Atl. Madrid W vs Athletic Bilbao W Prediction & Tips | Copa de la Reina Women

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Atl. Madrid W

Home

Full Time

4 - 1

HT: 2 - 0

Wednesday 4 February

Athletic Bilbao W

Away

Atl. Madrid WTimelineAthletic Bilbao W

1st Half

Jensen S. (Sarriegi A.)

sports_soccer

33'

Sarriegi A.Assist: Lauren Leal

sports_soccer

38'

2nd Half

Azkona A.Out: Campos A.

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46'

Bartel J.

53'

Gurtubay E.Out: Banos L.

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58'

Zaldivar N.Out: Nevado N.

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58'

Agote D.Out: Valero M.

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58'

Iannuzzi F. (Sarriegi A.)

sports_soccer

64'

Chinchilla P.Out: Jensen S.

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66'

Kuhl K.Out: Bartel J.

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66'

Sarriegi A. (Chinchilla P.)

sports_soccer

78'

Martin N.Out: Boe Risa V.

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80'

Guijarro S.Out: Sarriegi A.

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80'

Perez X.Out: Menayo C.

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83'

Torre Larranaga M.Out: Landaluze N.

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86'

Pinedo C.

89'

Top stats

1.12Expected goals (xG)0.42

50%Ball possession50%

14Total shots10

6Shots on target3

2Big chances0

2Corner kicks2

79% (295/373)Passes79% (301/379)

1Yellow cards1

Shots

1.12Expected goals (xG)0.42

1.89xG on target (xGOT)0.89

14Total shots10

6Shots on target3

4Shots off target4

4Blocked shots3

7Shots inside the box4

7Shots outside the box6

1Hit the woodwork0

0Headed goals1

Attack

2Big chances0

2Corner kicks2

14Touches in opposition box13

1Accurate through passes0

1Offsides0

9Free kicks12

Passes

79% (295/373)Passes79% (301/379)

47% (33/70)Long passes42% (21/50)

61% (63/104)Passes in final third68% (68/100)

25% (4/16)Crosses25% (3/12)

0.56Expected assists (xA)0.53

22Throw ins25

Defense

12Fouls9

80% (16/20)Tackles85% (11/13)

38Duels won33

22Clearances21

14Interceptions4

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2

0.89xGOT faced1.89

-0.11Goals prevented-2.11

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

11.63

X3.78

24.82

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.55 PPG vs Away 1.95 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.86 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 2.20 conc vs Away 1.43 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%

25%

48%

Atl. Madrid W

Draw

Athletic Bilbao W

history Recent Form

Atl. Madrid W

0.6 GPG

Athletic Bilbao W

2.0 GPG

group Head to Head

PL4 Oct 2025

1-1

PL4 May 2025

1-0

PL5 Oct 2024

0-2

PL14 Apr 2024

1-0

PL16 Sept 2023

3-0

69%

Over 2.5 Goals

59%

Both Team Score

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

11.63

X3.78

24.82

Recommended Bet

Away Win

Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.55 PPG vs Away 1.95 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 1.86 GPG

Defense (venue): Home 2.20 conc vs Away 1.43 conc

Team Performance (Avg)

2.1

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

1.5

Goals Conceded / Match

1.3

Recent Form Stats

Market	Atl. Madrid W	Athletic Bilbao W
Over 1.5 Goals	93%25/27	44%12/27
Over 2.5 Goals	63%17/27	22%6/27
Both Teams to Score	52%14/27	30%8/27

* Based on last 27 matches

history Recent Form

Atl. Madrid W

0.6 GPG

Athletic Bilbao W

2.0 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

84%

27 / 32 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

69%

22 / 32 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

38%

12 / 32 matches

Both Teams to Score

59%

19 / 32 matches

Atl. Madrid W CS

31%

Clean Sheets

Athletic Bilbao W CS

16%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Oct 2025

Atletico Madrid W

1 - 1

Athletic Club W

4 May 2025

Atletico Madrid W

1 - 0

Athletic Club W

5 Oct 2024

Athletic Club W

0 - 2

Atletico Madrid W

14 Apr 2024

Athletic Club W

1 - 0

Atletico Madrid W

16 Sept 2023

Atletico Madrid W

3 - 0

Athletic Club W

12 Feb 2023

Atletico Madrid W

1 - 0

Athletic Club W

29 Oct 2022

Athletic Club W

1 - 4

Atletico Madrid W

17 Apr 2022

Atletico Madrid W

3 - 0

Athletic Club W

9 Feb 2022

Athletic Club W

2 - 1

Atletico Madrid W

15 May 2021

Atletico Madrid W

3 - 1

Athletic Club W

5 Dec 2020

Athletic Club W

3 - 3

Atletico Madrid W

8 Dec 2019

Atletico Madrid W

2 - 2

Athletic Club W

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%

25%

48%

Atl. Madrid W

Draw

Athletic Bilbao W

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

50.3/ 95.0

Dangerous Attacks

48.0/ 96.7

39.0%

Shots on Target

39.0%

15.6

Total Shots

9.8

57.0%

Possession

55.0%

Head-to-Head Summary

Atl. Madrid W Wins

67%

Draws

17%

Athletic Bilbao W Wins

17%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Past Matches

Last 6: Atl. Madrid W

Home Games: Atl. Madrid W

Last 6: Athletic Bilbao W

Away Games: Athletic Bilbao W

group Head to Head

PL4 Oct 2025

1-1

PL4 May 2025

1-0

PL5 Oct 2024

0-2

PL14 Apr 2024

1-0

PL16 Sept 2023

3-0

69%

Over 2.5 Goals

59%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

0.60

Form (Overall)

2.00

Athletic Bilbao W is +233% better in terms of Points Per Game

Atletico Madrid W

1 - 1

Granada W

Atletico Madrid W

0 - 1

Espanyol W

Barcelona W

5 - 0

Atletico Madrid W

5 - 5

Real Sociedad W

Eibar W

2 - 2

Atletico Madrid W

Athletic Club W

2 - 1

Espanyol W

Tenerife W

5 - 0

Athletic Club W

Real Madrid W

0 - 1

Athletic Club W

0 - 0

Badalona W

Madrid CFF

0 - 2

Athletic Club W

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