147
81Interceptions56
28Saves41
49.7%Duels Won52.1%

gavelDiscipline

95Fouls86
17Yellow Cards10
13Offsides8

analyticsOther

61Corners23
71Successful Dribbles56
6.84Avg Rating6.87

Statistical Comparison

Atl. MadridMetricClub Brugge KV
19
Goals
18
10
Assists
14
6.7
Average Ratings
6.6
28.1
Average Age
25.1
180.5
Average Height (cm)
186
1.1
Shots pg
0.9
54%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Atl. Madrid

PosTeamPWDLPts
13Juventus834113
14Atlético Madrid841313
15Atalanta841313

For Club Brugge KV

PosTeamPWDLPts
18Olympiacos FC832311
19Club Brugge831410
20Galatasaray831410

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

53.8/ 101.7
Dangerous Attacks
56.1/ 102.0
42.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
13.8
Total Shots
15.9
54.0%
Possession
59.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.9
Goals Scored / Match
2.1
1.1
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Atl. Madrid Wins
20%
3
Draws
60%
1
Club Brugge KV Wins
20%
Total H2H Matches: 5

Recent Form Stats

MarketAtl. MadridClub Brugge KV
Over 1.5 Goals
82%32/39
82%32/39
Over 2.5 Goals
59%23/39
72%28/39
Both Teams to Score
56%22/39
59%23/39
* Based on last 39 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Atl. Madrid

Es1
Atlético Madrid
4 - 2
Espanyol
EsC
Atlético Madrid
4 - 0
Barcelona
Es1
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
Real Betis
UCL
Atlético Madrid
1 - 2
Bodo/Glimt
Es1
Atlético Madrid
3 - 0
Real Mallorca
Es1
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés

Home Games: Atl. Madrid

Es1
Atlético Madrid
4 - 2
Espanyol
EsC
Atlético Madrid
4 - 0
Barcelona
Es1
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
Real Betis
UCL
Atlético Madrid
1 - 2
Bodo/Glimt
Es1
Atlético Madrid
3 - 0
Real Mallorca
Es1
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés

Last 6: Club Brugge KV

Be1
Cercle Brugge
1 - 2
Club Brugge
Be1
Union Saint-Gilloise
1 - 0
Club Brugge
UCL
Kairat Almaty
1 - 4
Club Brugge
BeC
Sporting Charleroi
2 - 0
Club Brugge
Be1
Racing Genk
3 - 5
Club Brugge
Be1
Dender
1 - 5
Club Brugge

Away Games: Club Brugge KV

Be1
Cercle Brugge
1 - 2
Club Brugge
Be1
Union Saint-Gilloise
1 - 0
Club Brugge
UCL
Kairat Almaty
1 - 4
Club Brugge
BeC
Sporting Charleroi
2 - 0
Club Brugge
Be1
Racing Genk
3 - 5
Club Brugge
Be1
Dender
1 - 5
Club Brugge

history Recent Form

Atl. MadridAtl. Madrid
1.5 GPG
W
L
L
D
W
Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
1.7 GPG
W
W
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL18 Feb 2026
Club Brugge
3-3
Atlético Madrid
PL12 Oct 2022
Atlético Madrid
0-0
Club Brugge
PL4 Oct 2022
Club Brugge
2-0
Atlético Madrid
PL11 Dec 2018
Club Brugge
0-0
Atlético Madrid
PL3 Oct 2018
Atlético Madrid
3-1
Club Brugge
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
60%
3 / 5 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2 / 5 matches
Both Teams to Score
40%
2 / 5 matches
Atl. Madrid CS
40%
Clean Sheets
Club Brugge KV CS
60%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Feb 2026
Club Brugge
3 - 3
Atlético Madrid
12 Oct 2022
Atlético Madrid
0 - 0
Club Brugge
4 Oct 2022
Club Brugge
2 - 0
Atlético Madrid
11 Dec 2018
Club Brugge
0 - 0
Atlético Madrid
3 Oct 2018
Atlético Madrid
3 - 1
Club Brugge

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Atl. Madrid
1.50
Form (Overall)
Club Brugge KV
1.70

Club Brugge KV is +13% better in terms of Points Per Game

Atlético Madrid
4 - 2
RCD Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
0 - 1
Real Betis
Levante UD
0 - 0
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
3 - 0
RCD Mallorca
Club Brugge
2 - 1
OH Leuven
Cercle Brugge
1 - 2
Club Brugge
Club Brugge
3 - 0
Standard Liège
Union Saint-Gilloise
1 - 0
Club Brugge
Club Brugge
4 - 3
Zulte-Waregem

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