Atl. Nacional

Atl. Nacional

Home
Full Time
4 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Friday 13 February
Fortaleza

Fortaleza

Away
Atl. NacionalTimelineFortaleza
1st Half
Balanta Carabali K. A.
22'
Morelos A. (Penalty missed)
close
26'
Zapata J.
30'
Morelos A. (Casco M.)
sports_soccer
34'
2nd Half
Wilke T.Out: Rivas Torres R. D.
sync_alt
46'
Wilke T.
49'
Casco M.Assist: Sarmiento A.
sports_soccer
53'
Amaya A. (Navarro S.)
sports_soccer
54'
Morelos A.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
58'
Morelos A.
59'
Campuzano J.Out: Zapata J.
sync_alt
67'
Moreno M.Out: Sarmiento A.
sync_alt
67'
Velasquez J.Out: Amaya A.
sync_alt
67'
Wilke T.
70'
Cardona E.Out: Uribe M.
sync_alt
72'
Asprilla D.Out: Morelos A.
sync_alt
73'
Moreno M.
sports_soccer
75'
Martinez J.Out: Balanta Carabali K. A.
sync_alt
76'
Sinisterra J.Out: Navarro S.
sync_alt
76'
Rosa J.Out: Rodriguez N.
sync_alt
78'
Orozco C.Out: Arroyo A.
sync_alt
84'

Top stats

3.09Expected goals (xG)0.58
54%Ball possession46%
16Total shots9
8Shots on target2
3Big chances1
3Corner kicks2
87% (343/395)Passes82% (271/329)
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

Shots

3.09Expected goals (xG)0.58
4.48xG on target (xGOT)0.85
16Total shots9
8Shots on target2
6Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box7
3Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances1
3Corner kicks2
26Touches in opposition box12
0Accurate through passes0
6Offsides3
11Free kicks13

Passes

87% (343/395)Passes82% (271/329)
72% (31/43)Long passes51% (30/59)
79% (84/107)Passes in final third65% (39/60)
33% (3/9)Crosses22% (2/9)
1.06Expected assists (xA)0.31
9Throw ins13

Defense

13Fouls11
78% (7/9)Tackles89% (8/9)
33Duels won33
10Clearances6
3Interceptions3
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves3
0.85xGOT faced4.48
-0.15Goals prevented0.48
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
11.32
X4.35
28.10

Recommended Bet

Draw
Stake: Medium (6/10)
58
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 43% on target vs Away 29% on target
Standings: Home GD +5 (6pts) vs Away GD +1 (7pts)
➡️ MID OPPORTUNITY (58)

donut_small Win Probabilities

32%
49%
19%
Atl. Nacional
Draw
Fortaleza

Match Preview

At the Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Atlético Nacional will face Fortaleza (COL) in a Primera A league match on February 13, 2026, GMT.

Positioned 14th and 13th in the standings respectively, Atlético Nacional holds 6 points while Fortaleza (COL) has 7 points.

Atlético Nacional boasts a 75% win rate in the Primera A, showcasing their competitive edge.

On the other hand, Fortaleza (COL) has recorded 2 draws in their last 3 away matches across all leagues.

When considering their recent encounters, Atlético Nacional has secured 5 wins this season out of 8 head-to-head matches against Fortaleza (COL), highlighting their dominance.

As they prepare to clash at the Estadio Atanasio Girardot, both teams will be aiming to claim valuable points to progress up the standings.

Our algorithm predicts Atlético Nacional and Fortaleza (COL) to play out a 2-2 draw in this matchup.

League Standings Context

For Atl. Nacional

PosTeamPWDLPts
13Jaguares de Córdoba52127
14Atlético Nacional22006
15Ind Medellin61235

For Fortaleza

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Once Caldas51407
12Fortaleza (COL)51407
13Jaguares de Córdoba52127

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

19.7/ 57.3
Dangerous Attacks
43.3/ 119.2
43.0%
Shots on Target
29.0%
11.2
Total Shots
14.5
51.0%
Possession
58.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.8
Goals Scored / Match
0.7
0.8
Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

Head-to-Head Summary

4
Atl. Nacional Wins
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Fortaleza Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketAtl. NacionalFortaleza
Over 1.5 Goals
67%4/6
50%3/6
Over 2.5 Goals
67%4/6
0%0/6
Both Teams to Score
50%3/6
50%3/6
* Based on last 6 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Atl. Nacional

Co1
Atlético Nacional
2 - 1
América de Cali
Co1
Atlético Nacional
4 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CoC
Ind Medellin
0 - 1
Atlético Nacional
CoC
Atlético Nacional
0 - 0
Ind Medellin
Co1
América de Cali
3 - 2
Atlético Nacional
Co1
Atlético Nacional
2 - 1
Ind Medellin

Home Games: Atl. Nacional

Co1
Atlético Nacional
2 - 1
América de Cali
Co1
Atlético Nacional
4 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CoC
Atlético Nacional
0 - 0
Ind Medellin
Co1
Atlético Nacional
2 - 1
Ind Medellin

Last 6: Fortaleza

Co1
Fortaleza (COL)
1 - 1
Ind Santa Fe
Co1
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Fortaleza (COL)
1 - 1
Llaneros FC (COL)
Co1
Deportivo Pereira
0 - 0
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Fortaleza (COL)
1 - 0
Alianza Petrolera
Co1
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
Fortaleza (COL)

Away Games: Fortaleza

Co1
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 1
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Deportivo Pereira
0 - 0
Fortaleza (COL)
Co1
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
Fortaleza (COL)

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