Atl. Madrid vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Atl. Madrid

Atl. Madrid

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 13 October
Manchester Utd

Manchester Utd

Away
Atl. MadridTimelineManchester Utd
1st Half
Barrios P.Assist: Baena A.
sports_soccer
1'
Simeone D.
37'
2nd Half
Rashford M.
52'
Pubill M.Out: Barrios P.
sync_alt
60'
David J.Out: Lee Kang-In
sync_alt
61'
Zirkzee J.Out: Tielemans Y.
sync_alt
66'
Mount M.Out: Baleba C.
sync_alt
66'
Diallo A.Out: Rashford M.
sync_alt
66'
Hjulmand M.Out: Alvarez J.
sync_alt
71'
Lookman A.Out: Baena A.
sync_alt
71'
Yoro L.
74'
Lookman A.
sports_soccer
79'
Cunha M.Out: Fernandes B.
sync_alt
80'
Maguire H.Out: Heaven A.
sync_alt
80'
Le Normand R.Out: Simeone G.
sync_alt
88'
Le Normand R.
88'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.94
X3.94
23.65

Recommended Bet

Free
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 1.92Stake: High (9/10)
93
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.50 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.75 conc vs Away 1.67 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

62%
21%
17%
Atl. Madrid
Draw
Manchester Utd
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.531.83-16.3%
Under 2.5 Goals2.532.21+14.6%
Atlético Madrid Win1.921.61+19.4%
Draw3.704.73-21.7%
Manchester United Win3.106.00-48.3%
BTTS - Yes1.441.77-18.5%
BTTS - No2.602.30+12.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Atl. Madrid

Starting 11
-Jan Oblak
GK6.20
-Dávid Hancko
DC6.10
-Cristian Romero
DC6.82
-Marc Pubill
DC6.09
-Giuliano Simeone
DML6.35
-Koke
MC6.24
-Pablo Barrios
MC7.19
-Marcos Llorente
DMR7.36
-Álex Baena
AMC6.20
-Lee Kang-In
AMC5.88
-Julián Alvarez
FW7.63

Manchester Utd

Starting 11
-Senne Lammens
GK6.75
-Diogo Dalot
DL
-Lisandro Martínez
DC8.18
-Leny Yoro
DC7.25
-Noussair Mazraoui
DR6.94
-Kobbie Mainoo
DMC7.32
-Youri Tielemans
DMC7.57
-Marcus Rashford
AML
-Bruno Fernandes
AMC8.47
-Bryan Mbeumo
AMR8.23
-Matheus Cunha
FW8.02
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Atlético de Madrid welcome Manchester United to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano with the two sides arriving in contrasting form. Atlético lost 2-1 at Liverpool on matchday one but have since won four consecutive matches in all competitions, while United opened with a 4-0 victory over Sabah before going winless across their next four.

Simeone’s side have been particularly strong at home, going unbeaten in their last five matches there in all competitions. Their Champions League record against English opposition is less convincing, however, with only two wins from their last 15 European meetings with English clubs.

United have historically found Atlético a difficult opponent. They are still searching for their first victory in this fixture after four meetings, while Atlético have never lost to them. The most recent tie came in the 2021-22 Champions League round of 16, when the Spanish side progressed 2-1 on aggregate.

The visitors’ wider record against Spanish opposition is far healthier, with only one defeat in their last 11 matches, but their current form is a concern. Michael Carrick’s side were held 1-1 by Tottenham at the weekend despite leading late and playing against 10 men, extending their winless run to four.

Atlético prepared with a 2-1 away win at Alavés, where Álex Baena and Julián Álvarez made a significant impact from the bench before Cristian Romero headed in the late winner. Their depth could prove important again against a United side missing several first-team players.

With Atlético scoring consistently at home and United’s European games rarely ending quietly, this should be competitive rather than cagey. United have enough attacking quality to threaten, but Atlético’s stronger recent form and greater defensive stability make the hosts more convincing.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 8 / 6 matches
Atl. MadridvsManchester Utd
2.25Goals / Match1.50
1.00Conceded / Match1.50
3Clean Sheets0
6.50Shots on Target / Match5.33
58.5%Possession %58.3%
88.1%Pass Accuracy %87.6%

radarTeam Profile

Atl. Madrid
Manchester Utd
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
83Attack62
shield
66Defense43
swap_horiz
83Possession74
gps_fixed
77Efficiency36
auto_fix_high
86Creativity60
gavel
40Discipline63

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

18Goals Scored9
8Goals Conceded9
3Clean Sheets0
24Big Chances16
13Big Chances Missed11
2Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

140Total Shots125
52Shots on Target32

swap_horizPassing & Possession

58.5%Avg Possession58.3%
4,646Total Passes3,317
88.1%Pass Accuracy87.6%

shieldDefending

138Tackles94
79Interceptions67
18Saves18
50.0%Duels Won50.2%

gavelDiscipline

101Fouls62
15Yellow Cards10
1Red Cards0
14Offsides12

analyticsOther

45Corners40
78Successful Dribbles45
1Errors Leading to Goal1
7.65Avg Rating7.22

Statistical Comparison

Atl. MadridMetricManchester Utd
1
Goals
4
1
Assists
3
6.4
Average Ratings
7.3
27.2
Average Age
26.5
180.4
Average Height (cm)
182.7
1.5
Shots pg
2.3
45%
Aerial Duel Success
59%
1.8
Dribbles pg
1.5
3
Tackles pg
1.5

history Recent Form

Atl. MadridAtl. Madrid
2.2 GPG
Manchester UtdManchester Utd
1.0 GPG

group Head to Head

PL1 Aug 2026
Manchester United
2-1
Atlético Madrid
PL30 Jul 2022
Atlético Madrid
1-0
Manchester United
PL15 Mar 2022
Manchester United
0-1
Atlético Madrid
PL23 Feb 2022
Atlético Madrid
1-1
Manchester United
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
2 / 4 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
1 / 4 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 4 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
2 / 4 matches
Atl. Madrid CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Manchester Utd CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

1 Aug 2026
Manchester United
2 - 1
Atlético Madrid
30 Jul 2022
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Manchester United
15 Mar 2022
Manchester United
0 - 1
Atlético Madrid
23 Feb 2022
Atlético Madrid
1 - 1
Manchester United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Atl. Madrid
2.20
Form (Overall)
Manchester Utd
1.00

Atl. Madrid is +120% better in terms of Points Per Game

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.